St. Mary's vs. Villanova 152.5
Both of these teams have fantastic guard play and love to shoot early in the shot clock. The Gaels will have the benefit of Omar Samhan inside, who will be a tough matchup against Nova. Take the over for 4 Units.
Murray State vs. Butler (-4.5)
The Racers topped Vanderbilt, and should give the Bulldogs all they can handle. Take Murray State for 2 Units.
Ohio vs. Tennessee (-8.5)
Although the Bobcats are a huge underdog, they should be playing with a lot of confidence. Tennessee survived its first-round game, and they'll have to survive another one today. Take Ohio for 3 Units.
Northern Iowa vs. Kansas (-11.5)
UNI likes to slow the game down, and that will be the only chance they have to pull the upset. It'll be tough for Kansas to cover this spread. Take Northern Iowa for 2 Units.
Old Dominion vs. Baylor 128.5
The Bears have too many options on the offensive end to be held down. Take the over for 2 Units.
Washington vs. New Mexico 151
Both of these teams prefer an up-tempo style. This will be a fun one to watch. Take the over as my stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under, 5-Unit lock.
BYU vs. Kansas State (-4.5)
The Cougars are a tough team and play a similar style to the Wildcats. They can hang around in this one. Take BYU for 2 Units.
Wake Forest vs. Kentucky (-9.5)
The Wildcats looked great in their first game, and Wake played a hard-fought overtime game. Take UK for 3 Units.
Saturday, March 20, 2010
Thursday, March 18, 2010
NCAA First Round Plays
It has been requested that I pick all of the first round games, so I’ll oblige. What I’ll do is select a handful of games that I really like and research those, then I’ll pick the rest and assign 1 Unit to those games. Some will be picks on the line, and some will be on the total.
We’ll go in chronological order, so all you degenerates out there can double up during the day.
Thursday’s Games
Florida vs. Brighman Young (-5) O/U 146.5 11:15 p.m. (All times CDT)
We start off with maybe our best value play of the first round. The Gators backed into the tournament, losing four of five games, and some, like me, didn’t really think they belonged, much less deserved a 10 seed.
The Cougars went 14-4 in an underrated Mountain West Conference, and feature one of the most potent offenses in the country. BYU averages 83 points per game, led by Jimmer Fredette, who will be highly motivated to make sure he finishes his college career with a victory.
Florida isn’t committed enough on the defensive end to stop BYU for the whole game, and their athleticism may get them some offensive rebounds, but look for the more disciplined, a tournament-experienced Cougars to roll in this one.
Take BYU for 4 Units and the over for 3 Units.
Old Dominion vs. Notre Dame (-2.5) 11:25 p.m.
The Domers are one of the hottest teams entering this tournament, and I think ODU is getting too much credit for winning a weak league this season. Yes they beat Georgetown earlier this year, but ND has figure out that slowing the ball down and playing defense is it’s ticket to Ws. Take ND for 1 Unit.
Robert Morris vs. Villanova 147.5 11:30 p.m.
The Wildcats love to shoot early in the shot clock, and Robert Morris won’t put up much of a fight to stop them. The Cats will get an early lead, then run it up. Take the over for 1 Unit.
Murray State vs. Vanderbilt 140.5 12:30 p.m.
Both of these teams averaged 77 points per game this season. The Racers have shot 46 percent in their last five games, while Vandy has shot 43 percent from 3-point range in its last five.
This will be a high-scoring game. Take the over for 1 Unit.
North Texas vs. Kansas St. (-16) 1:40 p.m.
The Wildcats don’t have a ton of tournament experience, and I’ve been waiting for the other shoe to drop on this team all year. They have a talented backcourt, but I think KSU might have some NCAA jitters now that the pressure in on them for the first time in a while. Take North Texas for 2 Units.
Sam Houston St. vs. Baylor (-10.5) 1:45 p.m.
What you need come tournament time is a talented backcourt, and an athletic big man that can erase defensive mistakes with his shot blocking. Baylor has both of those. Take the Bears for 1 Unit.
St. Mary’s vs. Richmond (-2) 1:50 p.m.
Both of these teams enter the tournament with a lot of confidence. The Gaels throttled Gonzaga in the WCC championship, and Richmond took a good Temple team to overtime in the A10 final.
The Spiders have been giant killers this season, but SMC has too many offensive options for Richmond to slow them down.
Take St. Mary’s for 3 Units.
UTEP vs. Butler (-2.5) 3:45 p.m.
If I could have Randy Culpepper’s kids, I would. That being said I could see this game going either way. Take UTEP for 1 Unit.
Northern Iowa vs. UNLV 114 6:10 p.m.
This is an intriguing matchup of an athletic Rebel team against the plodding Panthers.
Both teams will get up and guard you, and UNI limits their opponents’ run-outs in transition. This will be a rough game to watch, and played in the 50s. Take the under for 2 Units.
East Tennessee State vs. Kentucky (-19.5) 6:15 p.m.
Remember when Kentucky had problems putting away mediocre teams earlier in the year? Will the Buccaneers fit the bill, and the Wildcats might be looking past this one for a matchup against Texas. Take ETSU for 1 Unit.
Washington vs. Marquette (-1.5) 6:20 p.m.
I can’t pick against the alma mater. That being said, this matchup scares me. Take Marquette for 1 Unit.
Ohio vs. Georgetown (-13) 6:25 p.m.
The Bobcats were a No. 9 seed in their conference tournament. The Hoyas have enough experience to know not to look past this one. Take G’Town for 2 Units.
Lehigh vs. Kansas (-25) 8:30 p.m.
Bill Self isn’t shy about running up the score, and the Jayhawks are deep, so even the scrubs can score. Take KU for 1 Unit.
Wake Forest vs. Texas (-5) 8:35 p.m.
The Longhorns went into a freefall after reaching No. 1, while the Deacons went into a freefall when the calendar hit March.
This is a bad matchup for Wake as Texas is more athletic at every position. If Texas finally commits to defense, which they should now that this is their season, they’ll shut down the Wake Forest offense.
Damion James won’t let his career end with a first-round loss, and even though Rick Barnes couldn’t coach himself out of a paper bag, Texas’ athletes will get a lot of easy buckets off of dumb Wake turnovers.
Take Texas for a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under, 5-Unit lock.
Montana vs. New Mexico 135
The Lobos like to play a fast pace. That’s all I got. Take the over for 1 Unit.
San Diego State vs. Tennessee (-3.5)
The Vols have had to prove themselves all season, and Bruce Pearl has done a heck of a job with all that’s happened this season.
But Steve Fisher has also brought the Aztecs back from a mid-season slump to win a deep MWC Tournament.
If you don’t know the names Kawhi Leonard and D.J. Gay yet, you will after this game. SDSU’s desire and hustle will frustrate a Tennessee team that tends to be inconsistent, and struggles to score at times.
Take the Aztecs to win at +145 for 4 Units.
Friday’s Games
Morgan State vs. West Virginia 137 11:15 p.m.
The Mountaineers are a bad shooting team, but they play great defense. This one will be low scoring. Take the under for 1 Unit.
Minnesota vs. Xavier (PK) 11:25 p.m.
The Gophers made a great run in the Big Ten Tournament, which probably got them into the tournament. That doesn’t necessarily mean they belong there.
The Musketeers do though, and Minny has no one to match up with Jordan Crawford, who can be a black hole at times but I think realizes that he needs to share the ball for his team to advance.
Xavier will be just as physical as Minnesota, which will take away any mental edge Tubby might tell his team they have. The Muskies will come out hungry and get a tough win. Take Xavier for 3 Units.
Cornell vs. Temple 119 11:30 p.m.
The Owls are a brilliant defensive team, while Cornell loves to shoot the deep ball. Count on Temple slowing this game down. Take the under for 1 Unit.
Siena vs. Purdue (-4) 1:30 p.m.
The Saints have had some great tournament upsets in recent years, but their stud from those teams is gone.
Purdue’s stud is gone too, and they haven’t looked the same since Robbie Hummel’s injury.
That said, I’m not sure how this will affect the Boilers. Take Siena for 2 Units.
Missouri vs. Clemson 139 1:35 p.m.
Let’s see, both teams press, both are athletic and both like to score in transition. Sounds like an over for 2 Units.
Oakland vs. Pittsburgh 134.5 1:45 p.m.
The Panthers have little offense, and rely on their defense for wins. Take the under for 1 Units.
Wofford vs. Wisconsin 115.5 1:50 p.m.
I was up late listening to ESPN Radio on Sunday night, and they had the Wofford coach on. He said Wisconsin was the worst matchup for his team, because they play the same style, expect Wisconsin is bigger, deeper and more talented.
I first thought, that’s what she said, then thought this will be a low-scoring game. The coach then went on to say that the over/under will probably be 76. As you can see above, the over/under is not 76, and I’m trusting the Wofford coach that this will be an ugly game.
Take the under for Friday’s stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under, 5-Unit lock.
Utah State vs. Texas A&M 125 3:45 p.m.
Both of these teams are committed defensively, and the Aggies love to go deep in the shot clock with their numerous offensive sets.
Their defense will disrupt the A&M offense, that is already limited without much guard scoring. Take the under for 3 Units.
Gonzaga vs. Florida State (-1.5) 6:10 p.m.
The Zags are better than the committee gave them credit, and their size will disrupt the Noles post men.
Mark Few always comes up with a good gameplan come tourney time. Take the Bulldogs for 3 Units.
Georgia Tech vs. Oklahoma State (-1.5) 6:15 p.m.
The Jackets turn the ball over too much, and that will hurt them against a good OSU team led by future lottery pick James Anderson. Take OSU for 2 Units.
New Mexico State vs. Michigan State 149 6:20 p.m.
Come tournament time Sparty plays great defense, and this will be no exception. Take the under for 1 Unit.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Duke (-23.5) 6:25 p.m.
The Devils are well rested and will come ready to play. Take Duke for 1 Unit.
Vermont vs. Syracuse 143 8:30 p.m.
The Orange will get theirs and Vermont will shoot over the zone to try and beat it. They’ll hit a few, so take the over for 1 Unit.
UC-Santa Barbara vs. Ohio State 132 8:35 p.m.
The Buckeyes were hotter than a pistol in their last game, and actually play a more up-tempo game than people give them credit for. Take the over for 1 Unit.
Houston vs. Maryland (-9.5) 8:40 p.m.
The Cougars will enter with a lot of confidence, having won their conference tournament to get in. They have the nation’s leading scorer and a good coach in Tom Penders. Take Houston for 2 Units.
Louisville vs. California (-1) 8:45 p.m.
It seems if the Cardinals are interested they can play with anyone. Well, they should be interested in this one, and their extended zone will limit Cal’s looks at 3-pointers.
If Samardo Samuels has a big game, the Cardinals can win. Take Louisville for 3 Units.
There you have it. All 32 first round games and 62 Units in play. Enjoy, and check back Saturday for more.
We’ll go in chronological order, so all you degenerates out there can double up during the day.
Thursday’s Games
Florida vs. Brighman Young (-5) O/U 146.5 11:15 p.m. (All times CDT)
We start off with maybe our best value play of the first round. The Gators backed into the tournament, losing four of five games, and some, like me, didn’t really think they belonged, much less deserved a 10 seed.
The Cougars went 14-4 in an underrated Mountain West Conference, and feature one of the most potent offenses in the country. BYU averages 83 points per game, led by Jimmer Fredette, who will be highly motivated to make sure he finishes his college career with a victory.
Florida isn’t committed enough on the defensive end to stop BYU for the whole game, and their athleticism may get them some offensive rebounds, but look for the more disciplined, a tournament-experienced Cougars to roll in this one.
Take BYU for 4 Units and the over for 3 Units.
Old Dominion vs. Notre Dame (-2.5) 11:25 p.m.
The Domers are one of the hottest teams entering this tournament, and I think ODU is getting too much credit for winning a weak league this season. Yes they beat Georgetown earlier this year, but ND has figure out that slowing the ball down and playing defense is it’s ticket to Ws. Take ND for 1 Unit.
Robert Morris vs. Villanova 147.5 11:30 p.m.
The Wildcats love to shoot early in the shot clock, and Robert Morris won’t put up much of a fight to stop them. The Cats will get an early lead, then run it up. Take the over for 1 Unit.
Murray State vs. Vanderbilt 140.5 12:30 p.m.
Both of these teams averaged 77 points per game this season. The Racers have shot 46 percent in their last five games, while Vandy has shot 43 percent from 3-point range in its last five.
This will be a high-scoring game. Take the over for 1 Unit.
North Texas vs. Kansas St. (-16) 1:40 p.m.
The Wildcats don’t have a ton of tournament experience, and I’ve been waiting for the other shoe to drop on this team all year. They have a talented backcourt, but I think KSU might have some NCAA jitters now that the pressure in on them for the first time in a while. Take North Texas for 2 Units.
Sam Houston St. vs. Baylor (-10.5) 1:45 p.m.
What you need come tournament time is a talented backcourt, and an athletic big man that can erase defensive mistakes with his shot blocking. Baylor has both of those. Take the Bears for 1 Unit.
St. Mary’s vs. Richmond (-2) 1:50 p.m.
Both of these teams enter the tournament with a lot of confidence. The Gaels throttled Gonzaga in the WCC championship, and Richmond took a good Temple team to overtime in the A10 final.
The Spiders have been giant killers this season, but SMC has too many offensive options for Richmond to slow them down.
Take St. Mary’s for 3 Units.
UTEP vs. Butler (-2.5) 3:45 p.m.
If I could have Randy Culpepper’s kids, I would. That being said I could see this game going either way. Take UTEP for 1 Unit.
Northern Iowa vs. UNLV 114 6:10 p.m.
This is an intriguing matchup of an athletic Rebel team against the plodding Panthers.
Both teams will get up and guard you, and UNI limits their opponents’ run-outs in transition. This will be a rough game to watch, and played in the 50s. Take the under for 2 Units.
East Tennessee State vs. Kentucky (-19.5) 6:15 p.m.
Remember when Kentucky had problems putting away mediocre teams earlier in the year? Will the Buccaneers fit the bill, and the Wildcats might be looking past this one for a matchup against Texas. Take ETSU for 1 Unit.
Washington vs. Marquette (-1.5) 6:20 p.m.
I can’t pick against the alma mater. That being said, this matchup scares me. Take Marquette for 1 Unit.
Ohio vs. Georgetown (-13) 6:25 p.m.
The Bobcats were a No. 9 seed in their conference tournament. The Hoyas have enough experience to know not to look past this one. Take G’Town for 2 Units.
Lehigh vs. Kansas (-25) 8:30 p.m.
Bill Self isn’t shy about running up the score, and the Jayhawks are deep, so even the scrubs can score. Take KU for 1 Unit.
Wake Forest vs. Texas (-5) 8:35 p.m.
The Longhorns went into a freefall after reaching No. 1, while the Deacons went into a freefall when the calendar hit March.
This is a bad matchup for Wake as Texas is more athletic at every position. If Texas finally commits to defense, which they should now that this is their season, they’ll shut down the Wake Forest offense.
Damion James won’t let his career end with a first-round loss, and even though Rick Barnes couldn’t coach himself out of a paper bag, Texas’ athletes will get a lot of easy buckets off of dumb Wake turnovers.
Take Texas for a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under, 5-Unit lock.
Montana vs. New Mexico 135
The Lobos like to play a fast pace. That’s all I got. Take the over for 1 Unit.
San Diego State vs. Tennessee (-3.5)
The Vols have had to prove themselves all season, and Bruce Pearl has done a heck of a job with all that’s happened this season.
But Steve Fisher has also brought the Aztecs back from a mid-season slump to win a deep MWC Tournament.
If you don’t know the names Kawhi Leonard and D.J. Gay yet, you will after this game. SDSU’s desire and hustle will frustrate a Tennessee team that tends to be inconsistent, and struggles to score at times.
Take the Aztecs to win at +145 for 4 Units.
Friday’s Games
Morgan State vs. West Virginia 137 11:15 p.m.
The Mountaineers are a bad shooting team, but they play great defense. This one will be low scoring. Take the under for 1 Unit.
Minnesota vs. Xavier (PK) 11:25 p.m.
The Gophers made a great run in the Big Ten Tournament, which probably got them into the tournament. That doesn’t necessarily mean they belong there.
The Musketeers do though, and Minny has no one to match up with Jordan Crawford, who can be a black hole at times but I think realizes that he needs to share the ball for his team to advance.
Xavier will be just as physical as Minnesota, which will take away any mental edge Tubby might tell his team they have. The Muskies will come out hungry and get a tough win. Take Xavier for 3 Units.
Cornell vs. Temple 119 11:30 p.m.
The Owls are a brilliant defensive team, while Cornell loves to shoot the deep ball. Count on Temple slowing this game down. Take the under for 1 Unit.
Siena vs. Purdue (-4) 1:30 p.m.
The Saints have had some great tournament upsets in recent years, but their stud from those teams is gone.
Purdue’s stud is gone too, and they haven’t looked the same since Robbie Hummel’s injury.
That said, I’m not sure how this will affect the Boilers. Take Siena for 2 Units.
Missouri vs. Clemson 139 1:35 p.m.
Let’s see, both teams press, both are athletic and both like to score in transition. Sounds like an over for 2 Units.
Oakland vs. Pittsburgh 134.5 1:45 p.m.
The Panthers have little offense, and rely on their defense for wins. Take the under for 1 Units.
Wofford vs. Wisconsin 115.5 1:50 p.m.
I was up late listening to ESPN Radio on Sunday night, and they had the Wofford coach on. He said Wisconsin was the worst matchup for his team, because they play the same style, expect Wisconsin is bigger, deeper and more talented.
I first thought, that’s what she said, then thought this will be a low-scoring game. The coach then went on to say that the over/under will probably be 76. As you can see above, the over/under is not 76, and I’m trusting the Wofford coach that this will be an ugly game.
Take the under for Friday’s stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under, 5-Unit lock.
Utah State vs. Texas A&M 125 3:45 p.m.
Both of these teams are committed defensively, and the Aggies love to go deep in the shot clock with their numerous offensive sets.
Their defense will disrupt the A&M offense, that is already limited without much guard scoring. Take the under for 3 Units.
Gonzaga vs. Florida State (-1.5) 6:10 p.m.
The Zags are better than the committee gave them credit, and their size will disrupt the Noles post men.
Mark Few always comes up with a good gameplan come tourney time. Take the Bulldogs for 3 Units.
Georgia Tech vs. Oklahoma State (-1.5) 6:15 p.m.
The Jackets turn the ball over too much, and that will hurt them against a good OSU team led by future lottery pick James Anderson. Take OSU for 2 Units.
New Mexico State vs. Michigan State 149 6:20 p.m.
Come tournament time Sparty plays great defense, and this will be no exception. Take the under for 1 Unit.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Duke (-23.5) 6:25 p.m.
The Devils are well rested and will come ready to play. Take Duke for 1 Unit.
Vermont vs. Syracuse 143 8:30 p.m.
The Orange will get theirs and Vermont will shoot over the zone to try and beat it. They’ll hit a few, so take the over for 1 Unit.
UC-Santa Barbara vs. Ohio State 132 8:35 p.m.
The Buckeyes were hotter than a pistol in their last game, and actually play a more up-tempo game than people give them credit for. Take the over for 1 Unit.
