Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Let's Keep the Streak Alive

Coming off of two consecutive winning days and up 13 units overall, we look to keep it going with these three plays. They'll be talking about these three top 25 upsets on Sportscenter tonight:

Connecticut at Cincinnati (-1)
The Cincinnati Bearcats have been waiting five years since they entered the Big East for the chance at an upset like this one. They lost a pair of tough games before the holidays, but have won their last two and will be geared up for this conference opener.
UConn has some experience back from last year’s team, but this will be its first true road game this season. Jerome Dyson and Kemba Walker are a solid backcourt to take on the road, but Cincy matches up well with its athleticism and size.
The Huskies have tended to get off to slow starts this season, which means the Bearcats will likely be able to grab the early lead. If they can play 40 minutes of solid defense, look for the upset here. Take Cincy for 2 Units.

UAB at Virginia (-2) O/U 125.5
Mike Davis has done an incredible job with his Blazers this season, moving them into the top 25 prior to the start of conference play. They have to be regarded as one of the contenders in Conference USA, but first they must go on the road to a gritty Virginia team.
UAB recently upset Butler, and may be looking past the Cavaliers, who are searching for their first trademark win this season.
Under Tony Bennett, the Cavaliers have held opponents to just 58.9 ppg overall and 55.5 at home. The Blazers have also played great defense, holding opponents to 57 points per contest.
The difference here may be the three-point shooting of Virginia and the home-court advantage. Take Virginia for 3 Units and the under for 2 Units.

Northwestern at Illinois (-7) O/U 135
The Wildcats moved into the top 25 for the first time since 1969 this week, and their reward is a game in Assembly Hall against in-state rival Illinois.
Northwestern is 10-1 and has nine wins in a row, including victories at NC State and against Notre Dame.
The Illini have lost two straight on the road against Missouri and Georgia, and Bruce Weber has hinted at shuffling the starting lineup to spark his team.
Illinois is very tough at home, at 84-16 under Weber, and needs this win to start the Big Ten schedule on the right foot.
In its eight victories this season, Illinois has averaged 84 points per game, and has shot 52 percent at home.
Northwestern is playing well, but walking into a difficult atmosphere against a team hungry for the victory.
Both teams actually rank in the top 50 in Ken Pomeroy’s offensive efficiency ranking, so points will be scored, but Illinois will distance itself for the victory.
Take Illinois for 4 Units and the over for 3 Units.

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