We’re back with 23 Units of play on this busy Saturday. Enjoy.
Louisville at West Virginia (-7)
The Cardinals match up well with the Mountaineers with a deep roster that keys on ball pressure. On top of that, they have the inside presence in Samardo Samuels to battle WVU’s size.
West Virginia has tended to get off to slow starts at home, and Louisville’s ability to force turnovers against a Mountaineers team with limited guard experience means this one will go down to the wire.
Take Louisville for 3 Units.
Indiana at Illinois 138
These are a couple of the more fast-paced teams in the Big Ten. But this will be a tough game for Indiana to score in consistently, and the Illini’s game plan always starts with its defense.
The Hoosiers will try to shrink possessions by working the shot clock and playing conservatively to stay in it.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Baylor at Texas (-8)
The Bears have been playing well recently, but this is very good value for a line of a Texas team that hasn’t played committed defense in its last couple of games.
The Longhorns need to keep pace with Kansas for the Big 12 title, and expect their best effort in this game.
The Bears are talented, but if Texas plays solid perimeter defense, it should be an easy win. Take Texas for 3 Units.
Vanderbilt at Kentucky 154
It makes little sense why this over/under is so high. The Wildcats have held teams below 37 percent shooting in their last five games, and the Commodores aren’t going to try and run with Kentucky.
Both teams can shoot well, but neither coach is going to let his team loose in this one. Expect this to be a grind-it-out, defensive battle. Take the under for a 5 Unit, stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock.
Notre Dame (-6.5) at Rutgers
The Scarlet Knights have lost an incredible eight games in a row against the spread, and this line isn’t going to help them break this streak.
Fred Hill is a lame duck coach, and the team isn’t exactly diciplined on either end of the floor and the Fighting Irish have the shooting and depth to get a big road victory.
Take ND for 2 Units.
Dayton (-4.5) at St. Bonaventure
The Flyers have been a letdown this season, losing three of their last four and fighting to stay relevant in the A-10 title chase and NCAA Tournament.
The Bonnies have been mediocre in conference, and if Dayton is serious about making a run at the NCAAs, it needs to get a convincing road win before a home matchup with Xavier.
Take Dayton for 3 Units.
UCLA at Oregon St. (-2)
The Beavers earned a big home win against USC on Thursday and now face the Bruins who lost an overtime game at Oregon.
The Bruins have been playing much better since their slow start this season, and although OSU likes to slow the game down, UCLA has the toughness and talent to get this road win.
Take UCLA for 3 Units.
Friday, January 29, 2010
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Jan. 29
We were up 1 Unit on Thursday thanks to Pitt and Oregon State. There won't be any plays Friday, but check back Saturday morning for some more action.
Jan. 28 Plays
After picking up 10 Units and paying for one of my client’s February rent, we have 11 more Units in play tonight.
St. John’s at Pittsburgh (-8.5)
Turnovers and poor shooting have plagued Pittsburgh during its two-game losing streak. The loss to Georgetown wasn’t shameful, but the road loss to Seton Hall should have the Panthers looking to get back on track.
The Red Storm has allowed its last five opponents to shoot 44 percent, and St. John’s is just 1-4 on the road with its lone win coming its Temple in November.
The bugaboo for St. John’s this season has been long scoring droughts, which will be troublesome against a stingy Pitt defense. Although the Storm welcomes back Anthony Mason, Jr., it is running into Pitt at the wrong time.
Take the Panthers for 4 Units.
Southern Illinois at Indiana State (-1)
After losing five of six games, the Salukis seem to have found something defeating two good teams at home in Western Kentucky and Illinois State.
The Sycamores have dropped four straight, granted those losses were against three of the Missouri Valley’s best.
ISU’s three conference wins have come against mediocre conference opponents, so expect the Salukis to continue their roll with a road victory. Take SIU for 2 Units.
USC (-4) at Oregon State
The Beavers have been a tough team to figure this season, losing a home game to Seattle by 51 points, but then winning at Oregon.
Corvallis is always a tough place to play, and OSU likes to slow the tempo as does USC. This should be a close game just due to the fact that both teams like to play things close to the vest.
The advantage in a close games goes to the home team in a tough environment. Take the Beavers for 2 Units.
California at Arizona State (-3.5)
This is a battle for the lead in the Pac 10 conference and no team has been all that consistent in this league.
The Golden Bears have won four of five, but three of those came at home, while Arizona State is coming off an embarassing loss to Arizona.
Cal keys much of its offense off of the 3-point shot, but the Devils have surrendered just 33 percent from beyond the arc this season.
Take ASU for 3 Units.
St. John’s at Pittsburgh (-8.5)
Turnovers and poor shooting have plagued Pittsburgh during its two-game losing streak. The loss to Georgetown wasn’t shameful, but the road loss to Seton Hall should have the Panthers looking to get back on track.
The Red Storm has allowed its last five opponents to shoot 44 percent, and St. John’s is just 1-4 on the road with its lone win coming its Temple in November.
The bugaboo for St. John’s this season has been long scoring droughts, which will be troublesome against a stingy Pitt defense. Although the Storm welcomes back Anthony Mason, Jr., it is running into Pitt at the wrong time.
Take the Panthers for 4 Units.
Southern Illinois at Indiana State (-1)
After losing five of six games, the Salukis seem to have found something defeating two good teams at home in Western Kentucky and Illinois State.
The Sycamores have dropped four straight, granted those losses were against three of the Missouri Valley’s best.
ISU’s three conference wins have come against mediocre conference opponents, so expect the Salukis to continue their roll with a road victory. Take SIU for 2 Units.
USC (-4) at Oregon State
The Beavers have been a tough team to figure this season, losing a home game to Seattle by 51 points, but then winning at Oregon.
Corvallis is always a tough place to play, and OSU likes to slow the tempo as does USC. This should be a close game just due to the fact that both teams like to play things close to the vest.
The advantage in a close games goes to the home team in a tough environment. Take the Beavers for 2 Units.
California at Arizona State (-3.5)
This is a battle for the lead in the Pac 10 conference and no team has been all that consistent in this league.
The Golden Bears have won four of five, but three of those came at home, while Arizona State is coming off an embarassing loss to Arizona.
Cal keys much of its offense off of the 3-point shot, but the Devils have surrendered just 33 percent from beyond the arc this season.
Take ASU for 3 Units.
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Jan. 27 Plays
After picking up 8 Units last night, we look for 18 more tonight.
Illinois (-1) at Penn State
The Nittany Lions suffered a crushing defeat at the Kohl Center on Sunday after holding a 16-point lead in the second half. PSU went to 0-7 in the Big Ten and now has to face an Illinois team hungry for a win after losing three straight.
Penn State’s offense starts and ends with Talor Battle, who doesn’t match up well against the physical and quick Illinois guards.
Battle may get his, but no other Lion averages in double figures.
The Illini will win this one in a less than intimidating atmosphere at University Park. Take Illinois for 4 Units.
Temple (-1) at Charlotte
This is a huge game for the Charlotte 49ers’ hopes to make it to the NCAA Tournament, and it just so happens to be a showdown for first place in the Atlantic 10.
The Niners have the size inside with BC transfer Shamari Spears and experience in the backcourt with senior DiJuan Harris.
Temple’s defense is tough, but the Owls will be entering a rabid atmosphere with Niners fans having camped out for this one against a ranked opponent.
Oh yeah, and it’s Harris’ daughter, Zoey’s, first birthday. You can’t bet against that. Take Charlotte for 4 Units.
Memphis (-1.5) at Marshall
Marhsall’s 15-4 record is inflated due to an extremely weak schedule, and the Tigers will look to stay in the rear view mirror of UAB for the Conference USA race.
Memphis has too much talent here for Marhsall to win this one, and look for the guard play of Elliot Williams and Roburt Sallie to be the difference.
Take Memphis for 2 Units.
Florida State at Duke (-14)
The Blue Devils are tough at home, but the Seminoles are playing with a lot of confidence right now having just defeated Georgia Tech.
The Seminoles are too solid on defense to let this game get out of hand, and they will find enough scoring from Derwin Kitchen and Michael Snaer to stay in it. Take FSU for 2 Units.
Brigham Young at New Mexico 151
Both of these teams can fill it up, and the Lobos especially like to get out and run at home.
The Cougars have one of the best scorers and shooters in the country in Jimmer Fredette, and this should be an exciting, up-and-down affair.
They both have efficient offenses that start with strong guard play. Take the over for 3 Units.
Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-5.5)
The Commodores will just keep coming at their opponent with 10 players averaging at least nine minutes. Four of those 10 average at least 10 points.
This is compared to a Tennessee team that is short-handed after the dismissal of Tyler Smith and suspension of Brian Williams. Also Wayne Chism has been bothered by a knee sprain.
