We’re back from the Thanksgiving break with three plays. We’re feeling a little "under" the weather.
Northwestern at NC State Under 123
This game will be played close to the vest, especially by Northwestern on the road.
NC State does not see the Wildcats’ 1-3-1 zone very often, and it’s difficult to prepare for.
On top of that, the Wolfpack has not scored 70 points in a game this season, and the only times NU has scored over 70 was on a hot-shooting night against UND and in a blowout home win over Northern Illinois.
Expect this one to be a slow-paced game. Take the under for 3 Units.
Michigan St. at N. Carolina Under 155
The marquee matchup of the Big Ten/ACC Challenge pits North Carolina against Michigan St.
Both teams enter the game with one loss, each of those resulting from a plague of turnovers. UNC is still searching for a consistent backcourt and Sparty has had trouble finding consistent scoring so far this season.
The Tar Heels do not have nearly the weapons that they had last season, and the only chance for MSU to compete in the Dean Dome tonight is to slow the game down and play the tough, physical defense it is known for.
Both teams value rebounding, which will limit the second-chance points. On top of that, both teams have had trouble with turnovers, which will result in a number of empty possessions for both teams.
In the night of lines that all look about right, let's take the under for 4 Units. Get it as soon as you can, as the number has already dropped to 153 in some books.
Virginia Tech at Iowa Under 117.5
These teams both rank in the 300s in Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted pace category. Translation: Neither team will be scorching the nets in this one. Or if they do, it will be well into the shot clock.
Both teams have struggled from the floor this season, as neither squad has made more than 28 field goals in a single game.
Iowa’s strength is its outside shooting, but Tech’s length and quickness should limit the Hawkeyes' looks.
Take the under for 2 Units.
Tuesday, December 1, 2009
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