Houston vs. Maryland (-9.5) 8:40 p.m.
The Cougars will enter with a lot of confidence, having won their conference tournament to get in. They have the nation’s leading scorer and a good coach in Tom Penders. Take Houston for 2 Units.
Louisville vs. California (-1) 8:45 p.m.
It seems if the Cardinals are interested they can play with anyone. Well, they should be interested in this one, and their extended zone will limit Cal’s looks at 3-pointers.
If Samardo Samuels has a big game, the Cardinals can win. Take Louisville for 3 Units.
There you have it. All 32 first round games and 62 Units in play. Enjoy, and check back Saturday for more.
Saturday, March 13, 2010
March 14 Plays
After an average day, we’re rooting for the Hoyas tonight and have these plays for tomorrow.
Mississippi State vs. Kentucky (-7.5)
Kentucky’s defense is in top form, holding a dynamic Tennessee team to 45 points in the semifinals.
The Bulldogs took the Wildcats to the limit in their one meeting at Starkville earlier this season, but Kentucky is peaking right now and State’s running into a deep, motivated team.
Take the Wildcats and Ashley Judd for 4 Units.
Georgia Tech vs. Duke (-9.5)
The Yellow Jackets have survived some close games to get to the ACC Tournament final, while Duke has handled its two games pretty easily.
Tech has the talent to hang with the Blue Devils, and if they stay committed to ball distribution and defense they’ll be able to stay in this one.
Tech topped Duke once already this season, and they’ll keep this one close in a game they need more than Duke. Take the Yellow Jackets for 4 Units.
Minnesota vs. Ohio State (-4)
The Gophers are playing for their NCAA Tournament life and looked very motivated, especially on the defensive end against Purdue and Michigan State.
The Buckeyes are lucky to be in the finals after surviving close games against Michigan and Illinois.
Look for the Gopher’s size to disrupt the Buckeyes drives to the hoop and take Minnesota for 3 Units.
Richmond vs. Temple (-3.5)
Temple’s defense has been absolutely stifling so far in the A10 Tournament, and they’ve had some relatively easy games so far.
Richmond survived an overtime game against Xavier on Saturday, and face the Owls, who they defeated by 17 last time they matched up.
Temple will be ready to get its revenge, and Richmond’s offense will be too inconsistent in this one. Take Temple for 3 Units.
Mississippi State vs. Kentucky (-7.5)
Kentucky’s defense is in top form, holding a dynamic Tennessee team to 45 points in the semifinals.
The Bulldogs took the Wildcats to the limit in their one meeting at Starkville earlier this season, but Kentucky is peaking right now and State’s running into a deep, motivated team.
Take the Wildcats and Ashley Judd for 4 Units.
Georgia Tech vs. Duke (-9.5)
The Yellow Jackets have survived some close games to get to the ACC Tournament final, while Duke has handled its two games pretty easily.
Tech has the talent to hang with the Blue Devils, and if they stay committed to ball distribution and defense they’ll be able to stay in this one.
Tech topped Duke once already this season, and they’ll keep this one close in a game they need more than Duke. Take the Yellow Jackets for 4 Units.
Minnesota vs. Ohio State (-4)
The Gophers are playing for their NCAA Tournament life and looked very motivated, especially on the defensive end against Purdue and Michigan State.
The Buckeyes are lucky to be in the finals after surviving close games against Michigan and Illinois.
Look for the Gopher’s size to disrupt the Buckeyes drives to the hoop and take Minnesota for 3 Units.
Richmond vs. Temple (-3.5)
Temple’s defense has been absolutely stifling so far in the A10 Tournament, and they’ve had some relatively easy games so far.
Richmond survived an overtime game against Xavier on Saturday, and face the Owls, who they defeated by 17 last time they matched up.
Temple will be ready to get its revenge, and Richmond’s offense will be too inconsistent in this one. Take Temple for 3 Units.
March 13 Plays
We picked up 5 Units yesterday, and here’s 19 more.
Vanderbilt (-2) vs. Mississippi State
The Commodores are in their hometown for this one, and match up well with the Bulldogs. A.J. Ogilvy can neutralize Jarvis Varnado on the inside, and Vaderbilt’s outside shooting will give MSU problems on defense.
Take Vandy for 3 Units.
Richmond vs. Xavier (-3)
The Spiders lost to the Muskies in overtime during their only matchup earlier this year. Richmond knows how to knock off big-time opponents, and will look to get some revenge today.
Take Richmond for 4 Units.
Minnesota vs. Purdue 125.5
These are two teams who actually don’t mind a faster pace, and they’ve both been putting up scored in the high 60s and 70 over their past few game.
Yes, we’re actually taking an over in a Big Ten game. Take the over for 2 Units.
Kansas State vs. Kansas 146
The Jayhawks held off the Wildcats’ offense in their last meeting, but KSU has its shooters playing with a lot of confidence after three games scoring in the 80s.
Kansas has plenty of weapons too, and this will be played at a fast pace. If the Wildcats can make their shots, this will be a high-scoring affair. Take the over for 4 Units.
Washington at California (-2)
These two teams split their regular season matchups, and both have pretty much cruised to the Pac 10 finals.
The Huskies have more to play for in this one, because they are on the bubble and would like to guarantee their bid to the NCAA Tournament.
The talent level on both sides is fairly equal and the Washington backcourt will keep them hanging around. Take Washington for 3 Units.
San Diego State vs. UNLV (-4)
See the second sentence in the above synopsis for my reasoning in this one. Take SDSU for 2 Units.
Georgetown vs. West Virginia (-2.5)
The Hoyas have been the most impressive team in this tournament so far, crushing South Florida, Syracuse and Marquette.
The Mountaineers have squeaked by their last two opponents, including a buzzer-beater by Da’Sean Butler against Cincinnati.
I don’t understand this line and why WVU is favored. Take the Hoyas for 4 Units.
Vanderbilt (-2) vs. Mississippi State
The Commodores are in their hometown for this one, and match up well with the Bulldogs. A.J. Ogilvy can neutralize Jarvis Varnado on the inside, and Vaderbilt’s outside shooting will give MSU problems on defense.
Take Vandy for 3 Units.
Richmond vs. Xavier (-3)
The Spiders lost to the Muskies in overtime during their only matchup earlier this year. Richmond knows how to knock off big-time opponents, and will look to get some revenge today.
Take Richmond for 4 Units.
Minnesota vs. Purdue 125.5
These are two teams who actually don’t mind a faster pace, and they’ve both been putting up scored in the high 60s and 70 over their past few game.
Yes, we’re actually taking an over in a Big Ten game. Take the over for 2 Units.
Kansas State vs. Kansas 146
The Jayhawks held off the Wildcats’ offense in their last meeting, but KSU has its shooters playing with a lot of confidence after three games scoring in the 80s.
Kansas has plenty of weapons too, and this will be played at a fast pace. If the Wildcats can make their shots, this will be a high-scoring affair. Take the over for 4 Units.
Washington at California (-2)
These two teams split their regular season matchups, and both have pretty much cruised to the Pac 10 finals.
The Huskies have more to play for in this one, because they are on the bubble and would like to guarantee their bid to the NCAA Tournament.
The talent level on both sides is fairly equal and the Washington backcourt will keep them hanging around. Take Washington for 3 Units.
San Diego State vs. UNLV (-4)
See the second sentence in the above synopsis for my reasoning in this one. Take SDSU for 2 Units.
Georgetown vs. West Virginia (-2.5)
The Hoyas have been the most impressive team in this tournament so far, crushing South Florida, Syracuse and Marquette.
The Mountaineers have squeaked by their last two opponents, including a buzzer-beater by Da’Sean Butler against Cincinnati.
I don’t understand this line and why WVU is favored. Take the Hoyas for 4 Units.
Friday, March 12, 2010
March 12 Plays
Illinois vs. Wisconsin (-8)
The Illini got blasted by Bucky when these two teams faced off last week, and Illinois needed that win to help secure its standing in the NCAA Tournament.
They get another chance today, and Wisconsin might win this game, but it won’t be as easy as it was last time.
In the last game, Illinois settled for jump shots and didn’t attack the rim. Look for them to penetrate more for a more consistent offensive output.
Take Illinois for 3 Units.
Rhode Island vs. St. Louis 128
This is a battle of will as the Rams like a faster pace, but the Billikens prefer to slow it down.
RIU hasn’t been playing very well as of late and SLU should be able to contain them.
Take the under for 2 Units.
Northwestern vs. Purdue (-8)
The Wildcats will be playing with a lot of confidence after blowing out Indiana in the second half of yesterday’s game.
Purdue’s production is limited without Robbie Hummel, and Northwestern’s 3-point shot and gimmick defenses should allow them to hang around in this one.
Take Northwestern for 3 Units.
Georgia Tech vs. Maryland 144
Both of these teams aren’t shy about taking shots, and Maryland prefers a faster pace.
These teams have both inside and outside scoring, so this will be an offensive game. Take the over for 4 Units.
Minnesota vs. Michigan State (-3)
Obviously Minnesota played well yesterday against Penn State, but the Spartans are a different animal.
Michigan State has won eight straight in this series, and Sparty is still playing for a better seed in the NCAA Tournament.
Take MSU for 4 Units.
Notre Dame vs. West Virginia 127
The Irish have gone to a more methodical pace during their winning streak, and the Mountaineers play tough defense and have length.
Neither team surrenders a lot of offensive rebounds and WVU struggles with its outside shooting.
This will be a grind, so take the under for 3 Units.
Baylor vs. Kansas State 145.5
These teams each have superb guard play, combined with athletic big man, meaning they love to get up and down the floor.
Each teams has guards that love to shoot it and don’t get bashful if they miss a couple. The shot clock does not even need to be turned on for this one. Don’t understand the total here.
Take the over for a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.
The Illini got blasted by Bucky when these two teams faced off last week, and Illinois needed that win to help secure its standing in the NCAA Tournament.
They get another chance today, and Wisconsin might win this game, but it won’t be as easy as it was last time.
In the last game, Illinois settled for jump shots and didn’t attack the rim. Look for them to penetrate more for a more consistent offensive output.
Take Illinois for 3 Units.
Rhode Island vs. St. Louis 128
This is a battle of will as the Rams like a faster pace, but the Billikens prefer to slow it down.
RIU hasn’t been playing very well as of late and SLU should be able to contain them.
Take the under for 2 Units.
Northwestern vs. Purdue (-8)
The Wildcats will be playing with a lot of confidence after blowing out Indiana in the second half of yesterday’s game.
Purdue’s production is limited without Robbie Hummel, and Northwestern’s 3-point shot and gimmick defenses should allow them to hang around in this one.
Take Northwestern for 3 Units.
Georgia Tech vs. Maryland 144
Both of these teams aren’t shy about taking shots, and Maryland prefers a faster pace.
These teams have both inside and outside scoring, so this will be an offensive game. Take the over for 4 Units.
Minnesota vs. Michigan State (-3)
Obviously Minnesota played well yesterday against Penn State, but the Spartans are a different animal.
Michigan State has won eight straight in this series, and Sparty is still playing for a better seed in the NCAA Tournament.
Take MSU for 4 Units.
Notre Dame vs. West Virginia 127
The Irish have gone to a more methodical pace during their winning streak, and the Mountaineers play tough defense and have length.
Neither team surrenders a lot of offensive rebounds and WVU struggles with its outside shooting.
This will be a grind, so take the under for 3 Units.
Baylor vs. Kansas State 145.5
These teams each have superb guard play, combined with athletic big man, meaning they love to get up and down the floor.
Each teams has guards that love to shoot it and don’t get bashful if they miss a couple. The shot clock does not even need to be turned on for this one. Don’t understand the total here.
Take the over for a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.
Thursday, March 11, 2010
March 11 Plays
Conference tournaments are underway and we’ve got some action today.
Miami vs. Wake Forest (-3.5)
The Deacons need one or two more wins to feel good about their standing heading into selection Sunday.
Miami has been playing better recently, but has not won many games. They’ve been in games, but haven’t been able to finish.
Expect Wake to come out motivated for an important win and look for Ish Smith to have a big game, knowing his days with the Deacons are numbered.
Take Wake for 4 Units.
Air Force vs. New Mexico 119
This will be a battle of wills as the Falcons like to slow the game down and New Mexico prefers an up-tempo style.
Air Force only averages about 54 points per game, and in their recent matchup the total was only 115.
However, Air Force’s defense might be a step slow today after playing a game yesterday against Wyoming.
New Mexico wants to advance deep in the conference tourney in order to improve its seed for the NCAA Tournament.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Oregon vs. California (-10.5)
Oregon played a hard-fought overtime game last night against Washington State, in which they had to make a late comeback to win.
The Ducks expended a lot of energy in that game and now face Cal’s high-powered offense.
This is a can’t lose game for the Bears, and Pac 10 Player of the Year Jerome Randle will make sure it doesn’t happen.
If Cal can limit Tajuan Porter, the Ducks don’t have many other options on offense.
Take Cal for 2 Units.
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh (-1.5)
The Irish are playing well and may be the hottest team in the country, having won five straight games.
Pittsburgh got housed by Notre Dame in their only game this season, but that was in the Joyce Center.
Notre Dame has secured its trip to the NCAAs and the Panthers’ defense will frustrate Harangody and the Irish outside shooting.
Take Pitt for 4 Units.
Miami vs. Wake Forest (-3.5)
The Deacons need one or two more wins to feel good about their standing heading into selection Sunday.
Miami has been playing better recently, but has not won many games. They’ve been in games, but haven’t been able to finish.
Expect Wake to come out motivated for an important win and look for Ish Smith to have a big game, knowing his days with the Deacons are numbered.
Take Wake for 4 Units.
Air Force vs. New Mexico 119
This will be a battle of wills as the Falcons like to slow the game down and New Mexico prefers an up-tempo style.
Air Force only averages about 54 points per game, and in their recent matchup the total was only 115.
However, Air Force’s defense might be a step slow today after playing a game yesterday against Wyoming.
New Mexico wants to advance deep in the conference tourney in order to improve its seed for the NCAA Tournament.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Oregon vs. California (-10.5)
Oregon played a hard-fought overtime game last night against Washington State, in which they had to make a late comeback to win.
The Ducks expended a lot of energy in that game and now face Cal’s high-powered offense.
This is a can’t lose game for the Bears, and Pac 10 Player of the Year Jerome Randle will make sure it doesn’t happen.
If Cal can limit Tajuan Porter, the Ducks don’t have many other options on offense.
Take Cal for 2 Units.
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh (-1.5)
The Irish are playing well and may be the hottest team in the country, having won five straight games.
Pittsburgh got housed by Notre Dame in their only game this season, but that was in the Joyce Center.
Notre Dame has secured its trip to the NCAAs and the Panthers’ defense will frustrate Harangody and the Irish outside shooting.
Take Pitt for 4 Units.
Wednesday, March 10, 2010
March 10 Plays
After picking up 3 Units yesterday, here's some more action.
South Florida vs. Georgetown (-6.5)
The Bulls have been playing well in the last few weeks and still have an outside shot at the NCAA Tournament.
On the other hand, Georgetown has been limping to the finish, losing four of the last six games.
USF won the only matchup between these two teams. They matchup well with the Hoyas and their defense should keep them in the game.
Take USF for 3 Units.
St. John's vs. Marquette (-4)
The Red Storm took care of a lifeless UConn team yesterday, but now faces a Marquette team that plays hard day in and day out.
MU has been missing its outside shot recently, but its defense has been strong over the past two games.
St. John's will struggle to score in this game, and if the Golden Eagles are making their outside shot, they should be able to win going away.
Take MU for 3 Units.
Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma St. (-7)
The Sooners have lost eight in a row and have no shot at the NCAAs, while the Cowboys are playing for a better seed in the tournament and may be on the bubble if they lose this game.
Look for James Anderson to have a big game against an inconsistent Oklahoma team.
Willie Warren's absence recently hasn't helped OU, and it won't help them in this one.
Take Oklahoma State for 2 Units.
Seton Hall at Notre Dame 149
These two teams both like to shoot from the outside and aren't committed to defense for 40 minutes.
Seton Hall put up 100-plus in yesterday's game and look for them to get close to that number again.
ND will fall into the fast-paced, long-distance shooting and this will turn into an up-and-down game.
Take the over for 4 Units.
South Florida vs. Georgetown (-6.5)
The Bulls have been playing well in the last few weeks and still have an outside shot at the NCAA Tournament.
On the other hand, Georgetown has been limping to the finish, losing four of the last six games.
USF won the only matchup between these two teams. They matchup well with the Hoyas and their defense should keep them in the game.
Take USF for 3 Units.
St. John's vs. Marquette (-4)
The Red Storm took care of a lifeless UConn team yesterday, but now faces a Marquette team that plays hard day in and day out.
MU has been missing its outside shot recently, but its defense has been strong over the past two games.
St. John's will struggle to score in this game, and if the Golden Eagles are making their outside shot, they should be able to win going away.
Take MU for 3 Units.
Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma St. (-7)
The Sooners have lost eight in a row and have no shot at the NCAAs, while the Cowboys are playing for a better seed in the tournament and may be on the bubble if they lose this game.
Look for James Anderson to have a big game against an inconsistent Oklahoma team.
Willie Warren's absence recently hasn't helped OU, and it won't help them in this one.
Take Oklahoma State for 2 Units.
Seton Hall at Notre Dame 149
These two teams both like to shoot from the outside and aren't committed to defense for 40 minutes.
Seton Hall put up 100-plus in yesterday's game and look for them to get close to that number again.
ND will fall into the fast-paced, long-distance shooting and this will turn into an up-and-down game.
Take the over for 4 Units.
Monday, March 8, 2010
March 9 Plays
Let the BCS conference tournaments begin with the Big East and 11 Units in play.
DePaul vs. South Florida (-7)
The Big East Tournament starts off with the South Florida Bulls taking on the DePaul Blue Demons.
USF has won three straight games, including a strong victory over UConn at home, while the Blue Demons have lost 12 straight.
The Bulls still have an outside shot at the NCAA Tournament, but will need to post a few wins in the tournament.
USF matches up well with DePaul, having the inside presence to neutralize Mac Koshwal.
Look for the Bulls to make a statement here. Take USF for 4 Units.
Providence vs. Seton Hall (-5.5) 168
Neither team really pretends to play any kind of defense, and Seton Hall is shooting 45 percent in its last five games.
Overall, these teams both average over 80 points and like a faster pace. The Hall is looking to earn a tournament berth with a good run in the Big East Tournament, and the Friars won’t have quite enough firepower to stay with the Pirates offensively.
Take the Hall for 4 and the over for 3 Units.
DePaul vs. South Florida (-7)
The Big East Tournament starts off with the South Florida Bulls taking on the DePaul Blue Demons.
USF has won three straight games, including a strong victory over UConn at home, while the Blue Demons have lost 12 straight.
The Bulls still have an outside shot at the NCAA Tournament, but will need to post a few wins in the tournament.
USF matches up well with DePaul, having the inside presence to neutralize Mac Koshwal.
Look for the Bulls to make a statement here. Take USF for 4 Units.
Providence vs. Seton Hall (-5.5) 168
Neither team really pretends to play any kind of defense, and Seton Hall is shooting 45 percent in its last five games.