The Vols will be looking for a win after an embarrassing loss to Georgia, but the depth of Vanderbilt along with its balanced scoring will help keep this one close. Take Vandy for 3 Units.
Illinois (-1) at Penn State
The Nittany Lions suffered a crushing defeat at the Kohl Center on Sunday after holding a 16-point lead in the second half. PSU went to 0-7 in the Big Ten and now has to face an Illinois team hungry for a win after losing three straight.
Penn State’s offense starts and ends with Talor Battle, who doesn’t match up well against the physical and quick Illinois guards.
Battle may get his, but no other Lion averages in double figures.
The Illini will win this one in a less than intimidating atmosphere at University Park. Take Illinois for 4 Units.
Temple (-1) at Charlotte
This is a huge game for the Charlotte 49ers’ hopes to make it to the NCAA Tournament, and it just so happens to be a showdown for first place in the Atlantic 10.
The Niners have the size inside with BC transfer Shamari Spears and experience in the backcourt with senior DiJuan Harris.
Temple’s defense is tough, but the Owls will be entering a rabid atmosphere with Niners fans having camped out for this one against a ranked opponent.
Oh yeah, and it’s Harris’ daughter, Zoey’s, first birthday. You can’t bet against that. Take Charlotte for 4 Units.
Memphis (-1.5) at Marshall
Marhsall’s 15-4 record is inflated due to an extremely weak schedule, and the Tigers will look to stay in the rear view mirror of UAB for the Conference USA race.
Memphis has too much talent here for Marhsall to win this one, and look for the guard play of Elliot Williams and Roburt Sallie to be the difference.
Take Memphis for 2 Units.
Florida State at Duke (-14)
The Blue Devils are tough at home, but the Seminoles are playing with a lot of confidence right now having just defeated Georgia Tech.
The Seminoles are too solid on defense to let this game get out of hand, and they will find enough scoring from Derwin Kitchen and Michael Snaer to stay in it. Take FSU for 2 Units.
Brigham Young at New Mexico 151
Both of these teams can fill it up, and the Lobos especially like to get out and run at home.
The Cougars have one of the best scorers and shooters in the country in Jimmer Fredette, and this should be an exciting, up-and-down affair.
They both have efficient offenses that start with strong guard play. Take the over for 3 Units.
Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-5.5)
The Commodores will just keep coming at their opponent with 10 players averaging at least nine minutes. Four of those 10 average at least 10 points.
This is compared to a Tennessee team that is short-handed after the dismissal of Tyler Smith and suspension of Brian Williams. Also Wayne Chism has been bothered by a knee sprain.
The Vols will be looking for a win after an embarrassing loss to Georgia, but the depth of Vanderbilt along with its balanced scoring will help keep this one close. Take Vandy for 3 Units.
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Jan. 26 Plays
After a close loss last night, we're back with 12 Units of action.
Kansas State at Baylor 149
Both of these teams have strong guard play and can catch fire from the outside. Neither team has scored all that much in recent games, but that’s more a function of playing tough teams.
These squads prefer to get up and down the floor, but each also has the inside presence for consistent scoring on the inside.
Take the over for 4 Units.
Northwestern at Minnesota (-12)
The Golden Gophers have played tough at home with a 10-1 record, but the nature of the Wildcats’ offense and defense is to keep them close in games.
Minnesota likes to get out and run when possible, but with how patient Northwestern is in its offense it will be hard for the Gophers to find any transition baskets.
Look for NU to hang around in this one. Take the Wildcats for 3 Units.
Tulsa at UAB (-3.5)
The Dragons are a perfect 10-0 at home this season, including victories over Butler and Cincinnati.
The Golden Hurricane has won seven games in a row, but has not been impressive in close wins against Oral Roberts and Rice.
Tulsa’s big man Jerome Jordan will run into an equal matchup in Elijah Millsap in the middle.
We made tons of money off of Elijah’s brother, Paul, when he was at Louisiana Tech and his little bro has the same kind of talent.
Take UAB for 3 Units.
Kentucky (-7.5) at South Carolina
The Wildcats look to be unstoppable right now and have risen to the No. 1 spot in the polls.
They haven’t shown any bashfulness in tough road environments either and as long as John Wall is playing, they will be a formidable opponent.
The Gamecocks have lost three straight and will miss the services of Dominique Archie in this one.
Take Kentucky for 2 Units.
Kansas State at Baylor 149
Both of these teams have strong guard play and can catch fire from the outside. Neither team has scored all that much in recent games, but that’s more a function of playing tough teams.
These squads prefer to get up and down the floor, but each also has the inside presence for consistent scoring on the inside.
Take the over for 4 Units.
Northwestern at Minnesota (-12)
The Golden Gophers have played tough at home with a 10-1 record, but the nature of the Wildcats’ offense and defense is to keep them close in games.
Minnesota likes to get out and run when possible, but with how patient Northwestern is in its offense it will be hard for the Gophers to find any transition baskets.
Look for NU to hang around in this one. Take the Wildcats for 3 Units.
Tulsa at UAB (-3.5)
The Dragons are a perfect 10-0 at home this season, including victories over Butler and Cincinnati.
The Golden Hurricane has won seven games in a row, but has not been impressive in close wins against Oral Roberts and Rice.
Tulsa’s big man Jerome Jordan will run into an equal matchup in Elijah Millsap in the middle.
We made tons of money off of Elijah’s brother, Paul, when he was at Louisiana Tech and his little bro has the same kind of talent.
Take UAB for 3 Units.
Kentucky (-7.5) at South Carolina
The Wildcats look to be unstoppable right now and have risen to the No. 1 spot in the polls.
They haven’t shown any bashfulness in tough road environments either and as long as John Wall is playing, they will be a formidable opponent.
The Gamecocks have lost three straight and will miss the services of Dominique Archie in this one.
Take Kentucky for 2 Units.
Monday, January 25, 2010
Jan. 25 Play
We're back and looking to build on a huge Saturday with one play:
Missouri at Kansas 150
The Tigers are one of the more up-tempo teams in the country with a full-court press and a host of guards that aren’t bashful about shooting.
The Jayhawks like to fall into the quick pace also and have a number of scoring options.
If both teams are hitting their shots this will be a high-scoring game. Take the over for 3 Units.
Missouri at Kansas 150
The Tigers are one of the more up-tempo teams in the country with a full-court press and a host of guards that aren’t bashful about shooting.
The Jayhawks like to fall into the quick pace also and have a number of scoring options.
If both teams are hitting their shots this will be a high-scoring game. Take the over for 3 Units.
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Saturday, January 23, 2010
Jan. 23 Plays Continued
Ohio State at West Virginia (-6.5)
The Buckeyes are a different team with Evan Turner in the lineup, and the whole team seems to play with more confidence and fit its roles better when he’s playing.
OSU goes on the road to face a long and athletic West Virginia team that doesn’t have great backcourt play. They have a couple of players who can drive the Buckeyes matchup zone, but finding consistent scoring could be a problem.
If the Buckeyes are able to clear the defensive rebounds, this one should go down to the wire. Take OSU for 3 Units.
St. Bonaventure at Duquesne (-5)
This comes down to a gut check for the Duquesne Dukes. They have lost five straight, including their first four in conference.
The Bonnies are running into a team hungry for a win, and the Dukes have too much talent to lose this one. Take Duquesne for 2 Units.
South Florida at Providence (-5)
The Friars are better than the four bottom feeders of the Big East, and always tend to play well at home.
USF is just 1-3 away from home and the Friars are coming off of an embarrassing loss to Marquette.
Take Providence for 4 Units.
Marquette at Syracuse 147
Both teams have shot above 45 percent from the floor in their last five games and above 40 percent from 3-point range.
Expect Syracuse to extend its zone to limit Marquette’s outside shooting, but if MU is able to get the ball to the elbow and let Lazar Hayward and Jimmy Butler create, they should find consistent offense.
The Orange bigs should have a field day inside against a weak MU frontcourt and this will be a fast pace. Take the over for 4 Units.
Tennessee (-6) at Georgia
The Vols have been playing with fire in the last few weeks, winning some close games on the road. This is our upset special of the day with Mark Fox coaching the Bulldogs up for a big home win. Take Georgia with the points for 4 Units and to win at +230 at 2 Units.
Arizona at Arizona State (-10)
The Wildcats have been one of the more inconsistent teams in the country this season, but will be giving their best effort in this one.
The Devils have won four straight, but it's rare that this rivalry becomes a blowout. Take U of A for 3 Units.
The Buckeyes are a different team with Evan Turner in the lineup, and the whole team seems to play with more confidence and fit its roles better when he’s playing.
OSU goes on the road to face a long and athletic West Virginia team that doesn’t have great backcourt play. They have a couple of players who can drive the Buckeyes matchup zone, but finding consistent scoring could be a problem.
