Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Jan. 20 Plays

After a rough Tuesday that saw us give back the 7 Units we won Monday, we look to rebound with three plays for 9 Units.

Wake Forest at North Carolina (-6)
This is very good value on a Tar Heels team that is usually tough at home. Although UNC lost its last home game to Georgia Tech, expect North Carolina to give its best effort in this one.
The Demon Deacons are a scrappy team, but Roy Williams will make sure that he doesn't lose three in a row for the first time as UNC head coach.
Take the Tar Heels for 4 Units.

Iowa State at Texas Tech (-3)
The Red Raiders have come down back to Earth after a great start to the season, losing three straight. But the losses have been two on the road to Oklahoma State and Kansas and at home to a good Missouri team in overtime.
The Cyclones just won a road game at Nebraska, but this will only be their third road game of the season, which also includes a 20-point loss at Drake.
ISU still has to prove itself on the road, and it isn't coming against a team hungry for a win at home. Take the Red Raiders as a stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock for 5 Units.

Michigan at Wisconsin (-8.5)
The Wolverines are entering a stretch of four games against ranked opponents and seem to be coming out of their earlier season slump.
A big key in their turnaround has been the shooting of Zak Novak and Stu Douglass, which should help them stay in the game at the Kohl Center.
The Badgers miss the inside scoring of Jon Leuer and have not found anyone to step up in his absence. Wisconsin has moved to a three-guard lineup, which could prove detrimental if John Belein goes with his 1-3-1 zone. The way to break that is with passing, not dribble penetration, and with three guards on the floor, the temptation will be for Bucky to put the ball on the floor, which could lead to turnovers.
On top of that, Wisconsin has had trouble stopping good scorers in its recent history, allowing Evan Turner and Lawrence Westbrook to find their own shots. If Manny Harris plays well, the Wolverines should hang in this one. Take Michigan for 3 Units.

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