Overall, these teams both average over 80 points and like a faster pace. The Hall is looking to earn a tournament berth with a good run in the Big East Tournament, and the Friars won’t have quite enough firepower to stay with the Pirates offensively.
Take the Hall for 4 and the over for 3 Units.
Thursday, March 4, 2010
March 4 Plays
After picking up 5 Units last night, we look to repeat the feat with a Jimmer lock.
Penn State at Michigan State (-13)
My goodness, are you kidding me with this line? The Spartans are still within reach of a Big Ten title and need to send a message to the NCAA committee to get a solid seed for the tourney.
Take the Spartans as a Jimmer lock for 5 Units.
Penn State at Michigan State (-13)
My goodness, are you kidding me with this line? The Spartans are still within reach of a Big Ten title and need to send a message to the NCAA committee to get a solid seed for the tourney.
Take the Spartans as a Jimmer lock for 5 Units.
Wednesday, March 3, 2010
March 3 Plays
After a modest 2 Unit gain last night, we’re back with 19 Units in play. Enjoy.
Indiana at Purdue 132
The Hoosiers have had major problems finding consistent offense, and it isn’t going to come against a Purdue team looking to prove its worth without Robbie Hummel.
Even if the Boilers get to 70 points, which is very possible, the Hoosiers would have to get to 60 to get close to this number and that isn’t happening.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Connecticut at Notre Dame (-1.5)
This is essentially an elimination game for the NCAA Tournament, and the Irish have been playing well recently.
Just last year they had the nation’s longest home win streak before UConn ended that. Don’t think the Irish forgot about that.
They’re deadly at home. Take ND for 3 Units.
Kentucky at Georgia 142.5
The Bulldogs like to run and will be able to make some shots at home. The Wildcats offense has looked a lot sharper in recent weeks, and don't mind falling into an up-and-down game.
Take the over for 2 Units.
Kansas State at Kansas (-8.5)
Yes, the Jayhawks are coming off of a loss, but it’s worth slapping a little on a tough-minded Wildcats team that has had to prove its critics wrong all year.
State keeps this one close. Take KSU for 3 Units.
Memphis at UAB (-3)
If the Blazers have any chance at an at-large bid for the NCAA Tournament they must make a statement here.
UAB’s defense and inside presence will frustrate the Tigers.
Take UAB for 4 Units.
Duke at Maryland 147
Both of these teams can score and Duke’s outside shooting is complemented by its ability to grab offensive rebounds.
The Terrapins prefer an up-tempo game and at home they’ll get a few transition baskets.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Indiana at Purdue 132
The Hoosiers have had major problems finding consistent offense, and it isn’t going to come against a Purdue team looking to prove its worth without Robbie Hummel.
Even if the Boilers get to 70 points, which is very possible, the Hoosiers would have to get to 60 to get close to this number and that isn’t happening.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Connecticut at Notre Dame (-1.5)
This is essentially an elimination game for the NCAA Tournament, and the Irish have been playing well recently.
Just last year they had the nation’s longest home win streak before UConn ended that. Don’t think the Irish forgot about that.
They’re deadly at home. Take ND for 3 Units.
Kentucky at Georgia 142.5
The Bulldogs like to run and will be able to make some shots at home. The Wildcats offense has looked a lot sharper in recent weeks, and don't mind falling into an up-and-down game.
Take the over for 2 Units.
Kansas State at Kansas (-8.5)
Yes, the Jayhawks are coming off of a loss, but it’s worth slapping a little on a tough-minded Wildcats team that has had to prove its critics wrong all year.
State keeps this one close. Take KSU for 3 Units.
Memphis at UAB (-3)
If the Blazers have any chance at an at-large bid for the NCAA Tournament they must make a statement here.
UAB’s defense and inside presence will frustrate the Tigers.
Take UAB for 4 Units.
Duke at Maryland 147
Both of these teams can score and Duke’s outside shooting is complemented by its ability to grab offensive rebounds.
The Terrapins prefer an up-tempo game and at home they’ll get a few transition baskets.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Tuesday, March 2, 2010
March 2 Plays
We're done with this losing streak starting tonight with 16 Units in play, including a Jimmer lock.
Vanderbilt at Florida 147.5
The Commodores shook up their lineup in the last game, inserting John Jenkins, who scored 13 points. Vanderbilt likes to work quickly on offense and Florida has a balanced scoring attack led by freshman Kenny Boynton.
The Gators will be motivated to make a statement, and this should be a high-possession game, meaning lots of chances to score points.
Both team are only solid at the free throw line, shooting over 70 percent, so they won’t be giving away points there.
Take the over for 2 Units.
UTEP at Marshall (-2.5)
Both of these teams enter this CUSA matchup on substantial winning streaks. The Miners have won 12 straight, while the Thundering Herd has ripped off a seven straight.
UTEP can win an outright conference title with a victory, while Marshall is battling to finish in the top 3.
The Miners have been good on the road at 7-2 and their defense should help them grab this road win.
Take UTEP for 2 Units.
Minnesota at Michigan 125.5
In the last five games, Minnesota has held its opponents to 35.6 percent field goal shooting, while Michigan hasn't broken the 60-point mark in its last three games.
The Wolverines are near the top of the league in points allowed and the Gophers are an inconsistent offensive team on the road.
Michigan's patient offense coupled with Minnesota's aggressive defense will slow this game down.
Take the under for a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.
Miami at North Carolina (-4)
The Tar Heels may have found some confidence after their victory at Wake Forest, and now they host Miami, which just lost a big lead against NC State at home.
Although, UNC is pretty banged up they still have the talent to defeat the Canes even on a poor night. UNC has lost three of four at home, but look for the Heels to give maximum effort on senior night.
Take UNC for 4 Units.
Baylor at Texas Tech 148
Both of these teams like to play an up-tempo game and have averaged over 75 ppg each. Tech scores 79 points per game at home, and last time these two teams met the score was 88-70.
Baylor and Tech each have strong guard play and depth, which should make for a fast-paced game.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Vanderbilt at Florida 147.5
The Commodores shook up their lineup in the last game, inserting John Jenkins, who scored 13 points. Vanderbilt likes to work quickly on offense and Florida has a balanced scoring attack led by freshman Kenny Boynton.
The Gators will be motivated to make a statement, and this should be a high-possession game, meaning lots of chances to score points.
Both team are only solid at the free throw line, shooting over 70 percent, so they won’t be giving away points there.
Take the over for 2 Units.
UTEP at Marshall (-2.5)
Both of these teams enter this CUSA matchup on substantial winning streaks. The Miners have won 12 straight, while the Thundering Herd has ripped off a seven straight.
UTEP can win an outright conference title with a victory, while Marshall is battling to finish in the top 3.
The Miners have been good on the road at 7-2 and their defense should help them grab this road win.
Take UTEP for 2 Units.
Minnesota at Michigan 125.5
In the last five games, Minnesota has held its opponents to 35.6 percent field goal shooting, while Michigan hasn't broken the 60-point mark in its last three games.
The Wolverines are near the top of the league in points allowed and the Gophers are an inconsistent offensive team on the road.
Michigan's patient offense coupled with Minnesota's aggressive defense will slow this game down.
Take the under for a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.
Miami at North Carolina (-4)
The Tar Heels may have found some confidence after their victory at Wake Forest, and now they host Miami, which just lost a big lead against NC State at home.
Although, UNC is pretty banged up they still have the talent to defeat the Canes even on a poor night. UNC has lost three of four at home, but look for the Heels to give maximum effort on senior night.
Take UNC for 4 Units.
Baylor at Texas Tech 148
Both of these teams like to play an up-tempo game and have averaged over 75 ppg each. Tech scores 79 points per game at home, and last time these two teams met the score was 88-70.
Baylor and Tech each have strong guard play and depth, which should make for a fast-paced game.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Thursday, February 25, 2010
Feb. 25 Plays
After picking up 4 Units last night, here's two barking dogs tonight.
Wisconsin (-12.5) at Indiana
The Badgers are just 3-5 on the road this season with their only wins at Michigan, Penn State and Northwestern.
Wisconsin is a disciplined team, but the Hoosiers have the ability to disrupt their opponents at home, nearly beating Purdue earlier this year and taking down Minnesota.
Tom Crean’s team always gives strong effort at home.
Take the Hoosier for 4 Units.
Arizona at California (-11.5)
The Wildcats have lost four out of five, and you’d think now would be the time to bet against them facing a Cal team that’s atop the Pac 10.
But, this has been the most unpredictable conference this season, so don’t be surprised if a talent ‘Zona team rises up to keep it close on the road.
Take Arizona for 3 Units.
Wisconsin (-12.5) at Indiana
The Badgers are just 3-5 on the road this season with their only wins at Michigan, Penn State and Northwestern.
Wisconsin is a disciplined team, but the Hoosiers have the ability to disrupt their opponents at home, nearly beating Purdue earlier this year and taking down Minnesota.
Tom Crean’s team always gives strong effort at home.
Take the Hoosier for 4 Units.
Arizona at California (-11.5)
The Wildcats have lost four out of five, and you’d think now would be the time to bet against them facing a Cal team that’s atop the Pac 10.
But, this has been the most unpredictable conference this season, so don’t be surprised if a talent ‘Zona team rises up to keep it close on the road.
Take Arizona for 3 Units.
Wednesday, February 24, 2010
Feb. 24 Plays
We’re looking to turn things around tonight with plenty of the plate to satisfy.
Ohio State (-7.5) at Penn State
This line is skewed by the fact that the Nittany Lions have won two straight Big Ten games on the road.
The Buckeyes at 11-4 in conference play are still eyeing a Big Ten title, and minus a hiccup against Purdue at home, have been playing very well lately.
OSU has been impressive in its last three roadies, winning at Michigan State, Illinois and Indiana in relatively easy fashion.
Penn State only has one consistent option on offense and tends to go long stretches without scoring, especially against a strong defense like OSU.
Take the Buckeyes for 3 Units.
Florida State (-2.5) at North Carolina
This line would have looked stupid a couple of months ago, and it still does a little bit. The Tar Heels are floundering near the bottom of the ACC, while FSU is 7-5.
Still I like North Carolina getting points at home coming off of a pair of road losses.
Take the Tar Heels for 4 Units.
Pittsburgh (-1) at Notre Dame
With Harangody out, the Irish have actually been playing better offense. His fadeaway 20-footers have been exchanged for more shots for Tory Jackson and Tim Abromaitis.
ND can get really hot from the outside at home, and although Pitt does a good job defensively, sometimes that doesn't matter.
The Panthers’ streaky shooting is always scary on the road, and the Irish are a tough out at home.
Take ND for 3 Units.
San Diego State at BYU 141.5
Jimmer Fredette is as pure as the driven snow, and the Aztecs’ balance scoring gives them a lot of options if players get into foul trouble.
Take the over for 2 Units.
Ohio State (-7.5) at Penn State
This line is skewed by the fact that the Nittany Lions have won two straight Big Ten games on the road.
The Buckeyes at 11-4 in conference play are still eyeing a Big Ten title, and minus a hiccup against Purdue at home, have been playing very well lately.
OSU has been impressive in its last three roadies, winning at Michigan State, Illinois and Indiana in relatively easy fashion.
Penn State only has one consistent option on offense and tends to go long stretches without scoring, especially against a strong defense like OSU.
Take the Buckeyes for 3 Units.
Florida State (-2.5) at North Carolina
This line would have looked stupid a couple of months ago, and it still does a little bit. The Tar Heels are floundering near the bottom of the ACC, while FSU is 7-5.
Still I like North Carolina getting points at home coming off of a pair of road losses.
Take the Tar Heels for 4 Units.
Pittsburgh (-1) at Notre Dame
With Harangody out, the Irish have actually been playing better offense. His fadeaway 20-footers have been exchanged for more shots for Tory Jackson and Tim Abromaitis.
ND can get really hot from the outside at home, and although Pitt does a good job defensively, sometimes that doesn't matter.
The Panthers’ streaky shooting is always scary on the road, and the Irish are a tough out at home.
Take ND for 3 Units.
San Diego State at BYU 141.5
Jimmer Fredette is as pure as the driven snow, and the Aztecs’ balance scoring gives them a lot of options if players get into foul trouble.
Take the over for 2 Units.
Saturday, February 20, 2010
Feb. 21 Plays
After receiving valid complaints about a lack of recent plays, we’re back with plays on every Big Ten, Big East, A-10, Pac 10 and ACC game today. We have 26 Units in play.
Ohio State at Michigan State 135.5
The Buckeyes and Spartans have both gotten on track in the Big Ten with their defense. They both have talent and an ability to score, but are committed to their coaches’ philosophies of defense first.
Ohio State has held its last five opponents to 41 percent shooting and MSU broke its three-game slide with strong defense in two road victories.
This will be a grind and take the under for 4 Units.
Villanova (-2) at Pittsburgh
This is a tough matchup for a Pittsburgh team that is thin in its front line and doesn’t have near the talent in the backcourt that the Wildcats do.
Scottie Reynolds has been a thorn in the side of the Panthers since he arrived in Philadelphia and the Cats will be able to spread the court and penetrate the Pittsburgh defense and finish at the rim.
Pittsburgh outside shooting struggles will not be helped by Villanova’s tight man-to-man defense.
Take Villanova for 3 Units.
Dayton (-4) at Duquesne
The Dukes were supposed to be a dark horse contender for the A10 title, but things didn’t go as planned early in the schedule. However, they have won three of their last four in conference, and they start a crucial home stretch in their schedule.
The Flyers have struggled on the road in conference, losing three of their last four. This is a dangerous game for Dayton, and their inconsistent play could bite them in this one.
Take Duquesne for 2 Units.
Marquette at Cincinnati (-1.5)
These two teams showdown with NCAA Tournament hopes on the line.
Marquette starts a three-game road trip, while the Bearcats are licking their wounds from a loss at South Florida.
The Golden Eagles have won their last two conference road games, and have been in every one of their Big East road games this season.
Buzz Williams does a good job of refocusing his team after losses and if Marquette is going to separate itself from the pack in the middle of the Big East a win here would go a long way.
Take Marquette for 3 Units.
Northwestern at Wisconsin 121.5
Neither team has anything resembling transition offense and neither team gambles on defense, making teams work late into the shot clock for offense.
The only danger is that both teams shoot pretty well from 3-point range, but it won’t be an up-and-down game, so this should be a low-scoring affair even if these teams shoot well from deep.
Take the under for 4 Units.
St. Bonaventure at La Salle (-4)
The only team that either of these teams has beaten in each of their last six contests of Fordham, which is winless in the A10.
This one is a toss-up, so we’ll lean towards the home team here. Take La Salle for 1 Unit.
St. Louis at Massachusetts 127.5
The Billikens have won five straight games because of their uncanny ability to slow down the game and make teams use the whole shot clock to score.
UMass likes to get up and down the floor, but will have to be patient in this one as SLU won’t allow many transition points.
The way to get a road win is with strong defense and Rick Majerus knows that.
Take the under for 3 Units.
Arizona State at Arizona 127.5
The Wildcats average 75 points per game at home and this should be a faster game than usual with both teams wanting to make plays in a rivalry game.
ASU has some strong outside shooting and Arizona’s Nic Wise is a good facilitator for the Wildcats’ offense.
This game will be played in the 70s. Take the over for 3 Units.
Virginia Tech at Duke (-13)
The Blue Devils have been destroying teams at home lately and this is a big win to maintain control of the ACC lead.
The Hokies have played a weak schedule, and although they’ve won five straight the only really strong win was over Wake Forest at home.
Tech will get exposed by the Blue Devils’ defense in this one.
Take Duke for 3 Units.
Ohio State at Michigan State 135.5
The Buckeyes and Spartans have both gotten on track in the Big Ten with their defense. They both have talent and an ability to score, but are committed to their coaches’ philosophies of defense first.
Ohio State has held its last five opponents to 41 percent shooting and MSU broke its three-game slide with strong defense in two road victories.
This will be a grind and take the under for 4 Units.
Villanova (-2) at Pittsburgh
This is a tough matchup for a Pittsburgh team that is thin in its front line and doesn’t have near the talent in the backcourt that the Wildcats do.
Scottie Reynolds has been a thorn in the side of the Panthers since he arrived in Philadelphia and the Cats will be able to spread the court and penetrate the Pittsburgh defense and finish at the rim.
Pittsburgh outside shooting struggles will not be helped by Villanova’s tight man-to-man defense.
Take Villanova for 3 Units.
Dayton (-4) at Duquesne
The Dukes were supposed to be a dark horse contender for the A10 title, but things didn’t go as planned early in the schedule. However, they have won three of their last four in conference, and they start a crucial home stretch in their schedule.
The Flyers have struggled on the road in conference, losing three of their last four. This is a dangerous game for Dayton, and their inconsistent play could bite them in this one.
Take Duquesne for 2 Units.
Marquette at Cincinnati (-1.5)
These two teams showdown with NCAA Tournament hopes on the line.
Marquette starts a three-game road trip, while the Bearcats are licking their wounds from a loss at South Florida.
The Golden Eagles have won their last two conference road games, and have been in every one of their Big East road games this season.
Buzz Williams does a good job of refocusing his team after losses and if Marquette is going to separate itself from the pack in the middle of the Big East a win here would go a long way.
Take Marquette for 3 Units.
Northwestern at Wisconsin 121.5
Neither team has anything resembling transition offense and neither team gambles on defense, making teams work late into the shot clock for offense.
The only danger is that both teams shoot pretty well from 3-point range, but it won’t be an up-and-down game, so this should be a low-scoring affair even if these teams shoot well from deep.
Take the under for 4 Units.
St. Bonaventure at La Salle (-4)
The only team that either of these teams has beaten in each of their last six contests of Fordham, which is winless in the A10.
This one is a toss-up, so we’ll lean towards the home team here. Take La Salle for 1 Unit.
St. Louis at Massachusetts 127.5
The Billikens have won five straight games because of their uncanny ability to slow down the game and make teams use the whole shot clock to score.
UMass likes to get up and down the floor, but will have to be patient in this one as SLU won’t allow many transition points.
The way to get a road win is with strong defense and Rick Majerus knows that.
Take the under for 3 Units.
Arizona State at Arizona 127.5
The Wildcats average 75 points per game at home and this should be a faster game than usual with both teams wanting to make plays in a rivalry game.
ASU has some strong outside shooting and Arizona’s Nic Wise is a good facilitator for the Wildcats’ offense.
This game will be played in the 70s. Take the over for 3 Units.
Virginia Tech at Duke (-13)
The Blue Devils have been destroying teams at home lately and this is a big win to maintain control of the ACC lead.
The Hokies have played a weak schedule, and although they’ve won five straight the only really strong win was over Wake Forest at home.
Tech will get exposed by the Blue Devils’ defense in this one.
Take Duke for 3 Units.
Thursday, February 18, 2010
Feb. 19 Plays
Syracuse at Georgetown (-1.5)
Both of these teams are coming off of disappointing losses and the Hoyas welcome the Orange after losing to them in the Carrier Dome earlier this season.
The key to the Hoyas’ success so far this season has been Chris Wright. In four of the last five games that Wright has not scored in double figures, Georgetown has lost.
Although Syracuse limited Wright to just seven points in their last meeting, he should be able to find better open shots against the Syracuse zone at home.