If the Buckeyes are able to clear the defensive rebounds, this one should go down to the wire. Take OSU for 3 Units.
St. Bonaventure at Duquesne (-5)
This comes down to a gut check for the Duquesne Dukes. They have lost five straight, including their first four in conference.
The Bonnies are running into a team hungry for a win, and the Dukes have too much talent to lose this one. Take Duquesne for 2 Units.
South Florida at Providence (-5)
The Friars are better than the four bottom feeders of the Big East, and always tend to play well at home.
USF is just 1-3 away from home and the Friars are coming off of an embarrassing loss to Marquette.
Take Providence for 4 Units.
Marquette at Syracuse 147
Both teams have shot above 45 percent from the floor in their last five games and above 40 percent from 3-point range.
Expect Syracuse to extend its zone to limit Marquette’s outside shooting, but if MU is able to get the ball to the elbow and let Lazar Hayward and Jimmy Butler create, they should find consistent offense.
The Orange bigs should have a field day inside against a weak MU frontcourt and this will be a fast pace. Take the over for 4 Units.
Tennessee (-6) at Georgia
The Vols have been playing with fire in the last few weeks, winning some close games on the road. This is our upset special of the day with Mark Fox coaching the Bulldogs up for a big home win. Take Georgia with the points for 4 Units and to win at +230 at 2 Units.
Arizona at Arizona State (-10)
The Wildcats have been one of the more inconsistent teams in the country this season, but will be giving their best effort in this one.
The Devils have won four straight, but it's rare that this rivalry becomes a blowout. Take U of A for 3 Units.
Early Jan. 23 Plays
Here are a couple of 11 a.m. appetizers for the main course coming later today.
Mississippi State at Alabama (PK)
The Crimson Tide has been playing better than its record indicates with close losses to Tennessee and Vanderbilt, while the Bulldogs have been skating by the bottom feeders of the SEC.
Jarvis Varnado is always a matchup problem for those who face Mississippi State, but Alabama has JaMychal Green, who should give him enough to neutralize his offensive rebounding ability.
Alabama will get its best effort in this game, and if it’s able to knock down some shots from long range, the Tide should roll. Take Bama for 3 Units.
Villanova (-6) at St. John’s
The Wildcats have passed some stiff tests in the road in conference play this season, and this will be another one in Madison Square Garden.
The Johnnies have been inconsistent this season, and despite a lot of experience in their starting lineup, have been somewhat disappointing.
Scottie Reynolds is campaigning for Big East POY honors and Nova has too many shooters and guards for the Red Storm.
Their intense ball pressure will force turnovers and frustrate the St. John’s offense. Take Villanova for 2 Units.
Mississippi State at Alabama (PK)
The Crimson Tide has been playing better than its record indicates with close losses to Tennessee and Vanderbilt, while the Bulldogs have been skating by the bottom feeders of the SEC.
Jarvis Varnado is always a matchup problem for those who face Mississippi State, but Alabama has JaMychal Green, who should give him enough to neutralize his offensive rebounding ability.
Alabama will get its best effort in this game, and if it’s able to knock down some shots from long range, the Tide should roll. Take Bama for 3 Units.
Villanova (-6) at St. John’s
The Wildcats have passed some stiff tests in the road in conference play this season, and this will be another one in Madison Square Garden.
The Johnnies have been inconsistent this season, and despite a lot of experience in their starting lineup, have been somewhat disappointing.
Scottie Reynolds is campaigning for Big East POY honors and Nova has too many shooters and guards for the Red Storm.
Their intense ball pressure will force turnovers and frustrate the St. John’s offense. Take Villanova for 2 Units.
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Jan. 20 Plays
After a rough Tuesday that saw us give back the 7 Units we won Monday, we look to rebound with three plays for 9 Units.
Wake Forest at North Carolina (-6)
This is very good value on a Tar Heels team that is usually tough at home. Although UNC lost its last home game to Georgia Tech, expect North Carolina to give its best effort in this one.
The Demon Deacons are a scrappy team, but Roy Williams will make sure that he doesn't lose three in a row for the first time as UNC head coach.
Take the Tar Heels for 4 Units.
Iowa State at Texas Tech (-3)
The Red Raiders have come down back to Earth after a great start to the season, losing three straight. But the losses have been two on the road to Oklahoma State and Kansas and at home to a good Missouri team in overtime.
The Cyclones just won a road game at Nebraska, but this will only be their third road game of the season, which also includes a 20-point loss at Drake.
ISU still has to prove itself on the road, and it isn't coming against a team hungry for a win at home. Take the Red Raiders as a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.
Michigan at Wisconsin (-8.5)
The Wolverines are entering a stretch of four games against ranked opponents and seem to be coming out of their earlier season slump.
A big key in their turnaround has been the shooting of Zak Novak and Stu Douglass, which should help them stay in the game at the Kohl Center.
The Badgers miss the inside scoring of Jon Leuer and have not found anyone to step up in his absence. Wisconsin has moved to a three-guard lineup, which could prove detrimental if John Belein goes with his 1-3-1 zone. The way to break that is with passing, not dribble penetration, and with three guards on the floor, the temptation will be for Bucky to put the ball on the floor, which could lead to turnovers.
On top of that, Wisconsin has had trouble stopping good scorers in its recent history, allowing Evan Turner and Lawrence Westbrook to find their own shots. If Manny Harris plays well, the Wolverines should hang in this one. Take Michigan for 3 Units.
Wake Forest at North Carolina (-6)
This is very good value on a Tar Heels team that is usually tough at home. Although UNC lost its last home game to Georgia Tech, expect North Carolina to give its best effort in this one.
The Demon Deacons are a scrappy team, but Roy Williams will make sure that he doesn't lose three in a row for the first time as UNC head coach.
Take the Tar Heels for 4 Units.
Iowa State at Texas Tech (-3)
The Red Raiders have come down back to Earth after a great start to the season, losing three straight. But the losses have been two on the road to Oklahoma State and Kansas and at home to a good Missouri team in overtime.
The Cyclones just won a road game at Nebraska, but this will only be their third road game of the season, which also includes a 20-point loss at Drake.
ISU still has to prove itself on the road, and it isn't coming against a team hungry for a win at home. Take the Red Raiders as a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.
Michigan at Wisconsin (-8.5)
The Wolverines are entering a stretch of four games against ranked opponents and seem to be coming out of their earlier season slump.
A big key in their turnaround has been the shooting of Zak Novak and Stu Douglass, which should help them stay in the game at the Kohl Center.
The Badgers miss the inside scoring of Jon Leuer and have not found anyone to step up in his absence. Wisconsin has moved to a three-guard lineup, which could prove detrimental if John Belein goes with his 1-3-1 zone. The way to break that is with passing, not dribble penetration, and with three guards on the floor, the temptation will be for Bucky to put the ball on the floor, which could lead to turnovers.
On top of that, Wisconsin has had trouble stopping good scorers in its recent history, allowing Evan Turner and Lawrence Westbrook to find their own shots. If Manny Harris plays well, the Wolverines should hang in this one. Take Michigan for 3 Units.
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Jan. 19 Plays
After successfully pegging Texas' first loss of the season in an ugly affair at Kansas State, we look to build on it with 15 Units in play.
Northwestern at Ohio State (-11.5) 131
The Buckeyes are a lot better with Evan Turner back in the lineup, and are coming off a big win over Wisconsin on Saturday.
The Wildcats recently defeated a reeling Purdue team at home and find themselves in the thick of the Big Ten race.
It's clear that OSU is playing with more confidence since Turner returned, but Northwestern isn't a terrible team and its 1-3-1 defense will slow the game down and keep it close.
Both these teams play solid defense and should keep the number down. Take the under for 4 and Northwestern for 2 Units.
Clemson at Georgia Tech 142.5
Both of these teams like to push the pace when they can and have the athletes to make plays off of the dribble.
Clemson's press tends to increase the tempo of games and force live ball turnovers, which lead to easy baskets.
The Jackets have shot well at home this season, and the winner of this one should be in the high 70s. Take the over for 3 Units.
Oklahoma at Texas A&M (-7.5)
The Sooners might be starting to turn the corner after an awful start to the season, having won their last two Big 12 games. Texas A&M is coming off a heart-breaking loss to Texas and is coming home after a brief road trip.
The Aggies have struggled with scoring all season, and although they've played good defensively, this one should be a slugfest and much closer than the number suggests.
This game should come down to the final minutes, with OU sticking close enough to cover. Take the Sooners for 4 Units.
Northern Iowa at Wichita State (-3)
Rarely do I like taking a ranked underdog on the road against an unranked opponent, but when you have a 7-foot, 280-pound center in Jordan Eglseder it's hard to bet against UNI. That and the fact that they play sound defense and have a 15-game winning streak, which includes wins at Creighton and Southern Illinois, makes one confident they can handle tough environments.
