Friday, January 29, 2010

Jan. 30 Plays

We’re back with 23 Units of play on this busy Saturday. Enjoy.

Louisville at West Virginia (-7)
The Cardinals match up well with the Mountaineers with a deep roster that keys on ball pressure. On top of that, they have the inside presence in Samardo Samuels to battle WVU’s size.
West Virginia has tended to get off to slow starts at home, and Louisville’s ability to force turnovers against a Mountaineers team with limited guard experience means this one will go down to the wire.
Take Louisville for 3 Units.

Indiana at Illinois 138
These are a couple of the more fast-paced teams in the Big Ten. But this will be a tough game for Indiana to score in consistently, and the Illini’s game plan always starts with its defense.
The Hoosiers will try to shrink possessions by working the shot clock and playing conservatively to stay in it.
Take the under for 4 Units.


Baylor at Texas (-8)
The Bears have been playing well recently, but this is very good value for a line of a Texas team that hasn’t played committed defense in its last couple of games.
The Longhorns need to keep pace with Kansas for the Big 12 title, and expect their best effort in this game.
The Bears are talented, but if Texas plays solid perimeter defense, it should be an easy win. Take Texas for 3 Units.

Vanderbilt at Kentucky 154
It makes little sense why this over/under is so high. The Wildcats have held teams below 37 percent shooting in their last five games, and the Commodores aren’t going to try and run with Kentucky.
Both teams can shoot well, but neither coach is going to let his team loose in this one. Expect this to be a grind-it-out, defensive battle. Take the under for a 5 Unit, stone-cold, lead-pipe, Jimmer-third-game-bowling-under lock.

Notre Dame (-6.5) at Rutgers
The Scarlet Knights have lost an incredible eight games in a row against the spread, and this line isn’t going to help them break this streak.
Fred Hill is a lame duck coach, and the team isn’t exactly diciplined on either end of the floor and the Fighting Irish have the shooting and depth to get a big road victory.
Take ND for 2 Units.

Dayton (-4.5) at St. Bonaventure
The Flyers have been a letdown this season, losing three of their last four and fighting to stay relevant in the A-10 title chase and NCAA Tournament.
The Bonnies have been mediocre in conference, and if Dayton is serious about making a run at the NCAAs, it needs to get a convincing road win before a home matchup with Xavier.
Take Dayton for 3 Units.

UCLA at Oregon St. (-2)
The Beavers earned a big home win against USC on Thursday and now face the Bruins who lost an overtime game at Oregon.
The Bruins have been playing much better since their slow start this season, and although OSU likes to slow the game down, UCLA has the toughness and talent to get this road win.
Take UCLA for 3 Units.

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