Take the Hoyas for 3 Units.
Pittsburgh at Marquette (-6.5)
This is a big game for the Golden Eagles as it will be the last regular season game against a ranked opponent.
Although Marquette tends to shoot well at home, especially from 3-point range the Eagles will struggle to pull away in this one because of their weak perimeter defense and height disadvantage.
The Panthers should be able to stay in this one with second-chance points and a solid game from Ashton Gibbs.
Take Pitt for 2 Units.
Wisconsin at Minnesota 125
If there’s one thing Wisconsin excels at it is limiting their opponents’ fast break points.
Even though Minnesota loves to get out and run to use their depth to an advantage, the Badgers always take good shots and limit their turnovers.
Take the under for 3 Units.
Both of these teams are coming off of disappointing losses and the Hoyas welcome the Orange after losing to them in the Carrier Dome earlier this season.
The key to the Hoyas’ success so far this season has been Chris Wright. In four of the last five games that Wright has not scored in double figures, Georgetown has lost.
Although Syracuse limited Wright to just seven points in their last meeting, he should be able to find better open shots against the Syracuse zone at home.
Take the Hoyas for 3 Units.
Pittsburgh at Marquette (-6.5)
This is a big game for the Golden Eagles as it will be the last regular season game against a ranked opponent.
Although Marquette tends to shoot well at home, especially from 3-point range the Eagles will struggle to pull away in this one because of their weak perimeter defense and height disadvantage.
The Panthers should be able to stay in this one with second-chance points and a solid game from Ashton Gibbs.
Take Pitt for 2 Units.
Wisconsin at Minnesota 125
If there’s one thing Wisconsin excels at it is limiting their opponents’ fast break points.
Even though Minnesota loves to get out and run to use their depth to an advantage, the Badgers always take good shots and limit their turnovers.
Take the under for 3 Units.
Monday, February 15, 2010
Feb. 15 Plays
After a brief hiatus, we’re back with two plays on Big Monday.
Connecticut at Villanova 154.5
The Huskies are in a free fall at 3-7 in their last 10 games. The missing component in those games has been consistent offense and a go-to scorer.
Meanwhile Villanova is atop the Big East standings with a high-powered offense.
If UConn wants to stay in this game, it won’t try to score with the Wildcats, and the Huskies’ ability to rebound will limit Nova’s second-chance opportunities.
Expect this one to be somewhat low-scoring for a Villanova game. Take the under for 4 Units.
Virginia at Maryland (-9)
The Terrapins are coming off of a blowout at the hands of ACC-leading Duke and now host a surprising Virginia team that is 5-4 in the conference.
The Cavaliers has played well on the road in conference this season, and their defense is what has kept them in game.
Maryland likes to get out and score in transition, but Virginia does not surrender many fast break points.
Look for the Cavaliers to keep this one close. Take Virginia for 2 Units.
Connecticut at Villanova 154.5
The Huskies are in a free fall at 3-7 in their last 10 games. The missing component in those games has been consistent offense and a go-to scorer.
Meanwhile Villanova is atop the Big East standings with a high-powered offense.
If UConn wants to stay in this game, it won’t try to score with the Wildcats, and the Huskies’ ability to rebound will limit Nova’s second-chance opportunities.
Expect this one to be somewhat low-scoring for a Villanova game. Take the under for 4 Units.
Virginia at Maryland (-9)
The Terrapins are coming off of a blowout at the hands of ACC-leading Duke and now host a surprising Virginia team that is 5-4 in the conference.
The Cavaliers has played well on the road in conference this season, and their defense is what has kept them in game.
Maryland likes to get out and score in transition, but Virginia does not surrender many fast break points.
Look for the Cavaliers to keep this one close. Take Virginia for 2 Units.
Thursday, February 11, 2010
Jan. 11 Plays
Michigan at Minnesota (-8.5)
For some reason the Gophers get a ton of credit from Vegas this season, despite being just 5-5 in the Big Ten.
The Wolverines have been destroyed in their last two games, but these teams are similar in talent and production this season.
They both can score the ball and should get open looks. The Michigan 3-point shot will keep them in this game.
Take the Wolverines for 3 Units.
Notre Dame at Seton Hall (-5.5)
The Irish have been underwhelming on the road in Big East play, losing four of their last five with their only win at South Florida.
The problem, as usual, is the defense for ND and Seton Hall can fill it up, especially at home. Also, Herb Pope will bother ‘Gody with his length.
Take the Hall for 3 Units.
St. Mary’s at Gonzaga 151
The last two times these teams met there wasn’t even a hint of defense. Both of these teams have great outside shooting and Gonzaga’s depth allows them to play a fast-paced game.
The total earlier this season was 171 and expect it to be the same this time around. Take the over for 4 Units.
For some reason the Gophers get a ton of credit from Vegas this season, despite being just 5-5 in the Big Ten.
The Wolverines have been destroyed in their last two games, but these teams are similar in talent and production this season.
They both can score the ball and should get open looks. The Michigan 3-point shot will keep them in this game.
Take the Wolverines for 3 Units.
Notre Dame at Seton Hall (-5.5)
The Irish have been underwhelming on the road in Big East play, losing four of their last five with their only win at South Florida.
The problem, as usual, is the defense for ND and Seton Hall can fill it up, especially at home. Also, Herb Pope will bother ‘Gody with his length.
Take the Hall for 3 Units.
St. Mary’s at Gonzaga 151
The last two times these teams met there wasn’t even a hint of defense. Both of these teams have great outside shooting and Gonzaga’s depth allows them to play a fast-paced game.
The total earlier this season was 171 and expect it to be the same this time around. Take the over for 4 Units.
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Feb. 10 Plays
Connecticut at Syracuse (-10.5) 145
The Huskies have been out of sorts recently, and it has started at the defensive end. UConn also doesn't have a go-to scorer, but if the Huskies have any desire to get to the Dance, they'll bring a strong effort tonight.
UConn is one of the few teams that matches up with Syracuse’s length, and the Huskies know their rival well.
That said I have more faith that these teams will be able to score than a do that Connecticut will keep it close.
Take the over for 4 Units and the Huskies for 2 Units.
Baylor (-3) at Nebraska
The Bears lost the lead and a tough game at Texas A&M over the weekend, while Nebraska just ran through the Kansas-Kansas State gantlet 0-2.
Baylor is battle-tested on the at 3-3, with the only losses at A&M, at Kansas and at Colorado.
The Bears aren’t going into a very hostile territory in Lincoln and should get the win. Take Baylor for 4 Units.
The Huskies have been out of sorts recently, and it has started at the defensive end. UConn also doesn't have a go-to scorer, but if the Huskies have any desire to get to the Dance, they'll bring a strong effort tonight.
UConn is one of the few teams that matches up with Syracuse’s length, and the Huskies know their rival well.
That said I have more faith that these teams will be able to score than a do that Connecticut will keep it close.
Take the over for 4 Units and the Huskies for 2 Units.
Baylor (-3) at Nebraska
The Bears lost the lead and a tough game at Texas A&M over the weekend, while Nebraska just ran through the Kansas-Kansas State gantlet 0-2.
Baylor is battle-tested on the at 3-3, with the only losses at A&M, at Kansas and at Colorado.
The Bears aren’t going into a very hostile territory in Lincoln and should get the win. Take Baylor for 4 Units.
Tuesday, February 9, 2010
Feb. 9 Play
Only one play in tonight's light schedule of games.
Illinois at Wisconsin 125
The Badgers shot over 50 percent in their last game, but the under still easily hit because of their strong defense.
Wisconsin rarely takes a quick shot, especially at home and Bucky’s positioning on the defensive end should make scoring difficult for an Illinois team that can be streaky on offense.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Illinois at Wisconsin 125
The Badgers shot over 50 percent in their last game, but the under still easily hit because of their strong defense.
Wisconsin rarely takes a quick shot, especially at home and Bucky’s positioning on the defensive end should make scoring difficult for an Illinois team that can be streaky on offense.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Saturday, February 6, 2010
Feb. 6 Plays
Marquette (-2.5) at Providence
The Golden Eagles defeated the Friars by 30 in the Bradley Center in January. But that was more about a hot shooting night from 3-point range, along with a lack of defense by Providence.
Outside shooting has killed Providence in its last five games as it’s allowing 39 percent shooting from 3-point range. That is dangerous against a Marquette team with a bevy of guards who can all shoot from the outside.
Take Marquette for 3 Units.
Villanova at Georgetown (-2)
The usually tough home venue in the Verizon Center will be more like a library as a huge snowstorm in D.C. will limit attendance.
The Hoyas lost a head-scratcher to South Florida earlier this week, and they now face a great backcourt in Villanova.
The Wildcats’ guards have a great ability to dribble drive and draw fouls, which is a bad sign for Greg Monroe, who tends to disappear for long stretches.
The ball pressure of Villanova will neutralize Georgetown’s Chris Wright, which is always trouble for the Hoyas.
Take Villanova for 2 Units.
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech (PK)
The Red Raiders had a rough road trip in Texas last week, but are always tough at home.
This game should be a high-scoring affair, which suits Texas Tech.
The Cowboys are just 2-4 away from home, and don’t have the firepower, outside of James Anderson, to compete with Tech’s offense.
Take the Raiders for 4 Units.
Wisconsin at Michigan (PK)
The Wolverines are still on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament, and will come out strong for this one.
The Badgers are just 2-4 away from home this season, and the Wolverines are tough on their home floor, having already defeated Uconn and taken Michigan State to the final possession.
Wisconsin is running into a tough situation here, and Michigan will get a big game from Manny Harris.
Take the Wolverines for 3 Units.
South Carolina at Tennessee (-9.5)
This line is confusing since the Gamecocks are a tough bunch led by a gritty guard in Devan Downey.
USC can score from the outside and defends well. The danger for Tennessee is to get into a shooting contest with the Gamecock, because shooting is not their strong suit.
Carolina is too disciplined and too tough to get blown out in this one. Take South Carolina for 3 Units.
Seton Hall at Pittsburgh (-4)
The Panthers have struggled with shooting, but their defense is always sound and they are nearly impossible to beat in the Petersen Events Center.
The Hall has lost its last four road games, putting them at 0-4 on the road in Big East play.
They have some talent but aren’t disciplined enough on offense or defense to compete with Pitt.
Take the Panthers for 4 Units.
The Golden Eagles defeated the Friars by 30 in the Bradley Center in January. But that was more about a hot shooting night from 3-point range, along with a lack of defense by Providence.
Outside shooting has killed Providence in its last five games as it’s allowing 39 percent shooting from 3-point range. That is dangerous against a Marquette team with a bevy of guards who can all shoot from the outside.
Take Marquette for 3 Units.
Villanova at Georgetown (-2)
The usually tough home venue in the Verizon Center will be more like a library as a huge snowstorm in D.C. will limit attendance.
The Hoyas lost a head-scratcher to South Florida earlier this week, and they now face a great backcourt in Villanova.
The Wildcats’ guards have a great ability to dribble drive and draw fouls, which is a bad sign for Greg Monroe, who tends to disappear for long stretches.
The ball pressure of Villanova will neutralize Georgetown’s Chris Wright, which is always trouble for the Hoyas.
Take Villanova for 2 Units.
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech (PK)
The Red Raiders had a rough road trip in Texas last week, but are always tough at home.
This game should be a high-scoring affair, which suits Texas Tech.
The Cowboys are just 2-4 away from home, and don’t have the firepower, outside of James Anderson, to compete with Tech’s offense.
Take the Raiders for 4 Units.
Wisconsin at Michigan (PK)
The Wolverines are still on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament, and will come out strong for this one.
The Badgers are just 2-4 away from home this season, and the Wolverines are tough on their home floor, having already defeated Uconn and taken Michigan State to the final possession.
Wisconsin is running into a tough situation here, and Michigan will get a big game from Manny Harris.
Take the Wolverines for 3 Units.
South Carolina at Tennessee (-9.5)
This line is confusing since the Gamecocks are a tough bunch led by a gritty guard in Devan Downey.
USC can score from the outside and defends well. The danger for Tennessee is to get into a shooting contest with the Gamecock, because shooting is not their strong suit.
Carolina is too disciplined and too tough to get blown out in this one. Take South Carolina for 3 Units.
Seton Hall at Pittsburgh (-4)
The Panthers have struggled with shooting, but their defense is always sound and they are nearly impossible to beat in the Petersen Events Center.
The Hall has lost its last four road games, putting them at 0-4 on the road in Big East play.
They have some talent but aren’t disciplined enough on offense or defense to compete with Pitt.
Take the Panthers for 4 Units.
Thursday, February 4, 2010
Feb. 4 Plays
We took it on the chin last night, but look to bounce back with 16 Units tonight.
Tennessee (-6.5) at LSU 132
The Vols have been playing poorly lately, but they are still 16-4 and still in the race for the SEC title. Tennessee can’t afford to drop this one, and the Vols defense will give a Tigers team that has averaged just 58 points in its last five games some fits.
LSU’s only chance is to make this a halfcourt game, but there will be too many scoring droughts for the Tigers to stay in this.
Take Tennessee for 2 Units and the under for 3 Units.
Cincinnati at Notre Dame (-3)
Even though the Irish have had a down year, they still have one of the tougher home court advantages in college basketball.
Notre Dame is coming off a pair of losses, including one to previously winless Rutgers. Mike Brey scheduled an extra practice this week, and when he did that last year they crushed a good Louisville team at home.
The Bearcats have won just one game on the road this season and it was at Rutgers. Look for ND’s outside shooting to be the difference. Take the Irish for 4 Units.
California at USC (-1)
The Golden Bears are in the lead in the Pac 10 and have been playing better basketball of late. Cal was the preseason favorite in the conference and Southern Cal seems to have lost some motivation after it was decided they would not compete in postseason play this year.
Cal’s outside shooting should neutralize the Trojans’ defense and Jerome Randle’s penetration should be able to set up open shot.
Take Cal for 3 Units.
Stanford at UCLA (-4.5)
The Bruins seem to be a team that is much improved over the past couple of months. They nearly swept their Oregon trip and now come home to face a Stanford team that has lost five straight road games.
Landry Fields is a great talent for the Cardinal, but UCLA’s defense will be a problem for the Stanford offense.
Take UCLA for 4 Units.
Tennessee (-6.5) at LSU 132
The Vols have been playing poorly lately, but they are still 16-4 and still in the race for the SEC title. Tennessee can’t afford to drop this one, and the Vols defense will give a Tigers team that has averaged just 58 points in its last five games some fits.
LSU’s only chance is to make this a halfcourt game, but there will be too many scoring droughts for the Tigers to stay in this.
Take Tennessee for 2 Units and the under for 3 Units.
Cincinnati at Notre Dame (-3)
Even though the Irish have had a down year, they still have one of the tougher home court advantages in college basketball.
Notre Dame is coming off a pair of losses, including one to previously winless Rutgers. Mike Brey scheduled an extra practice this week, and when he did that last year they crushed a good Louisville team at home.
The Bearcats have won just one game on the road this season and it was at Rutgers. Look for ND’s outside shooting to be the difference. Take the Irish for 4 Units.
California at USC (-1)
The Golden Bears are in the lead in the Pac 10 and have been playing better basketball of late. Cal was the preseason favorite in the conference and Southern Cal seems to have lost some motivation after it was decided they would not compete in postseason play this year.
Cal’s outside shooting should neutralize the Trojans’ defense and Jerome Randle’s penetration should be able to set up open shot.
Take Cal for 3 Units.
Stanford at UCLA (-4.5)
The Bruins seem to be a team that is much improved over the past couple of months. They nearly swept their Oregon trip and now come home to face a Stanford team that has lost five straight road games.
Landry Fields is a great talent for the Cardinal, but UCLA’s defense will be a problem for the Stanford offense.
Take UCLA for 4 Units.
Tuesday, February 2, 2010
Feb. 3 Plays
After a productive night of picking up 11 Units, including another Jimmer lock, here’s 11 Units.
Arkansas at Georgia (-4)
The Bulldogs are a different team at home than on the road. They have 10 losses, but seven of those have come on the road. At home, they’ve defeated Tennessee, Georgia Tech and Illinois. Also, they’ve played better defense at home, allowing just 61 points per game, seven points less than their overall average.
Arkansas is coming off of a pair of wins against the Mississippi teams, and has been playing better. But outside of their last win, the Razorbacks haven’t been consistent on the road.
Trey Thompkins will be a tough matchup for an Arkansas team that is thin at the forward spot.
Take Georgia for 4 Units.
Pittsburgh at West Virginia (-8.5)
The Panthers are beginning a brutal stretch of five games that sees them play the Mountaineers twice, along with Villanova, Marquette and Seton Hall. Pittsburgh has been reeling, losing three of its last four due to a drop in offensive production.
The Mountaineers escaped with a victory at home over Louisville on Saturday, and also have not played their best recently.
Both of these teams stay committed to defense and rebounding, which suggests that neither team will be able to pull away from the other.
People are beginning to doubt the Panthers again, which means it’s a good time to back them as they look to bolster their resume for March.
Take Pitt for 2 Units.
Illinois (-4.5) at Iowa
The Illini are 6-3 and tied for second in the Big Ten mostly because of an easy schedule thus far. But to Illinois’ credit, it has beaten the teams it is supposed to beat with losses only to Purdue, Northwestern and Michigan State. Bruce Weber’s team now faces another expected win at Iowa, which isn’t always an easy place to play.
The problem for Iowa this season has been its defense, as the Hawkeyes are allowing 45 percent shooting from the field. That’s not a good sign against Illinois, which has a number of scorers and likes to get the ball inside for easy looks for its big men, Mike Davis and Mike Tisdale.
Iowa does not match up well with the Illini and this could be a lopsided affair. Take Illinois for 3 Units.
UAB at Memphis (-7)
The Blazers are tied for the lead in Conference USA and just lost their first game in league play. They are tough-minded and backed by a beast in the middle, Elijah Millsap.
The Tigers also just lost to SMU, and will look to rebound but face a tough challenge against the Blazers.
UAB hasn’t wowed anybody on the road this season, earning a lot of close wins, but you can bet the Blazers are ready for the chance to beat Memphis, which once was the bully of this conference.
The Blazers will bring their best shot knowing this could put them in good shape for a conference title. Take UAB for 2 Units.
Wichita State at Northern Iowa 118
The Panthers are a methodical team that likes to work the offense through big man, Jordan Eglseder. They are also committed to playing defense, allowing teams to shoot just 39 percent this season.
The Shockers aren’t exactly a dynamic offense either, and this one should be a grind it out battle.
Both of these teams are near the bottom of the NCAAs in tempo, and the first one to 50 should win this one. Take the under for 2 Units.
Arkansas at Georgia (-4)
The Bulldogs are a different team at home than on the road. They have 10 losses, but seven of those have come on the road. At home, they’ve defeated Tennessee, Georgia Tech and Illinois. Also, they’ve played better defense at home, allowing just 61 points per game, seven points less than their overall average.
Arkansas is coming off of a pair of wins against the Mississippi teams, and has been playing better. But outside of their last win, the Razorbacks haven’t been consistent on the road.
Trey Thompkins will be a tough matchup for an Arkansas team that is thin at the forward spot.