This is the Panthers' chance to put a strangehold on the Missouri Valley Conference title and look for them to come through. Take UNI for 2 Units.
Northwestern at Ohio State (-11.5) 131
The Buckeyes are a lot better with Evan Turner back in the lineup, and are coming off a big win over Wisconsin on Saturday.
The Wildcats recently defeated a reeling Purdue team at home and find themselves in the thick of the Big Ten race.
It's clear that OSU is playing with more confidence since Turner returned, but Northwestern isn't a terrible team and its 1-3-1 defense will slow the game down and keep it close.
Both these teams play solid defense and should keep the number down. Take the under for 4 and Northwestern for 2 Units.
Clemson at Georgia Tech 142.5
Both of these teams like to push the pace when they can and have the athletes to make plays off of the dribble.
Clemson's press tends to increase the tempo of games and force live ball turnovers, which lead to easy baskets.
The Jackets have shot well at home this season, and the winner of this one should be in the high 70s. Take the over for 3 Units.
Oklahoma at Texas A&M (-7.5)
The Sooners might be starting to turn the corner after an awful start to the season, having won their last two Big 12 games. Texas A&M is coming off a heart-breaking loss to Texas and is coming home after a brief road trip.
The Aggies have struggled with scoring all season, and although they've played good defensively, this one should be a slugfest and much closer than the number suggests.
This game should come down to the final minutes, with OU sticking close enough to cover. Take the Sooners for 4 Units.
Northern Iowa at Wichita State (-3)
Rarely do I like taking a ranked underdog on the road against an unranked opponent, but when you have a 7-foot, 280-pound center in Jordan Eglseder it's hard to bet against UNI. That and the fact that they play sound defense and have a 15-game winning streak, which includes wins at Creighton and Southern Illinois, makes one confident they can handle tough environments.
This is the Panthers' chance to put a strangehold on the Missouri Valley Conference title and look for them to come through. Take UNI for 2 Units.
Monday, January 18, 2010
Jan. 18 Plays
After a disappointing Saturday, we're back with a couple of Big Monday plays:
Texas at Kansas State (-1.5) O/U 159
The Longhorns are the No. 1 team in the nation, but haven’t looked too convincing in recent games, including an overtime victory at home against Texas A&M.
The Wildcats have been tough at home this season as has the entire Big 12 Conference. They have the firepower, and most importantly, the defense to take down Texas.
These teams both have the ability to score, but it will be the KSU defense that wins this one.
Take KSU for 4 Units and the under for 3 Units.
Texas at Kansas State (-1.5) O/U 159
The Longhorns are the No. 1 team in the nation, but haven’t looked too convincing in recent games, including an overtime victory at home against Texas A&M.
The Wildcats have been tough at home this season as has the entire Big 12 Conference. They have the firepower, and most importantly, the defense to take down Texas.
These teams both have the ability to score, but it will be the KSU defense that wins this one.
Take KSU for 4 Units and the under for 3 Units.
Saturday, January 16, 2010
Jan. 16 Plays
We have 17 Units in play on a busy Saturday. Enjoy.
Missouri at Oklahoma 152.5
Both teams like to push the tempo and will look to score early in the shot clock.
Oklahoma has had issues with turnovers this season, and the Tigers force a lot of them with their press. That could lead to a lot of transition points, which is always good for a high-scoring game.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Mississippi at Tennessee (-7.5)
The Volunteers have been playing well since the suspension of four of their main contributors. But they needed a strong second half against a weak Auburn team to win their last game, and Ole Miss isn’t going to be an easy out.
The Rebels have much more talent than Auburn, and although Tennessee defeated Kansas with the short-handed lineup this will eventually catch up to the Vols.
Take Mississippi for 4 Units.
Arizona at Oregon 146.5
The Ducks have lost two straight games against a pair of defensive-minded teams. Arizona will play the up-tempo game that Oregon likes.
Both teams have strong guard play and good shooters from the outside and this should be a game with a lot of field goals.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Purdue at Northwestern 133
The Boilermakers are coming off of two straight losses, and will look to rebound with their trademark defense.
Purdue does a good job of closing out on 3-point shooters and that is a big part of the Wildcats’ offense. This will be a defensive battle with the winner scoring in the 60s.
Take the under for 3 Units.
Wisconsin at Ohio State (-5)
The Badgers are walking into a tough situation here with the Buckeyes having Evan Turner back in the lineup. Wisconsin mopped the floor with OSU in Madison earlier this season and best believe the Buckeyes will be looking for revenge.
This will be a game where Wisconsin misses the services of Jon Leuer, who is out with a broken wrist.
Look for OSU’s outside shooting and home-court advantage to be the difference here. Take the Buckeyes for 4 Units.
Missouri at Oklahoma 152.5
Both teams like to push the tempo and will look to score early in the shot clock.
Oklahoma has had issues with turnovers this season, and the Tigers force a lot of them with their press. That could lead to a lot of transition points, which is always good for a high-scoring game.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Mississippi at Tennessee (-7.5)
The Volunteers have been playing well since the suspension of four of their main contributors. But they needed a strong second half against a weak Auburn team to win their last game, and Ole Miss isn’t going to be an easy out.
The Rebels have much more talent than Auburn, and although Tennessee defeated Kansas with the short-handed lineup this will eventually catch up to the Vols.
Take Mississippi for 4 Units.
Arizona at Oregon 146.5
The Ducks have lost two straight games against a pair of defensive-minded teams. Arizona will play the up-tempo game that Oregon likes.
Both teams have strong guard play and good shooters from the outside and this should be a game with a lot of field goals.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Purdue at Northwestern 133
The Boilermakers are coming off of two straight losses, and will look to rebound with their trademark defense.
Purdue does a good job of closing out on 3-point shooters and that is a big part of the Wildcats’ offense. This will be a defensive battle with the winner scoring in the 60s.
Take the under for 3 Units.
Wisconsin at Ohio State (-5)
The Badgers are walking into a tough situation here with the Buckeyes having Evan Turner back in the lineup. Wisconsin mopped the floor with OSU in Madison earlier this season and best believe the Buckeyes will be looking for revenge.
This will be a game where Wisconsin misses the services of Jon Leuer, who is out with a broken wrist.
Look for OSU’s outside shooting and home-court advantage to be the difference here. Take the Buckeyes for 4 Units.
Friday, January 15, 2010
No Jan. 15 Plays
Just letting everyone know that we will not have any plays Jan. 15. We are getting into the thick of the college basketball season, which means no real meaningful games on Friday.
But check back Saturday morning for some more picks. We're at +23 units and +42 since Dec. 29. Looking to stay hot.
But check back Saturday morning for some more picks. We're at +23 units and +42 since Dec. 29. Looking to stay hot.
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Jan. 14 Plays
We broke even last night, and look to improve on that with 16 Units in play.
Seton Hall at Georgetown 145.5
The Hoyas always commit to a slower pace than most Big East teams, playing a Princeton-style offense and using their length to disrupt the opponents’ offense.
The total has been under in the last seven meetings between these two teams at numbers less than 145.5.
Seton Hall certainly has the ability to score in bunches, but struggles against defenses with length, such as Georgetown.
Look for the Hoyas to make a concerted effort to get the ball to Greg Monroe and grind out a victory.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Wright State (-4.5) at Green Bay
The Phoenix has played three straight conference games, going 1-2 in those. Green Bay returns home where it is 5-2 to face a Wright State team that is 2-5 on the road.
This is a matchup between two 4-2 teams in the Horizon and a battle for second place. Green Bay’s offense should be able to get the Phoenix a key home victory.
Wright State has had its struggles at the Resch Center, and Rahmon Fletcher should finally be healthy for the Phoenix. Fletcher is Green Bay’s leading scorer at 17 ppg.
Take the Phoenix for 3 Units.
Arizona State at Oregon 129.5
The Ducks’ offense was shut down in their last lost against Oregon State, but have scored at least 70 points in the seven games prior.
The Sun Devils are a defensive-minded team, but Oregon likes to push the tempo and shoot quickly into the shot clock. The Devils have some outside shooters and a nice inside presence with Eric Boateng.
Look for the winner of this game to be in the 70s. Take the over for 2 Units.
Providence (-3) at DePaul
The Blue Devils are in disarray having just fired head coach Jerry Wainwright. The players were reportedly upset with the decision and a mid-season firing is pretty rare in college basketball.
Look for Providence to take advantage with its ability to score. The Friars like to push the tempo and if the Devils fall into that pace, Providence should be able to win this one going away.
Take the Friars for 4 Units.