Take Georgia for 4 Units.
Pittsburgh at West Virginia (-8.5)
The Panthers are beginning a brutal stretch of five games that sees them play the Mountaineers twice, along with Villanova, Marquette and Seton Hall. Pittsburgh has been reeling, losing three of its last four due to a drop in offensive production.
The Mountaineers escaped with a victory at home over Louisville on Saturday, and also have not played their best recently.
Both of these teams stay committed to defense and rebounding, which suggests that neither team will be able to pull away from the other.
People are beginning to doubt the Panthers again, which means it’s a good time to back them as they look to bolster their resume for March.
Take Pitt for 2 Units.
Illinois (-4.5) at Iowa
The Illini are 6-3 and tied for second in the Big Ten mostly because of an easy schedule thus far. But to Illinois’ credit, it has beaten the teams it is supposed to beat with losses only to Purdue, Northwestern and Michigan State. Bruce Weber’s team now faces another expected win at Iowa, which isn’t always an easy place to play.
The problem for Iowa this season has been its defense, as the Hawkeyes are allowing 45 percent shooting from the field. That’s not a good sign against Illinois, which has a number of scorers and likes to get the ball inside for easy looks for its big men, Mike Davis and Mike Tisdale.
Iowa does not match up well with the Illini and this could be a lopsided affair. Take Illinois for 3 Units.
UAB at Memphis (-7)
The Blazers are tied for the lead in Conference USA and just lost their first game in league play. They are tough-minded and backed by a beast in the middle, Elijah Millsap.
The Tigers also just lost to SMU, and will look to rebound but face a tough challenge against the Blazers.
UAB hasn’t wowed anybody on the road this season, earning a lot of close wins, but you can bet the Blazers are ready for the chance to beat Memphis, which once was the bully of this conference.
The Blazers will bring their best shot knowing this could put them in good shape for a conference title. Take UAB for 2 Units.
Wichita State at Northern Iowa 118
The Panthers are a methodical team that likes to work the offense through big man, Jordan Eglseder. They are also committed to playing defense, allowing teams to shoot just 39 percent this season.
The Shockers aren’t exactly a dynamic offense either, and this one should be a grind it out battle.
Both of these teams are near the bottom of the NCAAs in tempo, and the first one to 50 should win this one. Take the under for 2 Units.
Feb. 2 Plays
We’ve gone back to the basic after a rough Saturday and managed to find 15 Units to play tonight, including a Jimmer lock.
Michigan at Northwestern 125
Although the Wolverines are just 3-3 in their last six games, they’ve only allowed one opponent to score more than 60 points. Couple that with the fact that the under has hit in their last eight games and this one should be a low-scoring affair.
Both teams like to disrupt offenses by throwing out exotic defenses, and neither team has been overwhelming shooting the ball recently. In the last five games, Michigan is shooting 37 percent from the floor, while Northwestern in at 41 percent.
Take the under for 4 Units and pray for no overtime.
Michigan State at Wisconsin (-2) 123
Apparently Vegas must be suffering from amnesia or something, because this total is a little curious.
Yes, Sparty opened things up in a win over Northwestern, but MSU now must play at the Kohl Center, where Bucky controls the tempo.
The total in this matchup at East Lansing was 101, and don’t expect it to be much higher this time around. Both teams do have capabilities from long range, but both teams played tough defense and don’t gamble too much, which means offenses will be using a lot of the shot clock.
Also, Sparty’s schedule has been relatively easy up to this point, and they are ripe for the picking in an impossible environment. Tom Izzo has never defeated Bo Ryan at the Kohl Center, and it won’t start now.
Take the under for 4 Units and Wisconsin for a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.
Kansas State (-4) at Nebraska
This has all the signs of a letdown game for Kansas State, after they played a gut-wrenching loss against Kansas on Saturday night in primetime.
The Cornhuskers play strong defense and could frustrate a streaky shooting Wildcats team.
If Nebraska is able to keep the Wildcats off of the offensive glass, they could pull the upset here. Take the Huskers for 2 Units.
Michigan at Northwestern 125
Although the Wolverines are just 3-3 in their last six games, they’ve only allowed one opponent to score more than 60 points. Couple that with the fact that the under has hit in their last eight games and this one should be a low-scoring affair.
Both teams like to disrupt offenses by throwing out exotic defenses, and neither team has been overwhelming shooting the ball recently. In the last five games, Michigan is shooting 37 percent from the floor, while Northwestern in at 41 percent.
Take the under for 4 Units and pray for no overtime.
Michigan State at Wisconsin (-2) 123
Apparently Vegas must be suffering from amnesia or something, because this total is a little curious.
Yes, Sparty opened things up in a win over Northwestern, but MSU now must play at the Kohl Center, where Bucky controls the tempo.
The total in this matchup at East Lansing was 101, and don’t expect it to be much higher this time around. Both teams do have capabilities from long range, but both teams played tough defense and don’t gamble too much, which means offenses will be using a lot of the shot clock.
Also, Sparty’s schedule has been relatively easy up to this point, and they are ripe for the picking in an impossible environment. Tom Izzo has never defeated Bo Ryan at the Kohl Center, and it won’t start now.
Take the under for 4 Units and Wisconsin for a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.
Kansas State (-4) at Nebraska
This has all the signs of a letdown game for Kansas State, after they played a gut-wrenching loss against Kansas on Saturday night in primetime.
The Cornhuskers play strong defense and could frustrate a streaky shooting Wildcats team.
If Nebraska is able to keep the Wildcats off of the offensive glass, they could pull the upset here. Take the Huskers for 2 Units.
Friday, January 29, 2010
Jan. 30 Plays
We’re back with 23 Units of play on this busy Saturday. Enjoy.
Louisville at West Virginia (-7)
The Cardinals match up well with the Mountaineers with a deep roster that keys on ball pressure. On top of that, they have the inside presence in Samardo Samuels to battle WVU’s size.
West Virginia has tended to get off to slow starts at home, and Louisville’s ability to force turnovers against a Mountaineers team with limited guard experience means this one will go down to the wire.
Take Louisville for 3 Units.
Indiana at Illinois 138
These are a couple of the more fast-paced teams in the Big Ten. But this will be a tough game for Indiana to score in consistently, and the Illini’s game plan always starts with its defense.
The Hoosiers will try to shrink possessions by working the shot clock and playing conservatively to stay in it.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Baylor at Texas (-8)
The Bears have been playing well recently, but this is very good value for a line of a Texas team that hasn’t played committed defense in its last couple of games.
The Longhorns need to keep pace with Kansas for the Big 12 title, and expect their best effort in this game.
The Bears are talented, but if Texas plays solid perimeter defense, it should be an easy win. Take Texas for 3 Units.
Vanderbilt at Kentucky 154
It makes little sense why this over/under is so high. The Wildcats have held teams below 37 percent shooting in their last five games, and the Commodores aren’t going to try and run with Kentucky.
Both teams can shoot well, but neither coach is going to let his team loose in this one. Expect this to be a grind-it-out, defensive battle. Take the under for a 5 Unit, stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock.
Notre Dame (-6.5) at Rutgers
The Scarlet Knights have lost an incredible eight games in a row against the spread, and this line isn’t going to help them break this streak.
Fred Hill is a lame duck coach, and the team isn’t exactly diciplined on either end of the floor and the Fighting Irish have the shooting and depth to get a big road victory.
Take ND for 2 Units.
Dayton (-4.5) at St. Bonaventure
The Flyers have been a letdown this season, losing three of their last four and fighting to stay relevant in the A-10 title chase and NCAA Tournament.
The Bonnies have been mediocre in conference, and if Dayton is serious about making a run at the NCAAs, it needs to get a convincing road win before a home matchup with Xavier.
Take Dayton for 3 Units.
UCLA at Oregon St. (-2)
The Beavers earned a big home win against USC on Thursday and now face the Bruins who lost an overtime game at Oregon.
The Bruins have been playing much better since their slow start this season, and although OSU likes to slow the game down, UCLA has the toughness and talent to get this road win.
Take UCLA for 3 Units.
Louisville at West Virginia (-7)
The Cardinals match up well with the Mountaineers with a deep roster that keys on ball pressure. On top of that, they have the inside presence in Samardo Samuels to battle WVU’s size.
West Virginia has tended to get off to slow starts at home, and Louisville’s ability to force turnovers against a Mountaineers team with limited guard experience means this one will go down to the wire.
Take Louisville for 3 Units.
Indiana at Illinois 138
These are a couple of the more fast-paced teams in the Big Ten. But this will be a tough game for Indiana to score in consistently, and the Illini’s game plan always starts with its defense.
The Hoosiers will try to shrink possessions by working the shot clock and playing conservatively to stay in it.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Baylor at Texas (-8)
The Bears have been playing well recently, but this is very good value for a line of a Texas team that hasn’t played committed defense in its last couple of games.
The Longhorns need to keep pace with Kansas for the Big 12 title, and expect their best effort in this game.
The Bears are talented, but if Texas plays solid perimeter defense, it should be an easy win. Take Texas for 3 Units.
Vanderbilt at Kentucky 154
It makes little sense why this over/under is so high. The Wildcats have held teams below 37 percent shooting in their last five games, and the Commodores aren’t going to try and run with Kentucky.
Both teams can shoot well, but neither coach is going to let his team loose in this one. Expect this to be a grind-it-out, defensive battle. Take the under for a 5 Unit, stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock.
Notre Dame (-6.5) at Rutgers
The Scarlet Knights have lost an incredible eight games in a row against the spread, and this line isn’t going to help them break this streak.
Fred Hill is a lame duck coach, and the team isn’t exactly diciplined on either end of the floor and the Fighting Irish have the shooting and depth to get a big road victory.
Take ND for 2 Units.
Dayton (-4.5) at St. Bonaventure
The Flyers have been a letdown this season, losing three of their last four and fighting to stay relevant in the A-10 title chase and NCAA Tournament.
The Bonnies have been mediocre in conference, and if Dayton is serious about making a run at the NCAAs, it needs to get a convincing road win before a home matchup with Xavier.
Take Dayton for 3 Units.
UCLA at Oregon St. (-2)
The Beavers earned a big home win against USC on Thursday and now face the Bruins who lost an overtime game at Oregon.
The Bruins have been playing much better since their slow start this season, and although OSU likes to slow the game down, UCLA has the toughness and talent to get this road win.
Take UCLA for 3 Units.
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Jan. 29
We were up 1 Unit on Thursday thanks to Pitt and Oregon State. There won't be any plays Friday, but check back Saturday morning for some more action.
Jan. 28 Plays
After picking up 10 Units and paying for one of my client’s February rent, we have 11 more Units in play tonight.
St. John’s at Pittsburgh (-8.5)
Turnovers and poor shooting have plagued Pittsburgh during its two-game losing streak. The loss to Georgetown wasn’t shameful, but the road loss to Seton Hall should have the Panthers looking to get back on track.
The Red Storm has allowed its last five opponents to shoot 44 percent, and St. John’s is just 1-4 on the road with its lone win coming its Temple in November.
The bugaboo for St. John’s this season has been long scoring droughts, which will be troublesome against a stingy Pitt defense. Although the Storm welcomes back Anthony Mason, Jr., it is running into Pitt at the wrong time.
Take the Panthers for 4 Units.
Southern Illinois at Indiana State (-1)
After losing five of six games, the Salukis seem to have found something defeating two good teams at home in Western Kentucky and Illinois State.
The Sycamores have dropped four straight, granted those losses were against three of the Missouri Valley’s best.
ISU’s three conference wins have come against mediocre conference opponents, so expect the Salukis to continue their roll with a road victory. Take SIU for 2 Units.
USC (-4) at Oregon State
The Beavers have been a tough team to figure this season, losing a home game to Seattle by 51 points, but then winning at Oregon.
Corvallis is always a tough place to play, and OSU likes to slow the tempo as does USC. This should be a close game just due to the fact that both teams like to play things close to the vest.
The advantage in a close games goes to the home team in a tough environment. Take the Beavers for 2 Units.
California at Arizona State (-3.5)
This is a battle for the lead in the Pac 10 conference and no team has been all that consistent in this league.
The Golden Bears have won four of five, but three of those came at home, while Arizona State is coming off an embarassing loss to Arizona.
Cal keys much of its offense off of the 3-point shot, but the Devils have surrendered just 33 percent from beyond the arc this season.
Take ASU for 3 Units.
St. John’s at Pittsburgh (-8.5)
Turnovers and poor shooting have plagued Pittsburgh during its two-game losing streak. The loss to Georgetown wasn’t shameful, but the road loss to Seton Hall should have the Panthers looking to get back on track.
The Red Storm has allowed its last five opponents to shoot 44 percent, and St. John’s is just 1-4 on the road with its lone win coming its Temple in November.
The bugaboo for St. John’s this season has been long scoring droughts, which will be troublesome against a stingy Pitt defense. Although the Storm welcomes back Anthony Mason, Jr., it is running into Pitt at the wrong time.
Take the Panthers for 4 Units.
Southern Illinois at Indiana State (-1)
After losing five of six games, the Salukis seem to have found something defeating two good teams at home in Western Kentucky and Illinois State.
The Sycamores have dropped four straight, granted those losses were against three of the Missouri Valley’s best.
ISU’s three conference wins have come against mediocre conference opponents, so expect the Salukis to continue their roll with a road victory. Take SIU for 2 Units.
USC (-4) at Oregon State
The Beavers have been a tough team to figure this season, losing a home game to Seattle by 51 points, but then winning at Oregon.
Corvallis is always a tough place to play, and OSU likes to slow the tempo as does USC. This should be a close game just due to the fact that both teams like to play things close to the vest.
The advantage in a close games goes to the home team in a tough environment. Take the Beavers for 2 Units.
California at Arizona State (-3.5)
This is a battle for the lead in the Pac 10 conference and no team has been all that consistent in this league.
The Golden Bears have won four of five, but three of those came at home, while Arizona State is coming off an embarassing loss to Arizona.
Cal keys much of its offense off of the 3-point shot, but the Devils have surrendered just 33 percent from beyond the arc this season.
Take ASU for 3 Units.
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Jan. 27 Plays
After picking up 8 Units last night, we look for 18 more tonight.
Illinois (-1) at Penn State
The Nittany Lions suffered a crushing defeat at the Kohl Center on Sunday after holding a 16-point lead in the second half. PSU went to 0-7 in the Big Ten and now has to face an Illinois team hungry for a win after losing three straight.
Penn State’s offense starts and ends with Talor Battle, who doesn’t match up well against the physical and quick Illinois guards.
Battle may get his, but no other Lion averages in double figures.
The Illini will win this one in a less than intimidating atmosphere at University Park. Take Illinois for 4 Units.
Temple (-1) at Charlotte
This is a huge game for the Charlotte 49ers’ hopes to make it to the NCAA Tournament, and it just so happens to be a showdown for first place in the Atlantic 10.
The Niners have the size inside with BC transfer Shamari Spears and experience in the backcourt with senior DiJuan Harris.
Temple’s defense is tough, but the Owls will be entering a rabid atmosphere with Niners fans having camped out for this one against a ranked opponent.
Oh yeah, and it’s Harris’ daughter, Zoey’s, first birthday. You can’t bet against that. Take Charlotte for 4 Units.
Memphis (-1.5) at Marshall
Marhsall’s 15-4 record is inflated due to an extremely weak schedule, and the Tigers will look to stay in the rear view mirror of UAB for the Conference USA race.
Memphis has too much talent here for Marhsall to win this one, and look for the guard play of Elliot Williams and Roburt Sallie to be the difference.
Take Memphis for 2 Units.
Florida State at Duke (-14)
The Blue Devils are tough at home, but the Seminoles are playing with a lot of confidence right now having just defeated Georgia Tech.
The Seminoles are too solid on defense to let this game get out of hand, and they will find enough scoring from Derwin Kitchen and Michael Snaer to stay in it. Take FSU for 2 Units.
Brigham Young at New Mexico 151
Both of these teams can fill it up, and the Lobos especially like to get out and run at home.
The Cougars have one of the best scorers and shooters in the country in Jimmer Fredette, and this should be an exciting, up-and-down affair.
They both have efficient offenses that start with strong guard play. Take the over for 3 Units.
Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-5.5)
The Commodores will just keep coming at their opponent with 10 players averaging at least nine minutes. Four of those 10 average at least 10 points.
This is compared to a Tennessee team that is short-handed after the dismissal of Tyler Smith and suspension of Brian Williams. Also Wayne Chism has been bothered by a knee sprain.
The Vols will be looking for a win after an embarrassing loss to Georgia, but the depth of Vanderbilt along with its balanced scoring will help keep this one close. Take Vandy for 3 Units.
Illinois (-1) at Penn State
The Nittany Lions suffered a crushing defeat at the Kohl Center on Sunday after holding a 16-point lead in the second half. PSU went to 0-7 in the Big Ten and now has to face an Illinois team hungry for a win after losing three straight.
Penn State’s offense starts and ends with Talor Battle, who doesn’t match up well against the physical and quick Illinois guards.
Battle may get his, but no other Lion averages in double figures.
The Illini will win this one in a less than intimidating atmosphere at University Park. Take Illinois for 4 Units.
Temple (-1) at Charlotte
This is a huge game for the Charlotte 49ers’ hopes to make it to the NCAA Tournament, and it just so happens to be a showdown for first place in the Atlantic 10.
The Niners have the size inside with BC transfer Shamari Spears and experience in the backcourt with senior DiJuan Harris.
Temple’s defense is tough, but the Owls will be entering a rabid atmosphere with Niners fans having camped out for this one against a ranked opponent.
Oh yeah, and it’s Harris’ daughter, Zoey’s, first birthday. You can’t bet against that. Take Charlotte for 4 Units.
Memphis (-1.5) at Marshall
Marhsall’s 15-4 record is inflated due to an extremely weak schedule, and the Tigers will look to stay in the rear view mirror of UAB for the Conference USA race.
Memphis has too much talent here for Marhsall to win this one, and look for the guard play of Elliot Williams and Roburt Sallie to be the difference.
Take Memphis for 2 Units.
Florida State at Duke (-14)
The Blue Devils are tough at home, but the Seminoles are playing with a lot of confidence right now having just defeated Georgia Tech.
The Seminoles are too solid on defense to let this game get out of hand, and they will find enough scoring from Derwin Kitchen and Michael Snaer to stay in it. Take FSU for 2 Units.
Brigham Young at New Mexico 151
Both of these teams can fill it up, and the Lobos especially like to get out and run at home.
The Cougars have one of the best scorers and shooters in the country in Jimmer Fredette, and this should be an exciting, up-and-down affair.
They both have efficient offenses that start with strong guard play. Take the over for 3 Units.
Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-5.5)
The Commodores will just keep coming at their opponent with 10 players averaging at least nine minutes. Four of those 10 average at least 10 points.
This is compared to a Tennessee team that is short-handed after the dismissal of Tyler Smith and suspension of Brian Williams. Also Wayne Chism has been bothered by a knee sprain.
The Vols will be looking for a win after an embarrassing loss to Georgia, but the depth of Vanderbilt along with its balanced scoring will help keep this one close. Take Vandy for 3 Units.
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Jan. 26 Plays
After a close loss last night, we're back with 12 Units of action.
Kansas State at Baylor 149
Both of these teams have strong guard play and can catch fire from the outside. Neither team has scored all that much in recent games, but that’s more a function of playing tough teams.
These squads prefer to get up and down the floor, but each also has the inside presence for consistent scoring on the inside.
Take the over for 4 Units.
Northwestern at Minnesota (-12)
The Golden Gophers have played tough at home with a 10-1 record, but the nature of the Wildcats’ offense and defense is to keep them close in games.
Minnesota likes to get out and run when possible, but with how patient Northwestern is in its offense it will be hard for the Gophers to find any transition baskets.
Look for NU to hang around in this one. Take the Wildcats for 3 Units.
Tulsa at UAB (-3.5)
The Dragons are a perfect 10-0 at home this season, including victories over Butler and Cincinnati.
The Golden Hurricane has won seven games in a row, but has not been impressive in close wins against Oral Roberts and Rice.
Tulsa’s big man Jerome Jordan will run into an equal matchup in Elijah Millsap in the middle.
We made tons of money off of Elijah’s brother, Paul, when he was at Louisiana Tech and his little bro has the same kind of talent.
Take UAB for 3 Units.
Kentucky (-7.5) at South Carolina
The Wildcats look to be unstoppable right now and have risen to the No. 1 spot in the polls.
They haven’t shown any bashfulness in tough road environments either and as long as John Wall is playing, they will be a formidable opponent.
The Gamecocks have lost three straight and will miss the services of Dominique Archie in this one.
Take Kentucky for 2 Units.
Kansas State at Baylor 149
Both of these teams have strong guard play and can catch fire from the outside. Neither team has scored all that much in recent games, but that’s more a function of playing tough teams.
These squads prefer to get up and down the floor, but each also has the inside presence for consistent scoring on the inside.
Take the over for 4 Units.
Northwestern at Minnesota (-12)
The Golden Gophers have played tough at home with a 10-1 record, but the nature of the Wildcats’ offense and defense is to keep them close in games.
Minnesota likes to get out and run when possible, but with how patient Northwestern is in its offense it will be hard for the Gophers to find any transition baskets.
Look for NU to hang around in this one. Take the Wildcats for 3 Units.
Tulsa at UAB (-3.5)
The Dragons are a perfect 10-0 at home this season, including victories over Butler and Cincinnati.
The Golden Hurricane has won seven games in a row, but has not been impressive in close wins against Oral Roberts and Rice.
Tulsa’s big man Jerome Jordan will run into an equal matchup in Elijah Millsap in the middle.
We made tons of money off of Elijah’s brother, Paul, when he was at Louisiana Tech and his little bro has the same kind of talent.
Take UAB for 3 Units.
Kentucky (-7.5) at South Carolina
The Wildcats look to be unstoppable right now and have risen to the No. 1 spot in the polls.
They haven’t shown any bashfulness in tough road environments either and as long as John Wall is playing, they will be a formidable opponent.
The Gamecocks have lost three straight and will miss the services of Dominique Archie in this one.
Take Kentucky for 2 Units.
Monday, January 25, 2010
Jan. 25 Play
We're back and looking to build on a huge Saturday with one play:
Missouri at Kansas 150
The Tigers are one of the more up-tempo teams in the country with a full-court press and a host of guards that aren’t bashful about shooting.
The Jayhawks like to fall into the quick pace also and have a number of scoring options.
If both teams are hitting their shots this will be a high-scoring game. Take the over for 3 Units.
Missouri at Kansas 150
The Tigers are one of the more up-tempo teams in the country with a full-court press and a host of guards that aren’t bashful about shooting.
The Jayhawks like to fall into the quick pace also and have a number of scoring options.
If both teams are hitting their shots this will be a high-scoring game. Take the over for 3 Units.
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Saturday, January 23, 2010
Jan. 23 Plays Continued
Ohio State at West Virginia (-6.5)
The Buckeyes are a different team with Evan Turner in the lineup, and the whole team seems to play with more confidence and fit its roles better when he’s playing.
OSU goes on the road to face a long and athletic West Virginia team that doesn’t have great backcourt play. They have a couple of players who can drive the Buckeyes matchup zone, but finding consistent scoring could be a problem.
If the Buckeyes are able to clear the defensive rebounds, this one should go down to the wire. Take OSU for 3 Units.
St. Bonaventure at Duquesne (-5)
This comes down to a gut check for the Duquesne Dukes. They have lost five straight, including their first four in conference.
The Bonnies are running into a team hungry for a win, and the Dukes have too much talent to lose this one. Take Duquesne for 2 Units.
South Florida at Providence (-5)
The Friars are better than the four bottom feeders of the Big East, and always tend to play well at home.
USF is just 1-3 away from home and the Friars are coming off of an embarrassing loss to Marquette.
Take Providence for 4 Units.
Marquette at Syracuse 147
Both teams have shot above 45 percent from the floor in their last five games and above 40 percent from 3-point range.
Expect Syracuse to extend its zone to limit Marquette’s outside shooting, but if MU is able to get the ball to the elbow and let Lazar Hayward and Jimmy Butler create, they should find consistent offense.
The Orange bigs should have a field day inside against a weak MU frontcourt and this will be a fast pace. Take the over for 4 Units.
Tennessee (-6) at Georgia
The Vols have been playing with fire in the last few weeks, winning some close games on the road. This is our upset special of the day with Mark Fox coaching the Bulldogs up for a big home win. Take Georgia with the points for 4 Units and to win at +230 at 2 Units.
Arizona at Arizona State (-10)
The Wildcats have been one of the more inconsistent teams in the country this season, but will be giving their best effort in this one.
The Devils have won four straight, but it's rare that this rivalry becomes a blowout. Take U of A for 3 Units.
The Buckeyes are a different team with Evan Turner in the lineup, and the whole team seems to play with more confidence and fit its roles better when he’s playing.
OSU goes on the road to face a long and athletic West Virginia team that doesn’t have great backcourt play. They have a couple of players who can drive the Buckeyes matchup zone, but finding consistent scoring could be a problem.
If the Buckeyes are able to clear the defensive rebounds, this one should go down to the wire. Take OSU for 3 Units.
St. Bonaventure at Duquesne (-5)
This comes down to a gut check for the Duquesne Dukes. They have lost five straight, including their first four in conference.
The Bonnies are running into a team hungry for a win, and the Dukes have too much talent to lose this one. Take Duquesne for 2 Units.
South Florida at Providence (-5)
The Friars are better than the four bottom feeders of the Big East, and always tend to play well at home.
USF is just 1-3 away from home and the Friars are coming off of an embarrassing loss to Marquette.
Take Providence for 4 Units.
Marquette at Syracuse 147
Both teams have shot above 45 percent from the floor in their last five games and above 40 percent from 3-point range.
Expect Syracuse to extend its zone to limit Marquette’s outside shooting, but if MU is able to get the ball to the elbow and let Lazar Hayward and Jimmy Butler create, they should find consistent offense.
The Orange bigs should have a field day inside against a weak MU frontcourt and this will be a fast pace. Take the over for 4 Units.
Tennessee (-6) at Georgia
The Vols have been playing with fire in the last few weeks, winning some close games on the road. This is our upset special of the day with Mark Fox coaching the Bulldogs up for a big home win. Take Georgia with the points for 4 Units and to win at +230 at 2 Units.
Arizona at Arizona State (-10)
The Wildcats have been one of the more inconsistent teams in the country this season, but will be giving their best effort in this one.
The Devils have won four straight, but it's rare that this rivalry becomes a blowout. Take U of A for 3 Units.
Early Jan. 23 Plays
Here are a couple of 11 a.m. appetizers for the main course coming later today.
Mississippi State at Alabama (PK)
The Crimson Tide has been playing better than its record indicates with close losses to Tennessee and Vanderbilt, while the Bulldogs have been skating by the bottom feeders of the SEC.
Jarvis Varnado is always a matchup problem for those who face Mississippi State, but Alabama has JaMychal Green, who should give him enough to neutralize his offensive rebounding ability.
Alabama will get its best effort in this game, and if it’s able to knock down some shots from long range, the Tide should roll. Take Bama for 3 Units.
Villanova (-6) at St. John’s
The Wildcats have passed some stiff tests in the road in conference play this season, and this will be another one in Madison Square Garden.
The Johnnies have been inconsistent this season, and despite a lot of experience in their starting lineup, have been somewhat disappointing.
Scottie Reynolds is campaigning for Big East POY honors and Nova has too many shooters and guards for the Red Storm.
Their intense ball pressure will force turnovers and frustrate the St. John’s offense. Take Villanova for 2 Units.
Mississippi State at Alabama (PK)
The Crimson Tide has been playing better than its record indicates with close losses to Tennessee and Vanderbilt, while the Bulldogs have been skating by the bottom feeders of the SEC.
Jarvis Varnado is always a matchup problem for those who face Mississippi State, but Alabama has JaMychal Green, who should give him enough to neutralize his offensive rebounding ability.
Alabama will get its best effort in this game, and if it’s able to knock down some shots from long range, the Tide should roll. Take Bama for 3 Units.
Villanova (-6) at St. John’s
The Wildcats have passed some stiff tests in the road in conference play this season, and this will be another one in Madison Square Garden.
The Johnnies have been inconsistent this season, and despite a lot of experience in their starting lineup, have been somewhat disappointing.
Scottie Reynolds is campaigning for Big East POY honors and Nova has too many shooters and guards for the Red Storm.
Their intense ball pressure will force turnovers and frustrate the St. John’s offense. Take Villanova for 2 Units.
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Jan. 20 Plays
After a rough Tuesday that saw us give back the 7 Units we won Monday, we look to rebound with three plays for 9 Units.
Wake Forest at North Carolina (-6)
This is very good value on a Tar Heels team that is usually tough at home. Although UNC lost its last home game to Georgia Tech, expect North Carolina to give its best effort in this one.
The Demon Deacons are a scrappy team, but Roy Williams will make sure that he doesn't lose three in a row for the first time as UNC head coach.
Take the Tar Heels for 4 Units.
Iowa State at Texas Tech (-3)
The Red Raiders have come down back to Earth after a great start to the season, losing three straight. But the losses have been two on the road to Oklahoma State and Kansas and at home to a good Missouri team in overtime.
The Cyclones just won a road game at Nebraska, but this will only be their third road game of the season, which also includes a 20-point loss at Drake.
ISU still has to prove itself on the road, and it isn't coming against a team hungry for a win at home. Take the Red Raiders as a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.
Michigan at Wisconsin (-8.5)
The Wolverines are entering a stretch of four games against ranked opponents and seem to be coming out of their earlier season slump.
A big key in their turnaround has been the shooting of Zak Novak and Stu Douglass, which should help them stay in the game at the Kohl Center.
The Badgers miss the inside scoring of Jon Leuer and have not found anyone to step up in his absence. Wisconsin has moved to a three-guard lineup, which could prove detrimental if John Belein goes with his 1-3-1 zone. The way to break that is with passing, not dribble penetration, and with three guards on the floor, the temptation will be for Bucky to put the ball on the floor, which could lead to turnovers.
On top of that, Wisconsin has had trouble stopping good scorers in its recent history, allowing Evan Turner and Lawrence Westbrook to find their own shots. If Manny Harris plays well, the Wolverines should hang in this one. Take Michigan for 3 Units.
Wake Forest at North Carolina (-6)
This is very good value on a Tar Heels team that is usually tough at home. Although UNC lost its last home game to Georgia Tech, expect North Carolina to give its best effort in this one.
The Demon Deacons are a scrappy team, but Roy Williams will make sure that he doesn't lose three in a row for the first time as UNC head coach.
Take the Tar Heels for 4 Units.
Iowa State at Texas Tech (-3)
The Red Raiders have come down back to Earth after a great start to the season, losing three straight. But the losses have been two on the road to Oklahoma State and Kansas and at home to a good Missouri team in overtime.
The Cyclones just won a road game at Nebraska, but this will only be their third road game of the season, which also includes a 20-point loss at Drake.
ISU still has to prove itself on the road, and it isn't coming against a team hungry for a win at home. Take the Red Raiders as a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.
Michigan at Wisconsin (-8.5)
The Wolverines are entering a stretch of four games against ranked opponents and seem to be coming out of their earlier season slump.
A big key in their turnaround has been the shooting of Zak Novak and Stu Douglass, which should help them stay in the game at the Kohl Center.
The Badgers miss the inside scoring of Jon Leuer and have not found anyone to step up in his absence. Wisconsin has moved to a three-guard lineup, which could prove detrimental if John Belein goes with his 1-3-1 zone. The way to break that is with passing, not dribble penetration, and with three guards on the floor, the temptation will be for Bucky to put the ball on the floor, which could lead to turnovers.
On top of that, Wisconsin has had trouble stopping good scorers in its recent history, allowing Evan Turner and Lawrence Westbrook to find their own shots. If Manny Harris plays well, the Wolverines should hang in this one. Take Michigan for 3 Units.
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Jan. 19 Plays
After successfully pegging Texas' first loss of the season in an ugly affair at Kansas State, we look to build on it with 15 Units in play.
Northwestern at Ohio State (-11.5) 131
The Buckeyes are a lot better with Evan Turner back in the lineup, and are coming off a big win over Wisconsin on Saturday.
The Wildcats recently defeated a reeling Purdue team at home and find themselves in the thick of the Big Ten race.
It's clear that OSU is playing with more confidence since Turner returned, but Northwestern isn't a terrible team and its 1-3-1 defense will slow the game down and keep it close.
Both these teams play solid defense and should keep the number down. Take the under for 4 and Northwestern for 2 Units.
Clemson at Georgia Tech 142.5
Both of these teams like to push the pace when they can and have the athletes to make plays off of the dribble.
Clemson's press tends to increase the tempo of games and force live ball turnovers, which lead to easy baskets.
The Jackets have shot well at home this season, and the winner of this one should be in the high 70s. Take the over for 3 Units.
Oklahoma at Texas A&M (-7.5)
The Sooners might be starting to turn the corner after an awful start to the season, having won their last two Big 12 games. Texas A&M is coming off a heart-breaking loss to Texas and is coming home after a brief road trip.
The Aggies have struggled with scoring all season, and although they've played good defensively, this one should be a slugfest and much closer than the number suggests.
This game should come down to the final minutes, with OU sticking close enough to cover. Take the Sooners for 4 Units.
Northern Iowa at Wichita State (-3)
Rarely do I like taking a ranked underdog on the road against an unranked opponent, but when you have a 7-foot, 280-pound center in Jordan Eglseder it's hard to bet against UNI. That and the fact that they play sound defense and have a 15-game winning streak, which includes wins at Creighton and Southern Illinois, makes one confident they can handle tough environments.
This is the Panthers' chance to put a strangehold on the Missouri Valley Conference title and look for them to come through. Take UNI for 2 Units.
Northwestern at Ohio State (-11.5) 131
The Buckeyes are a lot better with Evan Turner back in the lineup, and are coming off a big win over Wisconsin on Saturday.
The Wildcats recently defeated a reeling Purdue team at home and find themselves in the thick of the Big Ten race.
It's clear that OSU is playing with more confidence since Turner returned, but Northwestern isn't a terrible team and its 1-3-1 defense will slow the game down and keep it close.
Both these teams play solid defense and should keep the number down. Take the under for 4 and Northwestern for 2 Units.
Clemson at Georgia Tech 142.5
Both of these teams like to push the pace when they can and have the athletes to make plays off of the dribble.
Clemson's press tends to increase the tempo of games and force live ball turnovers, which lead to easy baskets.
The Jackets have shot well at home this season, and the winner of this one should be in the high 70s. Take the over for 3 Units.
Oklahoma at Texas A&M (-7.5)
The Sooners might be starting to turn the corner after an awful start to the season, having won their last two Big 12 games. Texas A&M is coming off a heart-breaking loss to Texas and is coming home after a brief road trip.
The Aggies have struggled with scoring all season, and although they've played good defensively, this one should be a slugfest and much closer than the number suggests.
This game should come down to the final minutes, with OU sticking close enough to cover. Take the Sooners for 4 Units.
Northern Iowa at Wichita State (-3)
Rarely do I like taking a ranked underdog on the road against an unranked opponent, but when you have a 7-foot, 280-pound center in Jordan Eglseder it's hard to bet against UNI. That and the fact that they play sound defense and have a 15-game winning streak, which includes wins at Creighton and Southern Illinois, makes one confident they can handle tough environments.
This is the Panthers' chance to put a strangehold on the Missouri Valley Conference title and look for them to come through. Take UNI for 2 Units.
Monday, January 18, 2010
Jan. 18 Plays
After a disappointing Saturday, we're back with a couple of Big Monday plays:
Texas at Kansas State (-1.5) O/U 159
The Longhorns are the No. 1 team in the nation, but haven’t looked too convincing in recent games, including an overtime victory at home against Texas A&M.
The Wildcats have been tough at home this season as has the entire Big 12 Conference. They have the firepower, and most importantly, the defense to take down Texas.
These teams both have the ability to score, but it will be the KSU defense that wins this one.
Take KSU for 4 Units and the under for 3 Units.
Texas at Kansas State (-1.5) O/U 159
The Longhorns are the No. 1 team in the nation, but haven’t looked too convincing in recent games, including an overtime victory at home against Texas A&M.
The Wildcats have been tough at home this season as has the entire Big 12 Conference. They have the firepower, and most importantly, the defense to take down Texas.
These teams both have the ability to score, but it will be the KSU defense that wins this one.
Take KSU for 4 Units and the under for 3 Units.
Saturday, January 16, 2010
Jan. 16 Plays
We have 17 Units in play on a busy Saturday. Enjoy.
Missouri at Oklahoma 152.5
Both teams like to push the tempo and will look to score early in the shot clock.
Oklahoma has had issues with turnovers this season, and the Tigers force a lot of them with their press. That could lead to a lot of transition points, which is always good for a high-scoring game.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Mississippi at Tennessee (-7.5)
The Volunteers have been playing well since the suspension of four of their main contributors. But they needed a strong second half against a weak Auburn team to win their last game, and Ole Miss isn’t going to be an easy out.
The Rebels have much more talent than Auburn, and although Tennessee defeated Kansas with the short-handed lineup this will eventually catch up to the Vols.
Take Mississippi for 4 Units.
Arizona at Oregon 146.5
The Ducks have lost two straight games against a pair of defensive-minded teams. Arizona will play the up-tempo game that Oregon likes.
Both teams have strong guard play and good shooters from the outside and this should be a game with a lot of field goals.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Purdue at Northwestern 133
The Boilermakers are coming off of two straight losses, and will look to rebound with their trademark defense.
Purdue does a good job of closing out on 3-point shooters and that is a big part of the Wildcats’ offense. This will be a defensive battle with the winner scoring in the 60s.
Take the under for 3 Units.
Wisconsin at Ohio State (-5)
The Badgers are walking into a tough situation here with the Buckeyes having Evan Turner back in the lineup. Wisconsin mopped the floor with OSU in Madison earlier this season and best believe the Buckeyes will be looking for revenge.
This will be a game where Wisconsin misses the services of Jon Leuer, who is out with a broken wrist.
Look for OSU’s outside shooting and home-court advantage to be the difference here. Take the Buckeyes for 4 Units.