Gonzaga at St. Mary’s 153
The Bulldogs have averaged 78 points this season and shot 48 percent as a team, while St. Mary’s has totaled 81 ppg and also shot 48 percent, including 40 percent from 3-point range.
Both teams have plenty of options for 3-point shooting and look for this to be an up-and-down game with a lot of field goals.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Seton Hall at Georgetown 145.5
The Hoyas always commit to a slower pace than most Big East teams, playing a Princeton-style offense and using their length to disrupt the opponents’ offense.
The total has been under in the last seven meetings between these two teams at numbers less than 145.5.
Seton Hall certainly has the ability to score in bunches, but struggles against defenses with length, such as Georgetown.
Look for the Hoyas to make a concerted effort to get the ball to Greg Monroe and grind out a victory.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Wright State (-4.5) at Green Bay
The Phoenix has played three straight conference games, going 1-2 in those. Green Bay returns home where it is 5-2 to face a Wright State team that is 2-5 on the road.
This is a matchup between two 4-2 teams in the Horizon and a battle for second place. Green Bay’s offense should be able to get the Phoenix a key home victory.
Wright State has had its struggles at the Resch Center, and Rahmon Fletcher should finally be healthy for the Phoenix. Fletcher is Green Bay’s leading scorer at 17 ppg.
Take the Phoenix for 3 Units.
Arizona State at Oregon 129.5
The Ducks’ offense was shut down in their last lost against Oregon State, but have scored at least 70 points in the seven games prior.
The Sun Devils are a defensive-minded team, but Oregon likes to push the tempo and shoot quickly into the shot clock. The Devils have some outside shooters and a nice inside presence with Eric Boateng.
Look for the winner of this game to be in the 70s. Take the over for 2 Units.
Providence (-3) at DePaul
The Blue Devils are in disarray having just fired head coach Jerry Wainwright. The players were reportedly upset with the decision and a mid-season firing is pretty rare in college basketball.
Look for Providence to take advantage with its ability to score. The Friars like to push the tempo and if the Devils fall into that pace, Providence should be able to win this one going away.
Take the Friars for 4 Units.
Gonzaga at St. Mary’s 153
The Bulldogs have averaged 78 points this season and shot 48 percent as a team, while St. Mary’s has totaled 81 ppg and also shot 48 percent, including 40 percent from 3-point range.
Both teams have plenty of options for 3-point shooting and look for this to be an up-and-down game with a lot of field goals.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Jan. 13 Plays
We picked up 6 more units last night, thanks to another Big Ten under for 4 Units. Those Big Ten unders are too easy sometimes. We’re at +15 on the year and looking to build on that with 18 Units in play tonight.
Cincinnati at St. John’s (-1)
The Johnnies have started 0-3 in the Big East, but stayed competitive in road games against Georgetown and Louisville.
The Storm has showed signs of being able to put a whole game together, but has yet to do it.
Cincinnati meanwhile has struggled on the road this season with its only win coming at Rutgers.
This is a matchup between two teams looking to improve their standing in the conference compared to the past couple of seasons. St. John’s needs this one badly and will get it. Take the Johnnies for 3 Units.
St. Louis at Duquesne (-6.5)
The Billikens are running into the Dukes at the wrong time. Duquesne, which was picked as one of the dark horses in the A-10 this season, nearly defeated conference favorite Dayton on the road over the weekend. But Duquesne lost in overtime.
St. Louis earned a strong home victory over Richmond, which has been playing well of late. But the Billikens now must travel to face a Duquesne team determined not to start its conference slate 0-3.
St. Louis is known for its defense, but the quickness of Duquesne should bother St Louis and no one will be able to matchup with the Dukes’ double-double machine, Damian Saunders. Take Duquesne for 4 Units.
Wichita State (-4) at Indiana State
After losing their first Missouri Valley game, the Shockers have since ripped off four straight wins and sit now travel to face Indiana State at 3-2.
The Sycamores have been somewhat surprising in the conference schedule, but they have had a relatively easy schedule to this point. Their wins came against Evansville, Drake and Creighton, all likely to finish in the bottom half of the league.
WSU is eyeing a conference title and that means a win at ISU is a must. During their four-game streak, the Shockers’ defense has been phenomenal holding teams to 38 percent shooting in their last five games.
ISU will be without guard Jake Kelly who was lost for the season with a knee injury in the last game. He started 12 games, and averaged 9 points.
Look for that defense to be the key and for the Shockers to cover the number. Take WSU for 3 Units.
Texas at Iowa State 152.5
The Longhorns have averaed 89 points over their last five games and are beginning to get big contributions from freshman Avery Bradley.
Iowa State has a strong offense of its own, averaging 80 points per game at home and 43 percent shooting from 3-point range.
Texas will defend, but likes to create a fast paced tempo, which the Cyclones won’t mind falling into either.
The Longhorns don’t waste much time getting into their offense, and Iowa State will be playing aggressively at home trying to defeat the No. 1 team in the nation so they should be able to score from the free throw line and knock down some 3-pointers. Take the over for 3 Units.
Wisconsin (-3.5) at Northwestern
The Wildcats have always been a tough matchup for Wisconsin, especially in Evanston, because they play a similar style to the Badgers.
They are one of the few teams that matches up with them and does not mind playing the methodical style.
The Badgers will be without junior forward Jon Leuer, who broke his wrist in the last game. He was a consistent option for Wisconsin this season in the post and will be missed, especially as a mismatch for the opponent.
This is a prime opportunity for Northwestern to pull an upset and notch another resume builder for March. Take Northwestern for 3 Units.
San Diego State at UNLV (-6.5)
Finally, we have a road underdog in the Mountain West. This conference is one of the more underrated in the nation, and might be better than the Pac 10 this season.
San Diego State followed its big win over New Mexico with a curious road loss to Wyoming. The Aztecs now travel to Vegas and should give the Rebels all they can handle. The depth and balance of the Aztecs should allow them to stay in this one until the end.
Take SDSU for 2 Units.
Cincinnati at St. John’s (-1)
The Johnnies have started 0-3 in the Big East, but stayed competitive in road games against Georgetown and Louisville.
The Storm has showed signs of being able to put a whole game together, but has yet to do it.
Cincinnati meanwhile has struggled on the road this season with its only win coming at Rutgers.
This is a matchup between two teams looking to improve their standing in the conference compared to the past couple of seasons. St. John’s needs this one badly and will get it. Take the Johnnies for 3 Units.
St. Louis at Duquesne (-6.5)
The Billikens are running into the Dukes at the wrong time. Duquesne, which was picked as one of the dark horses in the A-10 this season, nearly defeated conference favorite Dayton on the road over the weekend. But Duquesne lost in overtime.
St. Louis earned a strong home victory over Richmond, which has been playing well of late. But the Billikens now must travel to face a Duquesne team determined not to start its conference slate 0-3.
St. Louis is known for its defense, but the quickness of Duquesne should bother St Louis and no one will be able to matchup with the Dukes’ double-double machine, Damian Saunders. Take Duquesne for 4 Units.
Wichita State (-4) at Indiana State
After losing their first Missouri Valley game, the Shockers have since ripped off four straight wins and sit now travel to face Indiana State at 3-2.
The Sycamores have been somewhat surprising in the conference schedule, but they have had a relatively easy schedule to this point. Their wins came against Evansville, Drake and Creighton, all likely to finish in the bottom half of the league.
WSU is eyeing a conference title and that means a win at ISU is a must. During their four-game streak, the Shockers’ defense has been phenomenal holding teams to 38 percent shooting in their last five games.
ISU will be without guard Jake Kelly who was lost for the season with a knee injury in the last game. He started 12 games, and averaged 9 points.
Look for that defense to be the key and for the Shockers to cover the number. Take WSU for 3 Units.
Texas at Iowa State 152.5
The Longhorns have averaed 89 points over their last five games and are beginning to get big contributions from freshman Avery Bradley.
Iowa State has a strong offense of its own, averaging 80 points per game at home and 43 percent shooting from 3-point range.
Texas will defend, but likes to create a fast paced tempo, which the Cyclones won’t mind falling into either.
The Longhorns don’t waste much time getting into their offense, and Iowa State will be playing aggressively at home trying to defeat the No. 1 team in the nation so they should be able to score from the free throw line and knock down some 3-pointers. Take the over for 3 Units.
Wisconsin (-3.5) at Northwestern
The Wildcats have always been a tough matchup for Wisconsin, especially in Evanston, because they play a similar style to the Badgers.
They are one of the few teams that matches up with them and does not mind playing the methodical style.
The Badgers will be without junior forward Jon Leuer, who broke his wrist in the last game. He was a consistent option for Wisconsin this season in the post and will be missed, especially as a mismatch for the opponent.
This is a prime opportunity for Northwestern to pull an upset and notch another resume builder for March. Take Northwestern for 3 Units.
San Diego State at UNLV (-6.5)
Finally, we have a road underdog in the Mountain West. This conference is one of the more underrated in the nation, and might be better than the Pac 10 this season.
San Diego State followed its big win over New Mexico with a curious road loss to Wyoming. The Aztecs now travel to Vegas and should give the Rebels all they can handle. The depth and balance of the Aztecs should allow them to stay in this one until the end.
Take SDSU for 2 Units.
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Jan. 12 Plays
We picked up 3 Units last night thanks to an overtime win by Oklahoma. We have 12 more in play tonight.
Texas A&M at Kansas State 146.5
The Aggies have only allowed opponents to shoot 39 percent this season, including 34 percent in their last five games albeit against lesser competition.
Still A&M will get up and guard you and the Wildcats aren’t the most consistent shooting team, especially from the outside.
This number is way too high for these two teams, especially with the Aggies’ defense involved.
K-State does have the ability to get out and run, but it has built this record and top 25 ranking on defense. Expect there to be plenty of that tonight. Take the under for 3 Units.
Kentucky at Florida 143
The Gators had been struggling with their shooting prior to their last game when they shot over 50 percent from the field in a loss to Vanderbilt.
The Wildcats’ offense has also seemed to take flight in recent weeks, scoring at least 70 points in their last seven games.
If Florida can continue to shoot well, which should happen at home, this will turn into a shootout. Take the over for 2 Units.
Penn State at Illinois 132
The Nittany Lions sometimes have trouble finding a complementary scorer for their star guard Talor Battle, and they’ll need to find one tonight against an aggressive and deep Illinois defense.
Battle should get his points, but Penn St. may go stretches without scoring in this one.
Illinois always centers its game plan around defense, so look for them to control the game by limiting Penn State’s offensive rebounding and working the shot clock when on offense. Take the under for 4 Units.
Maryland at Wake Forest (-4.5)
The Terrapins started conference play with a solid win over Florida State and now face Wake Forest on the road. Maryland has been playing well over its last five games, and although the Deacons are coming off a loss at Miami, look for Maryland to continue its strong play and get the win here.
If Gary Williams employs the press, the length and aggressiveness of the Terrapins should force Wake out of its comfort zone.
This should be an up-and-down game, which fits Maryland better with more skilled players. Take Maryland for 3 Units.
Texas A&M at Kansas State 146.5
The Aggies have only allowed opponents to shoot 39 percent this season, including 34 percent in their last five games albeit against lesser competition.
Still A&M will get up and guard you and the Wildcats aren’t the most consistent shooting team, especially from the outside.
This number is way too high for these two teams, especially with the Aggies’ defense involved.
K-State does have the ability to get out and run, but it has built this record and top 25 ranking on defense. Expect there to be plenty of that tonight. Take the under for 3 Units.
Kentucky at Florida 143
The Gators had been struggling with their shooting prior to their last game when they shot over 50 percent from the field in a loss to Vanderbilt.
The Wildcats’ offense has also seemed to take flight in recent weeks, scoring at least 70 points in their last seven games.
If Florida can continue to shoot well, which should happen at home, this will turn into a shootout. Take the over for 2 Units.
Penn State at Illinois 132
The Nittany Lions sometimes have trouble finding a complementary scorer for their star guard Talor Battle, and they’ll need to find one tonight against an aggressive and deep Illinois defense.
Battle should get his points, but Penn St. may go stretches without scoring in this one.
Illinois always centers its game plan around defense, so look for them to control the game by limiting Penn State’s offensive rebounding and working the shot clock when on offense. Take the under for 4 Units.
Maryland at Wake Forest (-4.5)
The Terrapins started conference play with a solid win over Florida State and now face Wake Forest on the road. Maryland has been playing well over its last five games, and although the Deacons are coming off a loss at Miami, look for Maryland to continue its strong play and get the win here.
If Gary Williams employs the press, the length and aggressiveness of the Terrapins should force Wake out of its comfort zone.
This should be an up-and-down game, which fits Maryland better with more skilled players. Take Maryland for 3 Units.
Monday, January 11, 2010
Jan. 11 Plays
After an even Saturday, we look to start making up more ground with three Monday plays:
Villanova at Louisville (-3) O/U 153.5
The Wildcats travel to Freedom Hall to face a gritty Louisville team looking for its first quality win of the season.
Both teams play a similar style, able to create transition offense off of steals and missed shots, but the difference between these two teams might be Louisville big man Samardo Samuels. Villanova does not have much in the way of a frontcourt after Dante Cunningham graduated, and Samuels should be able to patrol the paint and offer the Cardinals a consistent option for inside scoring.
Louisville played a similar style team in Providence last week. Obviously the Friars aren't nearly as talented as the Wildcats, but the key is that Louisville totaled 92 points in that fast-paced game. Look for a similar type of offensive output in this one.
Both teams have shot well this season, and Louisville should have just enough to pull the upset here and improve to 4-0 in conference play. Now is always about the time when Rick Pitino starts to get the most out of his team.
Take the over for 4 Units and Louisville for 3 Units.
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-1)
The Sooners were embarrassed by Baylor on Saturday, and it has been baffling to watch a team with so much talent flounder so badly over the past couple of weeks.
But Oklahoma returns home for a chance to redeem itself less than 48 hours after that lopsided loss.
It feels like we keep waiting for the Sooners to snap out of this funk, and in a rivalry game at home is as good a place as any. If Oklahoma can't get up for this one, they might be a lost cause. Take the Sooners for 2 Units.
Villanova at Louisville (-3) O/U 153.5
The Wildcats travel to Freedom Hall to face a gritty Louisville team looking for its first quality win of the season.
Both teams play a similar style, able to create transition offense off of steals and missed shots, but the difference between these two teams might be Louisville big man Samardo Samuels. Villanova does not have much in the way of a frontcourt after Dante Cunningham graduated, and Samuels should be able to patrol the paint and offer the Cardinals a consistent option for inside scoring.
Louisville played a similar style team in Providence last week. Obviously the Friars aren't nearly as talented as the Wildcats, but the key is that Louisville totaled 92 points in that fast-paced game. Look for a similar type of offensive output in this one.
Both teams have shot well this season, and Louisville should have just enough to pull the upset here and improve to 4-0 in conference play. Now is always about the time when Rick Pitino starts to get the most out of his team.
Take the over for 4 Units and Louisville for 3 Units.
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-1)
The Sooners were embarrassed by Baylor on Saturday, and it has been baffling to watch a team with so much talent flounder so badly over the past couple of weeks.
But Oklahoma returns home for a chance to redeem itself less than 48 hours after that lopsided loss.
It feels like we keep waiting for the Sooners to snap out of this funk, and in a rivalry game at home is as good a place as any. If Oklahoma can't get up for this one, they might be a lost cause. Take the Sooners for 2 Units.
Saturday, January 9, 2010
Jan. 9 Plays
We are looking to push farther into the black with 22 Units in play.
Florida at Vanderbilt O/U 136
The Gators have struggled with their outside shooting all season, averaging just 29 percent from 3-point range. In their last five games, they are 21.9 percent from long distance, and have to face a Vandy team holding opponents under 40 percent this season.
The Commodores rely quite a bit on outside shooting themselves, and will run into a Florida team that is tops in the SEC in 3-point defense.
Neither team has shot particularly well from the free throw line either this season, meaning this one could shape up to be a low-scoring affair. Take the under for 3 Units.
Purdue at Wisconsin O/U 126.5
In Wisconsin’s last six games, the total has finished under the number each time. This should be the seventh in a row against another defensive-minded team in Purdue.
The benefit of picking the under when Wisconsin is involved is that the Badgers always limit live-ball turnovers, meaning they work the shot clock and surrender few transition baskets off of steals.
Wisconsin also rarely gambles on defense and stays in good position, which limits second chance points and makes the other team work on offense.
Purdue employs a similar defense with a slightly more aggressive style. Either way, Wisconsin will play its game in the Kohl Center and slow this one down. Take the under for 4 Units.
Kansas St. at Missouri (-4.5)
The Wildcats have moved all the way up to 10th in the rankings thanks to a 10-game winning streak. Over that span they’ve beaten some solid teams, such as UNLV, Xavier and Washington State. But KSU has yet to face a defense like Missouri’s, which ranks ninth in Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive efficiency.
The Tigers thrive on forcing their opponents into turnovers and creating a frantic pace leading to transition opportunities.
Missouri has fared well against similar opponents at home this season, and they have allowed teams to shoot just 36 percent at home.
It’s time for the Wildcats to come back to earth against the best defense they have faced by far this season. Take Missouri as our stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock of the week for 5 Units.
Northern Iowa at Illinois St. (-1)
This is a matchup of two of the top teams in the Missouti Valley Conference. Northern Iowa comes in at 4-0 after a solid road win at Southern Illinois, while Illinois State is 8-1 at home this season.