Missouri at Oklahoma 152.5
Both teams like to push the tempo and will look to score early in the shot clock.
Oklahoma has had issues with turnovers this season, and the Tigers force a lot of them with their press. That could lead to a lot of transition points, which is always good for a high-scoring game.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Mississippi at Tennessee (-7.5)
The Volunteers have been playing well since the suspension of four of their main contributors. But they needed a strong second half against a weak Auburn team to win their last game, and Ole Miss isn’t going to be an easy out.
The Rebels have much more talent than Auburn, and although Tennessee defeated Kansas with the short-handed lineup this will eventually catch up to the Vols.
Take Mississippi for 4 Units.
Arizona at Oregon 146.5
The Ducks have lost two straight games against a pair of defensive-minded teams. Arizona will play the up-tempo game that Oregon likes.
Both teams have strong guard play and good shooters from the outside and this should be a game with a lot of field goals.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Purdue at Northwestern 133
The Boilermakers are coming off of two straight losses, and will look to rebound with their trademark defense.
Purdue does a good job of closing out on 3-point shooters and that is a big part of the Wildcats’ offense. This will be a defensive battle with the winner scoring in the 60s.
Take the under for 3 Units.
Wisconsin at Ohio State (-5)
The Badgers are walking into a tough situation here with the Buckeyes having Evan Turner back in the lineup. Wisconsin mopped the floor with OSU in Madison earlier this season and best believe the Buckeyes will be looking for revenge.
This will be a game where Wisconsin misses the services of Jon Leuer, who is out with a broken wrist.
Look for OSU’s outside shooting and home-court advantage to be the difference here. Take the Buckeyes for 4 Units.
Friday, January 15, 2010
No Jan. 15 Plays
Just letting everyone know that we will not have any plays Jan. 15. We are getting into the thick of the college basketball season, which means no real meaningful games on Friday.
But check back Saturday morning for some more picks. We're at +23 units and +42 since Dec. 29. Looking to stay hot.
But check back Saturday morning for some more picks. We're at +23 units and +42 since Dec. 29. Looking to stay hot.
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Jan. 14 Plays
We broke even last night, and look to improve on that with 16 Units in play.
Seton Hall at Georgetown 145.5
The Hoyas always commit to a slower pace than most Big East teams, playing a Princeton-style offense and using their length to disrupt the opponents’ offense.
The total has been under in the last seven meetings between these two teams at numbers less than 145.5.
Seton Hall certainly has the ability to score in bunches, but struggles against defenses with length, such as Georgetown.
Look for the Hoyas to make a concerted effort to get the ball to Greg Monroe and grind out a victory.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Wright State (-4.5) at Green Bay
The Phoenix has played three straight conference games, going 1-2 in those. Green Bay returns home where it is 5-2 to face a Wright State team that is 2-5 on the road.
This is a matchup between two 4-2 teams in the Horizon and a battle for second place. Green Bay’s offense should be able to get the Phoenix a key home victory.
Wright State has had its struggles at the Resch Center, and Rahmon Fletcher should finally be healthy for the Phoenix. Fletcher is Green Bay’s leading scorer at 17 ppg.
Take the Phoenix for 3 Units.
Arizona State at Oregon 129.5
The Ducks’ offense was shut down in their last lost against Oregon State, but have scored at least 70 points in the seven games prior.
The Sun Devils are a defensive-minded team, but Oregon likes to push the tempo and shoot quickly into the shot clock. The Devils have some outside shooters and a nice inside presence with Eric Boateng.
Look for the winner of this game to be in the 70s. Take the over for 2 Units.
Providence (-3) at DePaul
The Blue Devils are in disarray having just fired head coach Jerry Wainwright. The players were reportedly upset with the decision and a mid-season firing is pretty rare in college basketball.
Look for Providence to take advantage with its ability to score. The Friars like to push the tempo and if the Devils fall into that pace, Providence should be able to win this one going away.
Take the Friars for 4 Units.
Gonzaga at St. Mary’s 153
The Bulldogs have averaged 78 points this season and shot 48 percent as a team, while St. Mary’s has totaled 81 ppg and also shot 48 percent, including 40 percent from 3-point range.
Both teams have plenty of options for 3-point shooting and look for this to be an up-and-down game with a lot of field goals.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Seton Hall at Georgetown 145.5
The Hoyas always commit to a slower pace than most Big East teams, playing a Princeton-style offense and using their length to disrupt the opponents’ offense.
The total has been under in the last seven meetings between these two teams at numbers less than 145.5.
Seton Hall certainly has the ability to score in bunches, but struggles against defenses with length, such as Georgetown.
Look for the Hoyas to make a concerted effort to get the ball to Greg Monroe and grind out a victory.
Take the under for 4 Units.
Wright State (-4.5) at Green Bay
The Phoenix has played three straight conference games, going 1-2 in those. Green Bay returns home where it is 5-2 to face a Wright State team that is 2-5 on the road.
This is a matchup between two 4-2 teams in the Horizon and a battle for second place. Green Bay’s offense should be able to get the Phoenix a key home victory.
Wright State has had its struggles at the Resch Center, and Rahmon Fletcher should finally be healthy for the Phoenix. Fletcher is Green Bay’s leading scorer at 17 ppg.
Take the Phoenix for 3 Units.
Arizona State at Oregon 129.5
The Ducks’ offense was shut down in their last lost against Oregon State, but have scored at least 70 points in the seven games prior.
The Sun Devils are a defensive-minded team, but Oregon likes to push the tempo and shoot quickly into the shot clock. The Devils have some outside shooters and a nice inside presence with Eric Boateng.
Look for the winner of this game to be in the 70s. Take the over for 2 Units.
Providence (-3) at DePaul
The Blue Devils are in disarray having just fired head coach Jerry Wainwright. The players were reportedly upset with the decision and a mid-season firing is pretty rare in college basketball.
Look for Providence to take advantage with its ability to score. The Friars like to push the tempo and if the Devils fall into that pace, Providence should be able to win this one going away.
Take the Friars for 4 Units.
Gonzaga at St. Mary’s 153
The Bulldogs have averaged 78 points this season and shot 48 percent as a team, while St. Mary’s has totaled 81 ppg and also shot 48 percent, including 40 percent from 3-point range.
Both teams have plenty of options for 3-point shooting and look for this to be an up-and-down game with a lot of field goals.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Jan. 13 Plays
We picked up 6 more units last night, thanks to another Big Ten under for 4 Units. Those Big Ten unders are too easy sometimes. We’re at +15 on the year and looking to build on that with 18 Units in play tonight.
Cincinnati at St. John’s (-1)
The Johnnies have started 0-3 in the Big East, but stayed competitive in road games against Georgetown and Louisville.
The Storm has showed signs of being able to put a whole game together, but has yet to do it.
Cincinnati meanwhile has struggled on the road this season with its only win coming at Rutgers.
This is a matchup between two teams looking to improve their standing in the conference compared to the past couple of seasons. St. John’s needs this one badly and will get it. Take the Johnnies for 3 Units.
St. Louis at Duquesne (-6.5)
The Billikens are running into the Dukes at the wrong time. Duquesne, which was picked as one of the dark horses in the A-10 this season, nearly defeated conference favorite Dayton on the road over the weekend. But Duquesne lost in overtime.
St. Louis earned a strong home victory over Richmond, which has been playing well of late. But the Billikens now must travel to face a Duquesne team determined not to start its conference slate 0-3.
St. Louis is known for its defense, but the quickness of Duquesne should bother St Louis and no one will be able to matchup with the Dukes’ double-double machine, Damian Saunders. Take Duquesne for 4 Units.
Wichita State (-4) at Indiana State
After losing their first Missouri Valley game, the Shockers have since ripped off four straight wins and sit now travel to face Indiana State at 3-2.
The Sycamores have been somewhat surprising in the conference schedule, but they have had a relatively easy schedule to this point. Their wins came against Evansville, Drake and Creighton, all likely to finish in the bottom half of the league.
WSU is eyeing a conference title and that means a win at ISU is a must. During their four-game streak, the Shockers’ defense has been phenomenal holding teams to 38 percent shooting in their last five games.
ISU will be without guard Jake Kelly who was lost for the season with a knee injury in the last game. He started 12 games, and averaged 9 points.
Look for that defense to be the key and for the Shockers to cover the number. Take WSU for 3 Units.
Texas at Iowa State 152.5
The Longhorns have averaed 89 points over their last five games and are beginning to get big contributions from freshman Avery Bradley.
Iowa State has a strong offense of its own, averaging 80 points per game at home and 43 percent shooting from 3-point range.
Texas will defend, but likes to create a fast paced tempo, which the Cyclones won’t mind falling into either.
The Longhorns don’t waste much time getting into their offense, and Iowa State will be playing aggressively at home trying to defeat the No. 1 team in the nation so they should be able to score from the free throw line and knock down some 3-pointers. Take the over for 3 Units.
Wisconsin (-3.5) at Northwestern
The Wildcats have always been a tough matchup for Wisconsin, especially in Evanston, because they play a similar style to the Badgers.
They are one of the few teams that matches up with them and does not mind playing the methodical style.
The Badgers will be without junior forward Jon Leuer, who broke his wrist in the last game. He was a consistent option for Wisconsin this season in the post and will be missed, especially as a mismatch for the opponent.
This is a prime opportunity for Northwestern to pull an upset and notch another resume builder for March. Take Northwestern for 3 Units.
San Diego State at UNLV (-6.5)
Finally, we have a road underdog in the Mountain West. This conference is one of the more underrated in the nation, and might be better than the Pac 10 this season.
San Diego State followed its big win over New Mexico with a curious road loss to Wyoming. The Aztecs now travel to Vegas and should give the Rebels all they can handle. The depth and balance of the Aztecs should allow them to stay in this one until the end.
Take SDSU for 2 Units.
Cincinnati at St. John’s (-1)
The Johnnies have started 0-3 in the Big East, but stayed competitive in road games against Georgetown and Louisville.
The Storm has showed signs of being able to put a whole game together, but has yet to do it.
Cincinnati meanwhile has struggled on the road this season with its only win coming at Rutgers.
This is a matchup between two teams looking to improve their standing in the conference compared to the past couple of seasons. St. John’s needs this one badly and will get it. Take the Johnnies for 3 Units.
St. Louis at Duquesne (-6.5)
The Billikens are running into the Dukes at the wrong time. Duquesne, which was picked as one of the dark horses in the A-10 this season, nearly defeated conference favorite Dayton on the road over the weekend. But Duquesne lost in overtime.
St. Louis earned a strong home victory over Richmond, which has been playing well of late. But the Billikens now must travel to face a Duquesne team determined not to start its conference slate 0-3.
St. Louis is known for its defense, but the quickness of Duquesne should bother St Louis and no one will be able to matchup with the Dukes’ double-double machine, Damian Saunders. Take Duquesne for 4 Units.
Wichita State (-4) at Indiana State
After losing their first Missouri Valley game, the Shockers have since ripped off four straight wins and sit now travel to face Indiana State at 3-2.
The Sycamores have been somewhat surprising in the conference schedule, but they have had a relatively easy schedule to this point. Their wins came against Evansville, Drake and Creighton, all likely to finish in the bottom half of the league.
WSU is eyeing a conference title and that means a win at ISU is a must. During their four-game streak, the Shockers’ defense has been phenomenal holding teams to 38 percent shooting in their last five games.
ISU will be without guard Jake Kelly who was lost for the season with a knee injury in the last game. He started 12 games, and averaged 9 points.
Look for that defense to be the key and for the Shockers to cover the number. Take WSU for 3 Units.
Texas at Iowa State 152.5
The Longhorns have averaed 89 points over their last five games and are beginning to get big contributions from freshman Avery Bradley.
Iowa State has a strong offense of its own, averaging 80 points per game at home and 43 percent shooting from 3-point range.
Texas will defend, but likes to create a fast paced tempo, which the Cyclones won’t mind falling into either.
The Longhorns don’t waste much time getting into their offense, and Iowa State will be playing aggressively at home trying to defeat the No. 1 team in the nation so they should be able to score from the free throw line and knock down some 3-pointers. Take the over for 3 Units.
Wisconsin (-3.5) at Northwestern
The Wildcats have always been a tough matchup for Wisconsin, especially in Evanston, because they play a similar style to the Badgers.
They are one of the few teams that matches up with them and does not mind playing the methodical style.
The Badgers will be without junior forward Jon Leuer, who broke his wrist in the last game. He was a consistent option for Wisconsin this season in the post and will be missed, especially as a mismatch for the opponent.
This is a prime opportunity for Northwestern to pull an upset and notch another resume builder for March. Take Northwestern for 3 Units.
San Diego State at UNLV (-6.5)
Finally, we have a road underdog in the Mountain West. This conference is one of the more underrated in the nation, and might be better than the Pac 10 this season.
San Diego State followed its big win over New Mexico with a curious road loss to Wyoming. The Aztecs now travel to Vegas and should give the Rebels all they can handle. The depth and balance of the Aztecs should allow them to stay in this one until the end.
Take SDSU for 2 Units.
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Jan. 12 Plays
We picked up 3 Units last night thanks to an overtime win by Oklahoma. We have 12 more in play tonight.
Texas A&M at Kansas State 146.5
The Aggies have only allowed opponents to shoot 39 percent this season, including 34 percent in their last five games albeit against lesser competition.
Still A&M will get up and guard you and the Wildcats aren’t the most consistent shooting team, especially from the outside.
This number is way too high for these two teams, especially with the Aggies’ defense involved.
K-State does have the ability to get out and run, but it has built this record and top 25 ranking on defense. Expect there to be plenty of that tonight. Take the under for 3 Units.
Kentucky at Florida 143
The Gators had been struggling with their shooting prior to their last game when they shot over 50 percent from the field in a loss to Vanderbilt.
The Wildcats’ offense has also seemed to take flight in recent weeks, scoring at least 70 points in their last seven games.
If Florida can continue to shoot well, which should happen at home, this will turn into a shootout. Take the over for 2 Units.
Penn State at Illinois 132
The Nittany Lions sometimes have trouble finding a complementary scorer for their star guard Talor Battle, and they’ll need to find one tonight against an aggressive and deep Illinois defense.
Battle should get his points, but Penn St. may go stretches without scoring in this one.
Illinois always centers its game plan around defense, so look for them to control the game by limiting Penn State’s offensive rebounding and working the shot clock when on offense. Take the under for 4 Units.
Maryland at Wake Forest (-4.5)
The Terrapins started conference play with a solid win over Florida State and now face Wake Forest on the road. Maryland has been playing well over its last five games, and although the Deacons are coming off a loss at Miami, look for Maryland to continue its strong play and get the win here.
If Gary Williams employs the press, the length and aggressiveness of the Terrapins should force Wake out of its comfort zone.
This should be an up-and-down game, which fits Maryland better with more skilled players. Take Maryland for 3 Units.
Texas A&M at Kansas State 146.5
The Aggies have only allowed opponents to shoot 39 percent this season, including 34 percent in their last five games albeit against lesser competition.
Still A&M will get up and guard you and the Wildcats aren’t the most consistent shooting team, especially from the outside.
This number is way too high for these two teams, especially with the Aggies’ defense involved.
K-State does have the ability to get out and run, but it has built this record and top 25 ranking on defense. Expect there to be plenty of that tonight. Take the under for 3 Units.
Kentucky at Florida 143
The Gators had been struggling with their shooting prior to their last game when they shot over 50 percent from the field in a loss to Vanderbilt.
The Wildcats’ offense has also seemed to take flight in recent weeks, scoring at least 70 points in their last seven games.
If Florida can continue to shoot well, which should happen at home, this will turn into a shootout. Take the over for 2 Units.
Penn State at Illinois 132
The Nittany Lions sometimes have trouble finding a complementary scorer for their star guard Talor Battle, and they’ll need to find one tonight against an aggressive and deep Illinois defense.
Battle should get his points, but Penn St. may go stretches without scoring in this one.
Illinois always centers its game plan around defense, so look for them to control the game by limiting Penn State’s offensive rebounding and working the shot clock when on offense. Take the under for 4 Units.
Maryland at Wake Forest (-4.5)
The Terrapins started conference play with a solid win over Florida State and now face Wake Forest on the road. Maryland has been playing well over its last five games, and although the Deacons are coming off a loss at Miami, look for Maryland to continue its strong play and get the win here.
If Gary Williams employs the press, the length and aggressiveness of the Terrapins should force Wake out of its comfort zone.
This should be an up-and-down game, which fits Maryland better with more skilled players. Take Maryland for 3 Units.
Monday, January 11, 2010
Jan. 11 Plays
After an even Saturday, we look to start making up more ground with three Monday plays:
Villanova at Louisville (-3) O/U 153.5
The Wildcats travel to Freedom Hall to face a gritty Louisville team looking for its first quality win of the season.
Both teams play a similar style, able to create transition offense off of steals and missed shots, but the difference between these two teams might be Louisville big man Samardo Samuels. Villanova does not have much in the way of a frontcourt after Dante Cunningham graduated, and Samuels should be able to patrol the paint and offer the Cardinals a consistent option for inside scoring.
Louisville played a similar style team in Providence last week. Obviously the Friars aren't nearly as talented as the Wildcats, but the key is that Louisville totaled 92 points in that fast-paced game. Look for a similar type of offensive output in this one.
Both teams have shot well this season, and Louisville should have just enough to pull the upset here and improve to 4-0 in conference play. Now is always about the time when Rick Pitino starts to get the most out of his team.
Take the over for 4 Units and Louisville for 3 Units.
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-1)
The Sooners were embarrassed by Baylor on Saturday, and it has been baffling to watch a team with so much talent flounder so badly over the past couple of weeks.
But Oklahoma returns home for a chance to redeem itself less than 48 hours after that lopsided loss.
It feels like we keep waiting for the Sooners to snap out of this funk, and in a rivalry game at home is as good a place as any. If Oklahoma can't get up for this one, they might be a lost cause. Take the Sooners for 2 Units.
Villanova at Louisville (-3) O/U 153.5
The Wildcats travel to Freedom Hall to face a gritty Louisville team looking for its first quality win of the season.
Both teams play a similar style, able to create transition offense off of steals and missed shots, but the difference between these two teams might be Louisville big man Samardo Samuels. Villanova does not have much in the way of a frontcourt after Dante Cunningham graduated, and Samuels should be able to patrol the paint and offer the Cardinals a consistent option for inside scoring.
Louisville played a similar style team in Providence last week. Obviously the Friars aren't nearly as talented as the Wildcats, but the key is that Louisville totaled 92 points in that fast-paced game. Look for a similar type of offensive output in this one.
Both teams have shot well this season, and Louisville should have just enough to pull the upset here and improve to 4-0 in conference play. Now is always about the time when Rick Pitino starts to get the most out of his team.
Take the over for 4 Units and Louisville for 3 Units.
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-1)
The Sooners were embarrassed by Baylor on Saturday, and it has been baffling to watch a team with so much talent flounder so badly over the past couple of weeks.
But Oklahoma returns home for a chance to redeem itself less than 48 hours after that lopsided loss.
It feels like we keep waiting for the Sooners to snap out of this funk, and in a rivalry game at home is as good a place as any. If Oklahoma can't get up for this one, they might be a lost cause. Take the Sooners for 2 Units.