The Panthers have established that record with defense, but the Redbirds have been shooting well lately at a 46.5 percent clip in their last five games, including 37 percent from 3-point range. ISU will find enough scoring to take this important conference game. Take Illinois St. for 2 Units.
Cincinnati at Seton Hall (-4.5)
Seton Hall has gotten off to a rough start in its Big East schedule at 0-3, but the Pirates have played the top three ranked teams in the league. They’ve played Syracuse and West Virginia tough at home, and should be hungry for their first win against a Cincinnati team that hasn’t fared too well on the road so far this season.
Seton Hall has the size to match up with the Bearcats, and if they shoot well enough should be able to control this game. Look for Jeremy Hazell to snap out of his mini-slump in front of the home fans. Take the Hall for 3 Units.
Oklahoma at Baylor (-8)
The Sooners have been a big disappointment so far this season, and Jeff Capel was frustrated after their loss to Gonzaga last weekend.
The problem has been defensively as they’ve allowed 71 points per game.
Meanwhile, Baylor has quietly been one of the better team in the country over the past month and open up Big 12 play hosting the Sooners.
Baylor should win this game with their strong guard play, but if the Sooners are truly serious about turning things around, they’ll keep it closer than the number. Take Oklahoma for 2 Units.
West Virginia (-3.5) at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish have always been a tough team to beat in the Joyce Center, and although they are thought to be down this year, they can still catch fire at home.
Notre Dame ranks third in offensive efficiency, and although West Virginia is a strong defensive team they are prone to giving up the 3-point shot as evidence by their game against Marquette a couple of weeks ago.
ND can also play the inside-out game with all-American Luke Harangody able to facilitate open shots for Ben Hansbrough and Tory Jackson.
The Mountaineers clearly have the more talented roster, but it’s worth taking the Irish at home in a tough environment.
If ‘Gody is serious about getting ND back in the NCAA Tournament, this win would go a long way in March. Take ND for 3 Units.
Florida at Vanderbilt O/U 136
The Gators have struggled with their outside shooting all season, averaging just 29 percent from 3-point range. In their last five games, they are 21.9 percent from long distance, and have to face a Vandy team holding opponents under 40 percent this season.
The Commodores rely quite a bit on outside shooting themselves, and will run into a Florida team that is tops in the SEC in 3-point defense.
Neither team has shot particularly well from the free throw line either this season, meaning this one could shape up to be a low-scoring affair. Take the under for 3 Units.
Purdue at Wisconsin O/U 126.5
In Wisconsin’s last six games, the total has finished under the number each time. This should be the seventh in a row against another defensive-minded team in Purdue.
The benefit of picking the under when Wisconsin is involved is that the Badgers always limit live-ball turnovers, meaning they work the shot clock and surrender few transition baskets off of steals.
Wisconsin also rarely gambles on defense and stays in good position, which limits second chance points and makes the other team work on offense.
Purdue employs a similar defense with a slightly more aggressive style. Either way, Wisconsin will play its game in the Kohl Center and slow this one down. Take the under for 4 Units.
Kansas St. at Missouri (-4.5)
The Wildcats have moved all the way up to 10th in the rankings thanks to a 10-game winning streak. Over that span they’ve beaten some solid teams, such as UNLV, Xavier and Washington State. But KSU has yet to face a defense like Missouri’s, which ranks ninth in Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive efficiency.
The Tigers thrive on forcing their opponents into turnovers and creating a frantic pace leading to transition opportunities.
Missouri has fared well against similar opponents at home this season, and they have allowed teams to shoot just 36 percent at home.
It’s time for the Wildcats to come back to earth against the best defense they have faced by far this season. Take Missouri as our stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock of the week for 5 Units.
Northern Iowa at Illinois St. (-1)
This is a matchup of two of the top teams in the Missouti Valley Conference. Northern Iowa comes in at 4-0 after a solid road win at Southern Illinois, while Illinois State is 8-1 at home this season.
The Panthers have established that record with defense, but the Redbirds have been shooting well lately at a 46.5 percent clip in their last five games, including 37 percent from 3-point range. ISU will find enough scoring to take this important conference game. Take Illinois St. for 2 Units.
Cincinnati at Seton Hall (-4.5)
Seton Hall has gotten off to a rough start in its Big East schedule at 0-3, but the Pirates have played the top three ranked teams in the league. They’ve played Syracuse and West Virginia tough at home, and should be hungry for their first win against a Cincinnati team that hasn’t fared too well on the road so far this season.
Seton Hall has the size to match up with the Bearcats, and if they shoot well enough should be able to control this game. Look for Jeremy Hazell to snap out of his mini-slump in front of the home fans. Take the Hall for 3 Units.
Oklahoma at Baylor (-8)
The Sooners have been a big disappointment so far this season, and Jeff Capel was frustrated after their loss to Gonzaga last weekend.
The problem has been defensively as they’ve allowed 71 points per game.
Meanwhile, Baylor has quietly been one of the better team in the country over the past month and open up Big 12 play hosting the Sooners.
Baylor should win this game with their strong guard play, but if the Sooners are truly serious about turning things around, they’ll keep it closer than the number. Take Oklahoma for 2 Units.
West Virginia (-3.5) at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish have always been a tough team to beat in the Joyce Center, and although they are thought to be down this year, they can still catch fire at home.
Notre Dame ranks third in offensive efficiency, and although West Virginia is a strong defensive team they are prone to giving up the 3-point shot as evidence by their game against Marquette a couple of weeks ago.
ND can also play the inside-out game with all-American Luke Harangody able to facilitate open shots for Ben Hansbrough and Tory Jackson.
The Mountaineers clearly have the more talented roster, but it’s worth taking the Irish at home in a tough environment.
If ‘Gody is serious about getting ND back in the NCAA Tournament, this win would go a long way in March. Take ND for 3 Units.
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
Jan. 6 Plays
We enjoyed our first clean sweep of the season last night, picking up 12 units. Let's keep it going with these 21 units in play:
Wisconsin at Michigan St. Under 134.5 4 Units
This matchup has become quite a rivalry since Bo Ryan took over at UW. He has Tom Izzo's number with an 11-4 record against the Spartans, and the losses have only come in East Lansing.
These games have perennially been defensive, physical battles with both teams grinding out points at the free throw line and scoring in the halfcourt. Expect it to be much of the same this year as Ryan has his team playing exceptionally disciplined defense and not turning the ball over much.
Sparty has had issues with turnovers this season, but Wisconsin tends to just play straight up on defense and not gamble too often for steals.
This will be another classic between these two teams, but not much in the way of playmaking. Take the under for 4 Units.
Charlotte (+12) at Tennessee
The Vols earned a statement win at Memphis last week, but the next day found out four of their players celebrated a little too much and have been suspended for this game against a hard-nosed Charlotte team.
It's difficult to say how Tennessee will respond with three key contributors, including Tyler Smith, out for this game, but the 49ers will be hungry to earn another resume-building victory.
Earlier this season Charlotte went into Louisville and mopped the floor with an undermanned Cardinals team. Now they have another opportunity to knock off a ranked team on the road with a limited bench. So look for them to beat the spread here, and it's worth putting a couple on the victory. Take Charlotte with the points for 4 Units and to win (+600) for 2 Units.
Memphis at Syracuse Under 146.5
The Orange just lost its first game of the season when Pitt came into the Carrier Dome and pulled the upset. Now the Cuse hosts a Memphis team searching for consistency on offense. The Tigers has shot just 33 percent in its two losses to ranked opponents, including 28 percent from 3-point range, which won't help against the Syracuse zone.
On the other side, Syracuse struggled with Pittsburgh physical defense and shot well under its season average in the loss. Memphis features that same type of defensive style and are 15th in Ken Pomeroy's effective defensive field goal percentage. Syracuse is 17th in that same statistic.
Take the under for 3 Units
Illinois State (-6) at Evansville
The Redbirds are looking to keep pace in the difficult Missouri Valley with a road win against an outmatch Evansville team. ISU has started 2-1 in conference play and can't afford to drop this game against the 0-3 Aces.
Illinois State features strong guard play in senior, and MVC player of the year candidate, Osiris Eldridge, along with senior Llyod Phillips, who scored 21 in the Redbirds' last outing.
That tandem will be a key factor in taking care of business against the Aces. Take ISU for 3 Units.
Seton Hall at Connecticut (-6.5) 2 Units
How's this for a schedule? Host No. 6 West Virginia on Dec. 26, then host No. 5 Syracuse on Dec. 29, then play Virginia Tech in Cancun, Mexico on Jan. 2, then return to the states to face No. 13 Connecticut in Storrs. It might be fair to say the Pirates are a little worn out by that run. Plus, they lost all of those previous affairs, and are running into a UConn team that seems to have its swagger back after a loss at Cincy.
That being said, Jeremy Hazell has the ability to heat up and keep the Hall close in this one. But, I'd expect Stanley Robinson to match up with him, and with his length he's one of the few defenders in the Big East that could give Hazell trouble. Take UConn for 2 Units.
UNLV (+8) at BYU 3 Units
This was nearly a matchup of two ranked opponents, but UNLV lost its last game against USC in Hawaii. The Rebels haven't played since Dec. 25 and that long layoff should help them in this tough conference game.
Vegas has BYU's number, having won 8 of their last 11 against the Cougars, who have won nine straight. BYU will likely be without Jackson Emery (13.4 ppg) with an ankle injury and the Cougars are unsure on how their leading scorer Jimmer Fredette will come back from a bout with strep throat.
UNLV will look to snap BYU's 9-game winning streak with its defense which has held six straight opponents under 70 points and its deep bench, which features 11 players averaging at least 10.5 minutes. Take the Rebels for 3 Units.
Wisconsin at Michigan St. Under 134.5 4 Units
This matchup has become quite a rivalry since Bo Ryan took over at UW. He has Tom Izzo's number with an 11-4 record against the Spartans, and the losses have only come in East Lansing.
These games have perennially been defensive, physical battles with both teams grinding out points at the free throw line and scoring in the halfcourt. Expect it to be much of the same this year as Ryan has his team playing exceptionally disciplined defense and not turning the ball over much.
Sparty has had issues with turnovers this season, but Wisconsin tends to just play straight up on defense and not gamble too often for steals.
This will be another classic between these two teams, but not much in the way of playmaking. Take the under for 4 Units.
Charlotte (+12) at Tennessee
The Vols earned a statement win at Memphis last week, but the next day found out four of their players celebrated a little too much and have been suspended for this game against a hard-nosed Charlotte team.
It's difficult to say how Tennessee will respond with three key contributors, including Tyler Smith, out for this game, but the 49ers will be hungry to earn another resume-building victory.
Earlier this season Charlotte went into Louisville and mopped the floor with an undermanned Cardinals team. Now they have another opportunity to knock off a ranked team on the road with a limited bench. So look for them to beat the spread here, and it's worth putting a couple on the victory. Take Charlotte with the points for 4 Units and to win (+600) for 2 Units.
Memphis at Syracuse Under 146.5
The Orange just lost its first game of the season when Pitt came into the Carrier Dome and pulled the upset. Now the Cuse hosts a Memphis team searching for consistency on offense. The Tigers has shot just 33 percent in its two losses to ranked opponents, including 28 percent from 3-point range, which won't help against the Syracuse zone.
On the other side, Syracuse struggled with Pittsburgh physical defense and shot well under its season average in the loss. Memphis features that same type of defensive style and are 15th in Ken Pomeroy's effective defensive field goal percentage. Syracuse is 17th in that same statistic.
Take the under for 3 Units
Illinois State (-6) at Evansville
The Redbirds are looking to keep pace in the difficult Missouri Valley with a road win against an outmatch Evansville team. ISU has started 2-1 in conference play and can't afford to drop this game against the 0-3 Aces.
Illinois State features strong guard play in senior, and MVC player of the year candidate, Osiris Eldridge, along with senior Llyod Phillips, who scored 21 in the Redbirds' last outing.
That tandem will be a key factor in taking care of business against the Aces. Take ISU for 3 Units.
Seton Hall at Connecticut (-6.5) 2 Units
How's this for a schedule? Host No. 6 West Virginia on Dec. 26, then host No. 5 Syracuse on Dec. 29, then play Virginia Tech in Cancun, Mexico on Jan. 2, then return to the states to face No. 13 Connecticut in Storrs. It might be fair to say the Pirates are a little worn out by that run. Plus, they lost all of those previous affairs, and are running into a UConn team that seems to have its swagger back after a loss at Cincy.
That being said, Jeremy Hazell has the ability to heat up and keep the Hall close in this one. But, I'd expect Stanley Robinson to match up with him, and with his length he's one of the few defenders in the Big East that could give Hazell trouble. Take UConn for 2 Units.
UNLV (+8) at BYU 3 Units
This was nearly a matchup of two ranked opponents, but UNLV lost its last game against USC in Hawaii. The Rebels haven't played since Dec. 25 and that long layoff should help them in this tough conference game.
Vegas has BYU's number, having won 8 of their last 11 against the Cougars, who have won nine straight. BYU will likely be without Jackson Emery (13.4 ppg) with an ankle injury and the Cougars are unsure on how their leading scorer Jimmer Fredette will come back from a bout with strep throat.
UNLV will look to snap BYU's 9-game winning streak with its defense which has held six straight opponents under 70 points and its deep bench, which features 11 players averaging at least 10.5 minutes. Take the Rebels for 3 Units.
Jan. 5 Plays
We’re back on the horse after the Holidays with three plays, including the fourth Jimmer lock of the season. Enjoy.
Minnesota at Purdue O/U 138.5
The Gophers are a deep bunch that employs full-court pressure and likes to push the ball on offense. Purdue has a number of scorers and it’s easy for a team to fall into that frenetic pace that Minnesota sets.
Although Purdue is a solid defensive team, the Boilermakers are actually allowing teams to shoot 38 percent from 3-point range, which is a big part of Minnesota’s guard-heavy offense.
Expect this game to differ from the normal Big Ten tempo and for both teams to get out and run with this game played in the 70s.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Iowa at Illinois O/U 140.5
The line in this game is 16 points in favor of the Illini and the only way the Hawkeyes stay on this one is to slow the pace.
Although the Hawkeyes put up 74 points in their last game, that was against a Minnesota team that likes to push the ball. It’s highly unlikely Iowa gets even close to that number in this one.
Neither team is all that skilled on offense, and although Iowa has some outside shooting, they can’t play an up-and-down game and stay in this one.
Todd Lickliter will try to slow the pace, and Bruce Weber always prefers to focus on defense.
This one won’t get close to the number. Take the under for a Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under, stone-cold, lead-pipe lock for 5 Units.
New Mexico at San Diego St. (-3)
The Lobos have had a dream start to the season, including a 14-1 record and a No. 14 ranking.
But SDSU was picked as the conference favorites and this is the Aztecs’ chance to get off to a quick start in conference play.
Head coach Steve Fisher has a lot of scoring options with four players averaging double figures.
The Aztecs have been somewhat inconsistent this season, but they need this win and New Mexico is a young team that already lost at Oral Roberts this season.
Take SDSU for 4 Units.
Minnesota at Purdue O/U 138.5
The Gophers are a deep bunch that employs full-court pressure and likes to push the ball on offense. Purdue has a number of scorers and it’s easy for a team to fall into that frenetic pace that Minnesota sets.
Although Purdue is a solid defensive team, the Boilermakers are actually allowing teams to shoot 38 percent from 3-point range, which is a big part of Minnesota’s guard-heavy offense.
Expect this game to differ from the normal Big Ten tempo and for both teams to get out and run with this game played in the 70s.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Iowa at Illinois O/U 140.5
The line in this game is 16 points in favor of the Illini and the only way the Hawkeyes stay on this one is to slow the pace.
Although the Hawkeyes put up 74 points in their last game, that was against a Minnesota team that likes to push the ball. It’s highly unlikely Iowa gets even close to that number in this one.
Neither team is all that skilled on offense, and although Iowa has some outside shooting, they can’t play an up-and-down game and stay in this one.
Todd Lickliter will try to slow the pace, and Bruce Weber always prefers to focus on defense.
This one won’t get close to the number. Take the under for a Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under, stone-cold, lead-pipe lock for 5 Units.
New Mexico at San Diego St. (-3)
The Lobos have had a dream start to the season, including a 14-1 record and a No. 14 ranking.
But SDSU was picked as the conference favorites and this is the Aztecs’ chance to get off to a quick start in conference play.
Head coach Steve Fisher has a lot of scoring options with four players averaging double figures.
The Aztecs have been somewhat inconsistent this season, but they need this win and New Mexico is a young team that already lost at Oral Roberts this season.
Take SDSU for 4 Units.
Saturday, January 2, 2010
First Play of the New Decade
Gonzaga at Illinois (-3)
The Illini host the Zags in Chicago only two days after the Bulldogs hosted Oklahoma in Seattle.
Illinois has been an up-and-down team this year, but match up well against Gonzaga and should have the benefit of less travel and more rest.
Take Illinois for 2 Units.
The Illini host the Zags in Chicago only two days after the Bulldogs hosted Oklahoma in Seattle.
Illinois has been an up-and-down team this year, but match up well against Gonzaga and should have the benefit of less travel and more rest.
Take Illinois for 2 Units.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)