Saturday, January 9, 2010
Jan. 9 Plays
We are looking to push farther into the black with 22 Units in play.
Florida at Vanderbilt O/U 136
The Gators have struggled with their outside shooting all season, averaging just 29 percent from 3-point range. In their last five games, they are 21.9 percent from long distance, and have to face a Vandy team holding opponents under 40 percent this season.
The Commodores rely quite a bit on outside shooting themselves, and will run into a Florida team that is tops in the SEC in 3-point defense.
Neither team has shot particularly well from the free throw line either this season, meaning this one could shape up to be a low-scoring affair. Take the under for 3 Units.
Purdue at Wisconsin O/U 126.5
In Wisconsin’s last six games, the total has finished under the number each time. This should be the seventh in a row against another defensive-minded team in Purdue.
The benefit of picking the under when Wisconsin is involved is that the Badgers always limit live-ball turnovers, meaning they work the shot clock and surrender few transition baskets off of steals.
Wisconsin also rarely gambles on defense and stays in good position, which limits second chance points and makes the other team work on offense.
Purdue employs a similar defense with a slightly more aggressive style. Either way, Wisconsin will play its game in the Kohl Center and slow this one down. Take the under for 4 Units.
Kansas St. at Missouri (-4.5)
The Wildcats have moved all the way up to 10th in the rankings thanks to a 10-game winning streak. Over that span they’ve beaten some solid teams, such as UNLV, Xavier and Washington State. But KSU has yet to face a defense like Missouri’s, which ranks ninth in Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive efficiency.
The Tigers thrive on forcing their opponents into turnovers and creating a frantic pace leading to transition opportunities.
Missouri has fared well against similar opponents at home this season, and they have allowed teams to shoot just 36 percent at home.
It’s time for the Wildcats to come back to earth against the best defense they have faced by far this season. Take Missouri as our stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock of the week for 5 Units.
Northern Iowa at Illinois St. (-1)
This is a matchup of two of the top teams in the Missouti Valley Conference. Northern Iowa comes in at 4-0 after a solid road win at Southern Illinois, while Illinois State is 8-1 at home this season.
The Panthers have established that record with defense, but the Redbirds have been shooting well lately at a 46.5 percent clip in their last five games, including 37 percent from 3-point range. ISU will find enough scoring to take this important conference game. Take Illinois St. for 2 Units.
Cincinnati at Seton Hall (-4.5)
Seton Hall has gotten off to a rough start in its Big East schedule at 0-3, but the Pirates have played the top three ranked teams in the league. They’ve played Syracuse and West Virginia tough at home, and should be hungry for their first win against a Cincinnati team that hasn’t fared too well on the road so far this season.
Seton Hall has the size to match up with the Bearcats, and if they shoot well enough should be able to control this game. Look for Jeremy Hazell to snap out of his mini-slump in front of the home fans. Take the Hall for 3 Units.
Oklahoma at Baylor (-8)
The Sooners have been a big disappointment so far this season, and Jeff Capel was frustrated after their loss to Gonzaga last weekend.
The problem has been defensively as they’ve allowed 71 points per game.
Meanwhile, Baylor has quietly been one of the better team in the country over the past month and open up Big 12 play hosting the Sooners.
Baylor should win this game with their strong guard play, but if the Sooners are truly serious about turning things around, they’ll keep it closer than the number. Take Oklahoma for 2 Units.
West Virginia (-3.5) at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish have always been a tough team to beat in the Joyce Center, and although they are thought to be down this year, they can still catch fire at home.
Notre Dame ranks third in offensive efficiency, and although West Virginia is a strong defensive team they are prone to giving up the 3-point shot as evidence by their game against Marquette a couple of weeks ago.
ND can also play the inside-out game with all-American Luke Harangody able to facilitate open shots for Ben Hansbrough and Tory Jackson.
The Mountaineers clearly have the more talented roster, but it’s worth taking the Irish at home in a tough environment.
If ‘Gody is serious about getting ND back in the NCAA Tournament, this win would go a long way in March. Take ND for 3 Units.
Florida at Vanderbilt O/U 136
The Gators have struggled with their outside shooting all season, averaging just 29 percent from 3-point range. In their last five games, they are 21.9 percent from long distance, and have to face a Vandy team holding opponents under 40 percent this season.
The Commodores rely quite a bit on outside shooting themselves, and will run into a Florida team that is tops in the SEC in 3-point defense.
Neither team has shot particularly well from the free throw line either this season, meaning this one could shape up to be a low-scoring affair. Take the under for 3 Units.
Purdue at Wisconsin O/U 126.5
In Wisconsin’s last six games, the total has finished under the number each time. This should be the seventh in a row against another defensive-minded team in Purdue.
The benefit of picking the under when Wisconsin is involved is that the Badgers always limit live-ball turnovers, meaning they work the shot clock and surrender few transition baskets off of steals.
Wisconsin also rarely gambles on defense and stays in good position, which limits second chance points and makes the other team work on offense.
Purdue employs a similar defense with a slightly more aggressive style. Either way, Wisconsin will play its game in the Kohl Center and slow this one down. Take the under for 4 Units.
Kansas St. at Missouri (-4.5)
The Wildcats have moved all the way up to 10th in the rankings thanks to a 10-game winning streak. Over that span they’ve beaten some solid teams, such as UNLV, Xavier and Washington State. But KSU has yet to face a defense like Missouri’s, which ranks ninth in Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive efficiency.
The Tigers thrive on forcing their opponents into turnovers and creating a frantic pace leading to transition opportunities.
Missouri has fared well against similar opponents at home this season, and they have allowed teams to shoot just 36 percent at home.
It’s time for the Wildcats to come back to earth against the best defense they have faced by far this season. Take Missouri as our stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock of the week for 5 Units.
Northern Iowa at Illinois St. (-1)
This is a matchup of two of the top teams in the Missouti Valley Conference. Northern Iowa comes in at 4-0 after a solid road win at Southern Illinois, while Illinois State is 8-1 at home this season.
The Panthers have established that record with defense, but the Redbirds have been shooting well lately at a 46.5 percent clip in their last five games, including 37 percent from 3-point range. ISU will find enough scoring to take this important conference game. Take Illinois St. for 2 Units.
Cincinnati at Seton Hall (-4.5)
Seton Hall has gotten off to a rough start in its Big East schedule at 0-3, but the Pirates have played the top three ranked teams in the league. They’ve played Syracuse and West Virginia tough at home, and should be hungry for their first win against a Cincinnati team that hasn’t fared too well on the road so far this season.
Seton Hall has the size to match up with the Bearcats, and if they shoot well enough should be able to control this game. Look for Jeremy Hazell to snap out of his mini-slump in front of the home fans. Take the Hall for 3 Units.
Oklahoma at Baylor (-8)
The Sooners have been a big disappointment so far this season, and Jeff Capel was frustrated after their loss to Gonzaga last weekend.
The problem has been defensively as they’ve allowed 71 points per game.
Meanwhile, Baylor has quietly been one of the better team in the country over the past month and open up Big 12 play hosting the Sooners.
Baylor should win this game with their strong guard play, but if the Sooners are truly serious about turning things around, they’ll keep it closer than the number. Take Oklahoma for 2 Units.
West Virginia (-3.5) at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish have always been a tough team to beat in the Joyce Center, and although they are thought to be down this year, they can still catch fire at home.
Notre Dame ranks third in offensive efficiency, and although West Virginia is a strong defensive team they are prone to giving up the 3-point shot as evidence by their game against Marquette a couple of weeks ago.
ND can also play the inside-out game with all-American Luke Harangody able to facilitate open shots for Ben Hansbrough and Tory Jackson.
The Mountaineers clearly have the more talented roster, but it’s worth taking the Irish at home in a tough environment.
If ‘Gody is serious about getting ND back in the NCAA Tournament, this win would go a long way in March. Take ND for 3 Units.
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
Jan. 6 Plays
We enjoyed our first clean sweep of the season last night, picking up 12 units. Let's keep it going with these 21 units in play:
Wisconsin at Michigan St. Under 134.5 4 Units
This matchup has become quite a rivalry since Bo Ryan took over at UW. He has Tom Izzo's number with an 11-4 record against the Spartans, and the losses have only come in East Lansing.
These games have perennially been defensive, physical battles with both teams grinding out points at the free throw line and scoring in the halfcourt. Expect it to be much of the same this year as Ryan has his team playing exceptionally disciplined defense and not turning the ball over much.
Sparty has had issues with turnovers this season, but Wisconsin tends to just play straight up on defense and not gamble too often for steals.
This will be another classic between these two teams, but not much in the way of playmaking. Take the under for 4 Units.
Charlotte (+12) at Tennessee
The Vols earned a statement win at Memphis last week, but the next day found out four of their players celebrated a little too much and have been suspended for this game against a hard-nosed Charlotte team.
It's difficult to say how Tennessee will respond with three key contributors, including Tyler Smith, out for this game, but the 49ers will be hungry to earn another resume-building victory.
Earlier this season Charlotte went into Louisville and mopped the floor with an undermanned Cardinals team. Now they have another opportunity to knock off a ranked team on the road with a limited bench. So look for them to beat the spread here, and it's worth putting a couple on the victory. Take Charlotte with the points for 4 Units and to win (+600) for 2 Units.
Memphis at Syracuse Under 146.5
The Orange just lost its first game of the season when Pitt came into the Carrier Dome and pulled the upset. Now the Cuse hosts a Memphis team searching for consistency on offense. The Tigers has shot just 33 percent in its two losses to ranked opponents, including 28 percent from 3-point range, which won't help against the Syracuse zone.
On the other side, Syracuse struggled with Pittsburgh physical defense and shot well under its season average in the loss. Memphis features that same type of defensive style and are 15th in Ken Pomeroy's effective defensive field goal percentage. Syracuse is 17th in that same statistic.
Take the under for 3 Units
Illinois State (-6) at Evansville
The Redbirds are looking to keep pace in the difficult Missouri Valley with a road win against an outmatch Evansville team. ISU has started 2-1 in conference play and can't afford to drop this game against the 0-3 Aces.
Illinois State features strong guard play in senior, and MVC player of the year candidate, Osiris Eldridge, along with senior Llyod Phillips, who scored 21 in the Redbirds' last outing.
That tandem will be a key factor in taking care of business against the Aces. Take ISU for 3 Units.
Seton Hall at Connecticut (-6.5) 2 Units
How's this for a schedule? Host No. 6 West Virginia on Dec. 26, then host No. 5 Syracuse on Dec. 29, then play Virginia Tech in Cancun, Mexico on Jan. 2, then return to the states to face No. 13 Connecticut in Storrs. It might be fair to say the Pirates are a little worn out by that run. Plus, they lost all of those previous affairs, and are running into a UConn team that seems to have its swagger back after a loss at Cincy.
That being said, Jeremy Hazell has the ability to heat up and keep the Hall close in this one. But, I'd expect Stanley Robinson to match up with him, and with his length he's one of the few defenders in the Big East that could give Hazell trouble. Take UConn for 2 Units.
UNLV (+8) at BYU 3 Units
This was nearly a matchup of two ranked opponents, but UNLV lost its last game against USC in Hawaii. The Rebels haven't played since Dec. 25 and that long layoff should help them in this tough conference game.
Vegas has BYU's number, having won 8 of their last 11 against the Cougars, who have won nine straight. BYU will likely be without Jackson Emery (13.4 ppg) with an ankle injury and the Cougars are unsure on how their leading scorer Jimmer Fredette will come back from a bout with strep throat.
UNLV will look to snap BYU's 9-game winning streak with its defense which has held six straight opponents under 70 points and its deep bench, which features 11 players averaging at least 10.5 minutes. Take the Rebels for 3 Units.
Wisconsin at Michigan St. Under 134.5 4 Units
This matchup has become quite a rivalry since Bo Ryan took over at UW. He has Tom Izzo's number with an 11-4 record against the Spartans, and the losses have only come in East Lansing.
These games have perennially been defensive, physical battles with both teams grinding out points at the free throw line and scoring in the halfcourt. Expect it to be much of the same this year as Ryan has his team playing exceptionally disciplined defense and not turning the ball over much.
Sparty has had issues with turnovers this season, but Wisconsin tends to just play straight up on defense and not gamble too often for steals.
This will be another classic between these two teams, but not much in the way of playmaking. Take the under for 4 Units.
Charlotte (+12) at Tennessee
The Vols earned a statement win at Memphis last week, but the next day found out four of their players celebrated a little too much and have been suspended for this game against a hard-nosed Charlotte team.
It's difficult to say how Tennessee will respond with three key contributors, including Tyler Smith, out for this game, but the 49ers will be hungry to earn another resume-building victory.
Earlier this season Charlotte went into Louisville and mopped the floor with an undermanned Cardinals team. Now they have another opportunity to knock off a ranked team on the road with a limited bench. So look for them to beat the spread here, and it's worth putting a couple on the victory. Take Charlotte with the points for 4 Units and to win (+600) for 2 Units.
Memphis at Syracuse Under 146.5
The Orange just lost its first game of the season when Pitt came into the Carrier Dome and pulled the upset. Now the Cuse hosts a Memphis team searching for consistency on offense. The Tigers has shot just 33 percent in its two losses to ranked opponents, including 28 percent from 3-point range, which won't help against the Syracuse zone.
On the other side, Syracuse struggled with Pittsburgh physical defense and shot well under its season average in the loss. Memphis features that same type of defensive style and are 15th in Ken Pomeroy's effective defensive field goal percentage. Syracuse is 17th in that same statistic.
Take the under for 3 Units
Illinois State (-6) at Evansville
The Redbirds are looking to keep pace in the difficult Missouri Valley with a road win against an outmatch Evansville team. ISU has started 2-1 in conference play and can't afford to drop this game against the 0-3 Aces.
Illinois State features strong guard play in senior, and MVC player of the year candidate, Osiris Eldridge, along with senior Llyod Phillips, who scored 21 in the Redbirds' last outing.
That tandem will be a key factor in taking care of business against the Aces. Take ISU for 3 Units.
Seton Hall at Connecticut (-6.5) 2 Units
How's this for a schedule? Host No. 6 West Virginia on Dec. 26, then host No. 5 Syracuse on Dec. 29, then play Virginia Tech in Cancun, Mexico on Jan. 2, then return to the states to face No. 13 Connecticut in Storrs. It might be fair to say the Pirates are a little worn out by that run. Plus, they lost all of those previous affairs, and are running into a UConn team that seems to have its swagger back after a loss at Cincy.
That being said, Jeremy Hazell has the ability to heat up and keep the Hall close in this one. But, I'd expect Stanley Robinson to match up with him, and with his length he's one of the few defenders in the Big East that could give Hazell trouble. Take UConn for 2 Units.
UNLV (+8) at BYU 3 Units
This was nearly a matchup of two ranked opponents, but UNLV lost its last game against USC in Hawaii. The Rebels haven't played since Dec. 25 and that long layoff should help them in this tough conference game.
Vegas has BYU's number, having won 8 of their last 11 against the Cougars, who have won nine straight. BYU will likely be without Jackson Emery (13.4 ppg) with an ankle injury and the Cougars are unsure on how their leading scorer Jimmer Fredette will come back from a bout with strep throat.
UNLV will look to snap BYU's 9-game winning streak with its defense which has held six straight opponents under 70 points and its deep bench, which features 11 players averaging at least 10.5 minutes. Take the Rebels for 3 Units.
Jan. 5 Plays
We’re back on the horse after the Holidays with three plays, including the fourth Jimmer lock of the season. Enjoy.
Minnesota at Purdue O/U 138.5
The Gophers are a deep bunch that employs full-court pressure and likes to push the ball on offense. Purdue has a number of scorers and it’s easy for a team to fall into that frenetic pace that Minnesota sets.
Although Purdue is a solid defensive team, the Boilermakers are actually allowing teams to shoot 38 percent from 3-point range, which is a big part of Minnesota’s guard-heavy offense.
Expect this game to differ from the normal Big Ten tempo and for both teams to get out and run with this game played in the 70s.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Iowa at Illinois O/U 140.5
The line in this game is 16 points in favor of the Illini and the only way the Hawkeyes stay on this one is to slow the pace.
Although the Hawkeyes put up 74 points in their last game, that was against a Minnesota team that likes to push the ball. It’s highly unlikely Iowa gets even close to that number in this one.
Neither team is all that skilled on offense, and although Iowa has some outside shooting, they can’t play an up-and-down game and stay in this one.
Todd Lickliter will try to slow the pace, and Bruce Weber always prefers to focus on defense.
This one won’t get close to the number. Take the under for a Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under, stone-cold, lead-pipe lock for 5 Units.
New Mexico at San Diego St. (-3)
The Lobos have had a dream start to the season, including a 14-1 record and a No. 14 ranking.
But SDSU was picked as the conference favorites and this is the Aztecs’ chance to get off to a quick start in conference play.
Head coach Steve Fisher has a lot of scoring options with four players averaging double figures.
The Aztecs have been somewhat inconsistent this season, but they need this win and New Mexico is a young team that already lost at Oral Roberts this season.
Take SDSU for 4 Units.
Minnesota at Purdue O/U 138.5
The Gophers are a deep bunch that employs full-court pressure and likes to push the ball on offense. Purdue has a number of scorers and it’s easy for a team to fall into that frenetic pace that Minnesota sets.
Although Purdue is a solid defensive team, the Boilermakers are actually allowing teams to shoot 38 percent from 3-point range, which is a big part of Minnesota’s guard-heavy offense.
Expect this game to differ from the normal Big Ten tempo and for both teams to get out and run with this game played in the 70s.
Take the over for 3 Units.
Iowa at Illinois O/U 140.5
The line in this game is 16 points in favor of the Illini and the only way the Hawkeyes stay on this one is to slow the pace.
Although the Hawkeyes put up 74 points in their last game, that was against a Minnesota team that likes to push the ball. It’s highly unlikely Iowa gets even close to that number in this one.
Neither team is all that skilled on offense, and although Iowa has some outside shooting, they can’t play an up-and-down game and stay in this one.
Todd Lickliter will try to slow the pace, and Bruce Weber always prefers to focus on defense.
This one won’t get close to the number. Take the under for a Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under, stone-cold, lead-pipe lock for 5 Units.
New Mexico at San Diego St. (-3)
The Lobos have had a dream start to the season, including a 14-1 record and a No. 14 ranking.
But SDSU was picked as the conference favorites and this is the Aztecs’ chance to get off to a quick start in conference play.
Head coach Steve Fisher has a lot of scoring options with four players averaging double figures.
The Aztecs have been somewhat inconsistent this season, but they need this win and New Mexico is a young team that already lost at Oral Roberts this season.
Take SDSU for 4 Units.
Saturday, January 2, 2010
First Play of the New Decade
Gonzaga at Illinois (-3)
The Illini host the Zags in Chicago only two days after the Bulldogs hosted Oklahoma in Seattle.
Illinois has been an up-and-down team this year, but match up well against Gonzaga and should have the benefit of less travel and more rest.
Take Illinois for 2 Units.
The Illini host the Zags in Chicago only two days after the Bulldogs hosted Oklahoma in Seattle.
Illinois has been an up-and-down team this year, but match up well against Gonzaga and should have the benefit of less travel and more rest.
Take Illinois for 2 Units.
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